Details:
https://twitter.com/fab_hinz/status/1667258984540127232
Posted on 10/08/2022 1:05:38 PM PDT by nuconvert
Iranian Regime national tv Channel One hacked about an hour ago. During a broadcast of Khamenie speech, a red crosshair appeared over his face and chanting of Women. Life. Freedom. There was writing to the side saying "Rise up. Join us". Also 4 photos at the bottom of the screen of young people killed and additional writing: "The blood of our youth is dropping from your paws".
Also, there was a huge banner in the middle of Tehran highway today that read: We are no longer afraid of you. We will fight.
Also, attempted attack on IRI ambassador in Denmark. Her bodyguard was stabbed. Diplomatic Security intervened before the attacker could stab the ambassador.
Details:
https://twitter.com/fab_hinz/status/1667258984540127232
Iran Update, June 12, 2023
Iranian officials are promoting reports of resumed nuclear negotiations with the United States likely to generate short-term benefits for the Iranian economy.
Iranian security forces are attempting to discourage citizens from holding commemoration ceremonies for killed Mahsa Amini protesters. Security forces’ renewed violence against innocent citizens could revive anti-regime protests.
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/iran-update-june-12-2023
Iran Update, June 13, 2023
Lebanese Hezbollah provided drone training for Iranian-backed militias in eastern Syria. Iranian-backed militias could use these drones to support efforts to expel US forces from Syria.
Lebanese Hezbollah and Fatemiyoun militants conducted a military exercise in central Syria, likely to signal their ability to attack US forces in Syria.
The IRGC Quds Force has recruited Syrians to establish “sleeper cells” in Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) territory to attack US forces.
Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi traveled to Caracas, Venezuela to expand Iran’s economic influence in Latin America. Greater economic cooperation with Latin American countries will not enable the Iranian regime to fix the structural flaws in Iran’s economy, however.
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/iran-update-june-13-2023
Iran Update, June 14, 2023
CTP has observed several developments that indicate the Iraqi Popular Mobilization Forces (PMF) is expanding its military capabilities and broadening its civil role in Iraq along the lines of the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) in Iran.
Israel Defense Forces (IDF) conducted an airstrike on three Iranian and Syrian Arab Army (SAA) military positions in Damascus, Syria on June 13.
Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei met with Palestinian Islamic Jihad (PIJ) Secretary General Ziyad al-Nakhalah in Tehran on June 14, underscoring Iran’s commitment to expanding Axis of Resistance operations in the West Bank.
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/iran-update-june-14-2023
Iran Update, June 15, 2023
An unidentified high-ranking Israel Defense Forces (IDF) commander told Newsweek that Israel is concerned about Russia transferring Western weapons captured in Ukraine to Iran. Iran will likely attempt to reverse engineer the Western weapons systems to upgrade its own conventional capabilities or develop new ones to use in future conflicts.
Western media reported on June 14 that the US and Iran are negotiating an informal nuclear agreement in Oman, citing US, Israeli, and Iranian sources.
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/iran-update-june-15-2023
Iran may have directed its Iraqi proxies to deescalate their rhetoric against US forces in Iraq. This is consistent with one of CTP’s hypotheses, which is that Iran is threatening attacks on US forces in Iraq and Syria to build leverage in the nuclear negotiations.
Iran and Syria coordinated their policy positions ahead of the next round of Astana talks.
Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi stressed Iran, Cuba, Nicaragua, and Venezuela's common struggle against “imperialism and domination” on his trip to Latin America between June 12-16, suggesting that Iran may seek to incorporate these countries into its Axis of Resistance.
Iran and Russia discussed Caspian Sea and Volga River transportation routes on June 16. The expansion of these routes could support Iran's transfer of military equipment to Russia. Iranian Roads and Urban Development Minister Mehrdad Bazrpash discussed Caspian Sea and Volga River transportation routes with Russian presidential aide Igor Levitin on the sidelines of the 26th International Economic Forum in St. Petersburg, Russia on June 16.[10] Iran has attached importance to developing the International North-South Transport Corridor (INSTC), a transit route connecting Russia and Central Asia to the Persian Gulf via Iran, to bolster Iran's economy in recent years. The Biden administration published a map on June 9 showing Iranian drone transfers from Iran to Russia through the Caspian Sea.[11] High-ranking Israeli officials have separately expressed concern that Russia is providing Iran with Western weapons captured in Ukraine in exchange for Iran supplying Russia with drones.[12]
Mehrdad Bazrpash previously served as an advisor to former hardline President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad.[13] He additionally served as a deputy of the IRGC Cooperative Foundation, an economic conglomerate with extensive influence in Iran's manufacturing and construction sectors.[14]
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/iran-update-june-16-2023
Iran and Russia have discussed plans to launch a joint shipping company amid international sanctions on both countries and expanding bilateral ties.
It quoted experts as saying that as cooperation between the two countries deepens, the Caspian Sea route is being used to move drones, ammunition, and mortar shells that the Russian government has purchased from Iran to use in Ukraine.
