Free Republic
Browse · Search
General/Chat
Topics · Post Article

To: Gene Eric

The movie is about ballet.

From an economic standpoint, a “black swan” is an unpredictable event that no one expects, has severe consequences, and (in hindsight!) looks obvious, but before it hits, no one is talking about it or expecting it.

Writing articles about the coming black swan, is missing the point of the concept.


6 posted on 12/29/2023 1:43:09 PM PST by ClearCase_guy
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies ]


To: ClearCase_guy

You are correct, I wouldn’t count a stolen election, stock market collapse, assassination, or a nuclear attack as Black Swans because they are predictable with this administration. From the Biden’s administration perspective, something happening good for the US would be a Black Swan event.


9 posted on 12/29/2023 1:51:53 PM PST by alternatives?
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies ]

To: ClearCase_guy
"Writing articles about the coming black swan, is missing the point of the concept."

As the search engines get hits, the AI bots produce content.

10 posted on 12/29/2023 1:54:17 PM PST by outofsalt (If history teaches us anything, it's that history rarely teaches anything.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies ]

To: ClearCase_guy

gotcha — thanks


19 posted on 12/29/2023 2:46:19 PM PST by Gene Eric (Don't be a statist! )
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies ]

Free Republic
Browse · Search
General/Chat
Topics · Post Article


FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson