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Avoiding Climate Catastrophe: Global Elimination of Meat Production Could Save the Planet
https://scitechdaily.com ^ | February 01, 2022 | By UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA - BERKELEY

Posted on 02/01/2022 11:49:20 AM PST by Red Badger

Eliminating all animal agriculture within the next 15 years would drastically reduce greenhouse gas emissions and also pull carbon dioxide from the atmosphere.

A new study of the climate impacts of raising animals for food concludes that phasing out all animal agriculture has the potential to substantially alter the trajectory of global warming.

The work is a collaboration between Michael Eisen, professor of molecular and cell biology at the University of California, Berkeley, and Patrick Brown, professor emeritus of biochemistry at Stanford University and the CEO of Impossible Foods Inc., a company that sells plant-based meat substitutes.

Eisen, who consults for Impossible Foods, and Brown used a simple climate model to look at the combined impact of eliminating emissions linked to animal agriculture and of restoring native vegetation on the 30% of Earth’s land surface currently used to house and feed livestock.

They found that the resulting drop in methane and nitrous oxide levels, and the conversion of 800 gigatons (800 billion tons) of carbon dioxide to forest, grassland, and soil biomass, would have the same beneficial impact on global warming as cutting annual global CO2 emissions by 68%.

“Our work shows that ending animal agriculture has the unique potential to significantly reduce atmospheric levels of all three major greenhouse gases, which, because we have dithered in responding to the climate crisis, is now necessary to avert climate catastrophe,” said Eisen, who is also a Howard Hughes Medical Institute (HHMI) investigator at UC Berkeley.

A major reason for the large long-term effect Eisen and Brown observe is that its benefits accrue rapidly. Brown argues that this demonstrates that eliminating animal agriculture should be as high a priority as eliminating fossil fuel use.

“Eliminating animal agriculture would have a quicker and greater impact over the next 20 to 50 years, the critical window for avoiding climate catastrophe, and thus should be at the top of the list of potential climate solutions,” Brown said.

“There is,” he added, “an enormous, previously unrecognized opportunity to sharply bend the trajectory of climate change within a couple of decades, with multiple additional environmental and public health benefits, and minimal economic disruption.”

The study will be published today (February 1, 2022) in the journal PLOS Climate.

Not an impossible task Eisen and Brown have discussed the impacts of raising animals for food for years. Both men are vegans. Eisen stopped eating meat after convincing himself of the dire impact animal agriculture has on the world’s climate. Brown founded Impossible Foods in 2011 for similar reasons, began marketing the Impossible Burger in 2016, and recently launched plant-based chicken nuggets and ground pork products.

“My awareness of the potential impact was a major motivation for launching Impossible Foods,” Brown said. “In fact, I’ve been saying for years that replacing livestock in the global food system would turn back the clock on climate change. But although I knew that this conclusion was directionally correct, the environment and policy community would accept it only if we did this rigorous modeling that Mike and I did.”

Most research on the impact of animal agriculture has focused on the impact today of methane emissions from animals and their manure, nitrous oxide from fertilizer used to grow animal feed, and from the carbon dioxide produced raising and transporting animals and meat. Two reports within the past year, however, addressed a different aspect of animal agriculture: the potential that grazing land has for regrowing vegetation and sequestering carbon from the atmosphere.

“Everybody knows that methane is a problem. Everybody knows that livestock contribute to global warming in some way,” Eisen said. “But animal ag contributes to global warming in two ways: It contributes via emissions and contributes because that land would otherwise be holding carbon. Most analyses only look at one of those things.”

Even though the animal industry today is responsible for about 16% of annual greenhouse gas emissions, by some estimates about one-third of all the carbon dioxide humans have added to the atmosphere since the dawn of animal husbandry is a result of land cleared for animal grazing and to grow feed or provide forage for animals used as food.

“What hadn’t been recognized is the much more impactful potential to unlock negative emissions by eliminating that industry,” Brown said.

The two scientists spent the pandemic years researching climate models and climate change literature to quantify the direct and indirect impact of eliminating animal agriculture worldwide. While cows and other bovids, like buffalo, represent about 80% of animal agriculture’s impact, they also considered the impact of pigs, chickens and other domesticated animals used for food, though not the world’s fisheries.