Last year, shipping analytics company Vortexa also reported that eleven ships that previously carried Iranian crude transported Russian oil and products since April 2022. “As more companies scale back from carrying Russian crude and products, those familiar with the sanctioned crude trade will continue using their tankers to assist Russia in exporting oil East of Suez,” Armen Azizian, a crude market analyst at Vortexa.
https://www.iranintl.com/en/202306163308
Germany’s Federal Ministry of the Interior and Community has, in its latest report, accused the Islamic Republic of using state-sponsored terrorism for intimidating dissidents.
The 380-page report also warns about Iranian regime’s possible abduction of dissidents in Germany.
https://twitter.com/IranIntl_En/status/1671200181914677264
Verfassungsschutzbericht 2022
https://www.bmi.bund.de/SharedDocs/downloads/DE/publikationen/themen/sicherheit/BMI23007.pdf?__blob=publicationFile&v=3
An IRGC-affiliated news outlet tracked a US-Iraqi logistics convoy, possibly to signal Iranian intent to direct an attack on US interests in Iraq.
Iranian leaders met with senior Palestinian Islamic Jihad (PIJ) and Hamas officials in Tehran, likely to signal Iran will provide greater support to the groups to combat Israel. Supreme National Security Council (SNSC) Secretary Ahmadian meeting with senior PIJ and Hamas officials likely reflects his effort to integrate himself into Iranian policymaking vis-à-vis Israel.
The IRGC Intelligence Organization (IRGC-IO) chief framed threats to Iran in a domestic context, which indicates the organization is prioritizing internal security over external threats. Kazemi’s interview represents a continuation of the IRGC Intelligence Organization's shift away from external threats toward internal security. IRGC Intelligence Organization Chief Brigadier General Mohammad Kazemi gave an interview about the Mahsa Amini protest movement with the supreme leader's website on June 19. He accused 18 countries—including Saudi Arabia and the UAE—of abetting the Mahsa Amini movement.
Kazemi’s interview represents a continuation of the IRGC Intelligence Organization's shift away from external threats toward internal security. Kazemi replaced Hossein Taeb, who largely gave priority to external security, as IRGC Intelligence Organization chief in June 2023. [typo should be 2022][16] Taeb’s dismissal additionally followed the killing of several IRGC members in Iranian territory, suggesting he was removed due to his failure to ensure Iranian internal security. Kazemi’s interview marks his first media appearance since becoming IRGC Intelligence Organization chief in June 2022.[17]
Iran is attempting to expand economic relations with Uzbekistan, likely to improve the Iranian economy.
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/iran-update-june-20-2023
Iran has embraced an offensive regional strategy to adapt for modern conflict and pursue external objectives more effectively. This shift means more aggressively empowering the so-called Axis of Resistance and expanding Iranian regional influence.
Regime officials are responding to their evolving threat perceptions and acting on their growing confidence in their defensive capabilities. They now view their conflict against the US as hybrid in nature, rather than conventional.
Iran is building an increasingly capable and cohesive coalition of state security services and foreign militias to execute its rulers’ offensive concepts. This coalition fuses conventional and unconventional means to threaten enemies.
The US must develop its Iran policy past just nuclear negotiations. The US needs a comprehensive strategy that contains the growing threat from the Axis of Resistance while maintaining deterrence and preventing Iran from acquiring a nuclear weapon.
Iran Update, June 21, 2023
The Syrian regime is leveraging regional normalization with Arab states to fund the reconstruction of Syria’s railways, which could block some Iranian efforts to secure revenue from such projects. The reconstruction of Syria’s rail infrastructure is likely to facilitate Iranian efforts to generate revenue through greater regional trade, nonetheless.
Iran is seeking to leverage arms sales to generate revenue for the Iranian economy.
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/iran-update-june-21-2023
Iran Update, June 22, 2023
Iranian companies are competing for Syrian electricity infrastructure contracts, likely to generate additional revenue for the Iranian economy and reinforce Iranian ties with the Syrian regime.
Druze in the Golan Heights are protesting Israeli plans to build wind turbines, which possibly creates an opportunity for Iran and its Axis of Resistance to generate regional political pressure on Israel.
Senior Iranian officials speaking on behalf of the supreme leader called on Iran’s intelligence organizations to expand their cooperation against threats to the regime. The meeting is part of an emerging trend that signals Khamenei is concerned with domestic stability and securing the regime.
The Raisi administration is continuing its regional economic diplomacy to improve the Iranian economy.
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/iran-update-june-22-2023
Iran Update, June 23, 2023
The 20th round of Astana talks, which aim to end the Syria conflict, concluded in Astana, Kazakhstan on June 21 without an agreement. Iran and Syria messaged ahead of the forum that their positions are aligned for quadripartite talks, possibly signaling that Iran will back the Assad regime’s demand for Turkey’s complete withdrawal from Syria as a precondition for future Astana talks.
