Posted on 04/28/2023 11:17:29 AM PDT by nickcarraway
El Niño is back in the news.
Long-range forecasts suggest an El Niño weather oscillation may develop in the Pacific Ocean in late summer and could continue into fall and even winter.
After California's storm-packed winter that brought damaging and deadly flooding across the state, the mention of El Niño may sound terrifying. The weather pattern has long been associated with unusually wet winters in the Golden State. In reality, though, not all El Niños are the same, and if the weather pattern does develop, any number of scenarios could unfold in the upcoming winter. Many factors are at play, including the strength of El Niño, a changing climate and weather oscillations, which are recurring weather patterns associated with conditions in the atmosphere and oceans.
exp-player-logo “In El Niño years, California has seen above-normal, below-normal and normal precipitation,” Jan Null, a local forecaster who founded Golden Gate Weather Services, told SFGATE. “There’s not a single playbook for these. El Niño doesn’t equal wet.”
Case in point: Looking at records going back 50 years, the winters of 1997-98 and 1982-83 were marked by very strong El Niños, and California saw above-normal rainfall. The same weather pattern also developed in the winter of 2015-16, and the state saw below-normal rainfall.
“We were expecting California to just turn into mud in the winter of 2016, and for the most part, all of the Northwest and California were drier than normal,” said Brian Garcia, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service.
(Excerpt) Read more at sfgate.com ...
Why, such a thing is almost unheard of!
Complete speculation. Last I heard the long term was neutral.
Translation: Summer is finally coming to California and once again we’re supposed to blame Global Warming.
“Could, suggest, may…”
I’ll believe it when I see it. This past winter was supposed to be a la nina - mild and dry - and it was anything but. Just goes to show that their models and forecasts are not always right.
What does it mean for Caulifonia?
The world is gonna end, of course. So give more money to Gavin Nuisance and kewpie doll Jenny because Climate Change!
One damn week after the biggest bestest winter in 70 years and these tards are already wringing their hands about More Rain Oh Noes
This past winter was effected by the Tonga volcanic eruption.
A incident that triggered a hell of a lot of discussion about what effect it would have on the weather here in N America.
Not always right?!
They’ve NEVER been right!!!
When yer crap models miss by 130% you cant just hand wave it away as a 6 sigma event: it means you fundamentally have no idea what’s really happening, and your variances are a fraud designed to capture all possible events rendering the prediction meaningless.
As a lifelong LA resident, I’ll tell you what it means:
Lots of rain! Huge harvests! Lower produce prices! Yay!
Warm water at the beach! Yay!
Great sport fishing with yellowtail, wahoo, marlin migrating north! Yay!
Ain’t nothing wrong with a little El Nino!
Answer: Rain.
The old saying of California farmers...7 years of dry, 7 years of wet (and we may be in the 1st year.)
I don’t remember seven years of wet?
I remember, about forty years ago when the word EL NINO was the new word to frighten people, when in September a massive snow storm hit NE Colorado, Kansas, Wyoming and Nebraska. A common occurrence in that area.
Our local weather chick in Fayetteville Arkansas stood out on an empty parking lot at night and said....”The question that is on everyone’s mind...(then looking into the camera with a look of sheer terror on her face,) “IS THIS EL NINO?”
I had to restrain myself from throwing a boot through the TV.
Remember Saint Greta and how dare we question her.
THIS year was supposed to be a dry, La Niña year...in other words, the “experts” know nothing.
The high tide is LIKELY coming back.
Indeed many confused bout such actions.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.