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To: BroJoeK

Ukraine Battle Map:

US military aid to Ukraine has decreased by 93.5% per month from what it was in the first half of 2023.

In the past 30 days, there has only been one military aid package to Ukraine.

Biden administration still has over $5 billion of unused military aid they… pic.twitter.com/5Y24OAui4k— Clash Report (@clashreport) October 22, 2023


447 posted on 10/24/2023 4:52:22 AM PDT by JonPreston ( ✌ ☮️ )
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To: JonPreston; UMCRevMom@aol.com; gleeaikin; Monterrosa-24
JohPreston: "Ukraine Battle Map:
US military aid to Ukraine has decreased by 93.5% per month from what it was in the first half of 2023.
In the past 30 days, there has only been one military aid package to Ukraine."

Thanks for an interesting graphic, I've seen nothing like it elsewhere and cannot verify if it's true or not.
What I can do is add up its numbers and they total to about $44 billion over the past 20 months.
That is an average of about $2 billion per month, with some months dipping below $1 billion in aid.

That is a far cry from other numbers I've seen, sometimes over $100 billion claimed of US commitments alone.

Here are the best numbers I can find now:

  1. The US has sent $44 billion in military aid.

  2. The US has sent $75 billion in total aid, meaning about $31 billion in humanitarian, financial and other non-military aid.

  3. Total military aid to Ukraine from all countries is said to be just under $100 billion, of which the US contributed 47% and European countries 53%.

  4. Total aid in all forms from all countries is said to top now $350 billion, meaning the US total contribution is about 21% of total aid to Ukraine.
How much actual aid reaches Ukraine from any given country in any given month is unknown, or how much is "in the pipeline" scheduled for future deliveries, also unknown.
My point is, Ukraine's actual situation cannot be determined from just this one graph.

If US aid is actually dropping long-term it will force Europeans to increase their contributions or leave Ukrainians incapable of anything militarily other than a stalemate.
And yet, certain weapons have not yet been delivered in large numbers, including longer-range precision guided missiles and F-16 fighter jets.
These could potentially change the military equations in Ukraine's favor and produce more dramatic results.

Clearly, Vlad the Invader's strategy today is to hold on defensively, while threatening offensive actions, until either NATO grows tired of supporting Ukraine, or Ukrainians themselves grow weary of fighting, and then hope for a "stand in place" armistice / peace treaty.
Everyone's best guess is that this will happen early in the next Pres. Trump administration, in 2025.

What happens between now and then will most likely determine the final settlement lines, though I would not expect Ukrainians to ever agree to anything other than full restoration of their sovereign territories, including Crimea, meaning at best an armistice, not a peace treaty.

Bottom line here is that we are dealing with the fundamental nature and pathologies of Democrats, who historically are always quick to jump into wars, often regardless of any plan for victory, and then are just as quick to retreat and surrender after they've figured out ways to blame Republicans.
That is what I've always expected to happen in Ukraine, just as it did elsewhere, and today Republicans are giving Democrats every excuse they need to blame us and then refocus their spending elsewhere, leaving Ukrainians to the Europeans for support against Vlad the Invader's tender mercies.

458 posted on 10/25/2023 1:45:56 AM PDT by BroJoeK (future DDG 134 -- we remember)
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