The Iranian rial has appreciated approximately ten percent since May 1, likely in part due to the Raisi administration’s economic diplomacy efforts. The Raisi administration’s economic diplomacy combined with ongoing nuclear talks may have generated confidence in the future of the Iranian economy, consequently increasing the value of the rial.
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/iran-update-june-23-2023
IRGC-linked Telegram channel sharing the following tweet:
“If necessary, just as we prevented the fall of Assad, we will prevent the fall of #Putin.”
https://twitter.com/CassandaneIran/status/1672577202586542082
That’s a much bigger undertaking. Tho if Biden follows thru with paying IRI billions, they’ll have more ability to help Putin
I hope they try to save Putin, in which case we’ll get rid of the theocrazy too.
Iran is framing the US-led international coalition in Syria as an imminent security threat to local Syrians, possibly to incite and sustain local support to expel US forces from Syria. Iran maintains the capability to attack US forces in the Middle East via its proxies but has restrained them from conducting attacks.
Law Enforcement Commander Brigadier General Ahmad Reza Radan will soon travel to Russia to increase security cooperation with Moscow. Iranian media reported on June 26 that Radan will travel to Russia on an unspecified date to observe the Russian police's methods for confronting organized crime.[7] Radan will also sign a memorandum of understanding with Russian security officials to increase Russo-Iranian cooperation in combatting terrorism and human and drug trafficking. Iranian law enforcement commanders rarely travel abroad, and Radan has not traveled abroad since becoming Law Enforcement Commander in January 2023. Former Law Enforcement Commander Brigadier General Hossein Ashtari only made one foreign trip to Iraq during his eight-year tenure, for example.[8] The announcement of Radan’s trip follows Wagner Group financier Yevgeny Prigozhin’s June 23-24 armed rebellion against the Russian Ministry of Defense.[9] The timing of this announcement suggests that Radan is traveling to Russia to help Russian President Vladimir Putin maintain internal security. Radan previously traveled to Damascus, Syria as law enforcement deputy commander in 2011 to support Syrian security services’ crackdown against the Syrian people.[10]
Iran may seek Russian security assistance to crack down more forcefully on Iranian anti-regime activity. Radan stated on June 26 that the Law Enforcement Command (LEC) will “forcefully” confront “norm breakers,” a term Iranian security officials frequently use to describe individuals who participate in acts of anti-regime defiance, including unveiled women.[11] President Ebrahim Raisi separately stated on June 25 that the regime's efforts to “reduce social harms” have been “insufficient.”[12] The regime recently began implementing a “smart” approach for enforcing mandatory veiling in mid-April.[13] This approach uses advanced technologies, such as facial-recognizing cameras, to identify unveiled women without physically confronting them. Several Iranians recently told the BBC that these smart technologies are inaccurate, however, with several long-haired men reporting that they received hijab warning messages after traffic cameras mistook them for unveiled women.[14] The Wall Street Journal reported on March 27 that Russia is providing Iran with advanced surveillance software.[15]
The IRGC appointed two new northwest regional commanders on June 26, indicating the regime's focus on security threats in the area.
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/iran-update-june-26-2023
The Iranian president expressed full support for the Russian leadership in the wake of the Wagner mutiny, going a step further than sentiments of Iran’s Foreign Ministry which had said that the Islamic Republic supports the rule of law in the Russian Federation and considers the latest developments to be an internal Russian matter.
Although Iran’s official reaction to the ‘Wagner rebellion’ was cautiously supportive of Vladimir Putin, Ali Motahari, the former deputy speaker of the parliament warned the authorities of the Islamic Republic not to continue linking the interests of the Iranian people to the interests of Russia. He said that the authorities of the Islamic Republic should “know that Russia is not a strong party to lean on.”
Former lawmaker Mahmoud Sadeghi tweeted Sunday that the Iranian authorities talk about being neutral but choose sides even in Russia’s internal affairs, officially siding with Putin.
On Sunday, the former head of the Iranian parliament’s National Security and Foreign Relations Committee, Heshmatollah Falahatpisheh, told Didban website that following Saturday’s challenge by Wagner, Putin can no longer claim to be as powerful as before. Falahatpisheh added that “It was naturally clear that Putin cannot have a stable future.” He further remarked that “we are going back to the Yeltsin period”.
https://www.iranintl.com/en/202306264816
Iran Update, June 27, 2023
Iranian-backed militants are building new military sites south of Damascus City likely as part of the Iranian effort to secure transportation routes throughout Syria and connecting to the Golan Heights and Lebanon.
Law Enforcement Commander Brigadier General Ahmad Reza Radan traveled to Moscow on June 27 to expand internal security cooperation with Russian security services.
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/iran-update-june-27-2023
Iran Update, June 28, 2023
Iranian leadership met with Iraqi Shia Coordination Framework leadership in Tehran to discuss forming political coalitions during the week of June 19, likely to unify the Coordination Framework ahead of the Iraqi provincial elections in December 2023.
Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu held a phone conversation with Iranian Armed Forces General Staff Chief Major General Mohammad Bagheri on June 28.
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/iran-update-june-28-2023
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.