Posted on 04/20/2024 12:22:52 PM PDT by SACK UP
Does anyone remember on 2016 election night around the time it began to look like Trump winning Nate silver was on TV somewhere and he commented on the Midwest. He said something like:
If Trump is winning Ohio and Iowa by 4 or 5 points it means it is likely he could win Wisconsin Pennsylvania and Michigan as the voters are all similar.
He made it sound statistically baked in as a rule that could generally be counted on. Imagine applying that statement to Ohio and Iowa in 2020.
If anyone can find the clip I think it would be very effective when debating people regarding 2020 fraud.
WI, PA, and MI all had GOP governors in 2016.
I’m sure it applies to the actual voters, but the Democrats have ramped up their fraud procedures by several orders of magnitude since then.
Only God can stop their fraud. But He can, if we ask.
Pleasantly optimistic. But Biden will accrue an unknown number of illegals to his numbers. It’s safe to say that his campaign strategy rests on illegals
So any Trump plus four advantages have to be under stood as mooted by illegals.
“So any Trump plus four advantages have to be under stood as mooted by illegals.”
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Sadly, I don’t think it matters anymore what polling advantage we have among actual, legal voters.
The Democrats will wait in the key urban centers (Phoenix, Detroit, Philly, Milwaukee, Atlanta, Las Vegas, etc.) until all the OTHER votes are in, and conjure up as many votes as they need to “win”. They just don’t care what anyone thinks to the contrary, or how badly they cheat, and the media will back them up.
Part of the attraction to being a totalitarian is being able to stick your boot on the neck of the opposition, and tell them that 2+2=5, or 7, or zero. Truth, fairness, rules, or justice mean absolutely nothing to them.
“Come quickly, Lord Jesus”
The 538 election return graphs show the middle of the night election fraud vote dumps very well.
Look at the jump at 4 AM in Wisconsin for example.
It is easier to rage about The Steal® than do the actual work to compete in the new election environment. It is as if Republicans don't want Trump to win.
Let me do an Interwebs search for you:
https://search.brave.com/search?q=lara+trump+ballot+harvesting&source=desktop
Ohio is doing ok. Just remember such stalwart senators as Voinovich, DeWine, and Portman. DeWine was kicked upstairs. Even Kasich was good for the party. It would seem 2 of the 3 others should follow with good leadership. Not counting on it even though Ohio is following Florida in being more solid red. Iowa too.
I see what your point is, but the fact is things change. Back then Florida was a swing state, and Virginia was Red.
When you have 120 year olds coming out to vote at 3:00 am on election night in key cities in swing states, then you really have a juggernaut on your hands....
It was only close under the reign of that woman in Broward County in charge of counting. Once she was caught and disposed of Florida was no longer a swing state.
I agree with you. But Nate Silver is a god to those people. Those words coming out of his mouth in 2016 and applied to 2020 might make the Dems that aren’t as crazy open their eyes and maybe look past whatever silly reason they dislike him.. tweets and personality flaws. Especially in places rocked by migrants where he could get traditional dem voters blue cities in red and blue states. Or the people that aren’t comfortable with the alphabet people and weird fetishist being passed off normal like pedos.
Getting him to attempt to explain the 25,000-500 pro Brandon ballot dumps would be useful as well. He tweeted them himself and then ignored the mathematical impossibility.
PS he was also asked after comparing MI to OH to explain the immense difference in turn out rates between Cleveland and Detroit or Milwaukee and he went all silent on the western front again.
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