While both researchers would just as soon eliminate animal agriculture today, they chose a more realistic scenario: a phaseout over 15 years.

“A 15-year phaseout is not unrealistic — a lot of things happen on that timeframe,” Eisen said. “We went from having no cellphones to cellphones being ubiquitous in less time than that. It’s not that we’re saying we’re going to get rid of animal ag in the next 15 years, though that’s sort of the mission for Impossible Foods, but that is something we could do.”

Their conclusions are that a 15-year phaseout would immediately eliminate about one-third of all methane emissions globally and two-thirds of all nitrous oxide emissions, allowing the atmosphere to achieve a new equilibrium at lower levels of both.

Better nutrition without animal products While Eisen and Brown acknowledge that animal products are key to nutrition in most countries — they supply about 18% of the calories, 40% of the protein and 45% of the fat in the human food supply — they point out that worldwide, about 400 million people already live on entirely plant-based diets. Existing crops could replace the calories, protein and fat from animals with a vastly reduced land, water, greenhouse gas and biodiversity impact, requiring only minor adjustments to optimize nutrition.

Based on his experience with Impossible Foods, Brown said, “there’s compelling evidence that animal agriculture can be replaced without requiring meat lovers to compromise on nutrition or any of the sensory pleasures they love.”

Both scientists hope that their study will prod policymakers to consider the reduction or elimination of animal agriculture — barely mentioned in the most recent IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) report — as an important option for reducing greenhouse gases. They look forward to a robust debate now that their data and analysis are online through the open access journal PLOS Climate.

“What we really did in the paper was try to formalize what it would mean to get rid of animal agriculture without making it too complicated,” Eisen said. “There’s a lot of uncertainty, there are a lot of unknowns, but I think probably the biggest uncertainty is whether people will look at this potential and act on it as a society.”

“I’m hoping that others, including entrepreneurs, scientists, and global policymakers, will recognize that this is the most important opportunity humanity has to reverse the trajectory of climate change, and seize it,” Brown said.

The study was conducted with no outside funding. Eisen worked on the project as an HHMI investigator, alongside his research on gene regulation in fruit flies.

“I think this is a kind of Pearl Harbor moment for science. The climate of the planet is under a bigger threat now than it’s ever been in history, and to the extent that scientists can find ways to contribute, I think it’s really incumbent upon us to do so,” Eisen said.

Reference: “Rapid global phaseout of animal agriculture has the potential to stabilize greenhouse gas levels for 30 years and offset 68 percent of CO2 emissions this century” 1 February 2022, PLOS Climate. DOI: 10.1371/journal.pclm.0000010


TOPICS: Agriculture; Business/Economy; Food; Pets/Animals
KEYWORDS: climatechange; climatechangehoax; globalwarming; globalwarminghoax
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To: Red Badger

Vegetarians fart like motorboats.


61 posted on 02/01/2022 12:25:45 PM PST by Eleutheria5 (Buck Foe Jiden!I)
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To: Red Badger

The Planet is fine it’s these crazies that are sick


62 posted on 02/01/2022 12:26:14 PM PST by butlerweave
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To: Red Badger

Get rid of the cows, and there’s always “long pork”. Especially the grass fed variety.


63 posted on 02/01/2022 12:28:17 PM PST by Mr. Rabbit
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To: Red Badger

By UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA - BERKELEY

“They don’t call it Berzerkley for nothing..........................”

Yep, the very origin of the current Communist agenda. It all started in Berkeley.


64 posted on 02/01/2022 12:28:20 PM PST by Openurmind (The ultimate test of a moral society is the kind of world it leaves to its children. ~ D. Bonhoeffer)
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To: Red Badger

The communists are pushing to ban animal agriculture. They are smarter than you and know what’s best for you
They will find (or manufacture) any facts they need to rule over you with their wisdom.


65 posted on 02/01/2022 12:28:40 PM PST by HereInTheHeartland (Leave me alone, I have no incriminating evidence on the Clinton's )
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To: Red Badger

...Patrick Brown, professor emeritus of biochemistry at Stanford University and the CEO of Impossible Foods Inc., a company that sells plant-based meat substitutes.

No Conflict Of Interest there. No sir.


66 posted on 02/01/2022 12:29:51 PM PST by Flick Lives (The CDC. Brought to you by Pfizer.)
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To: Red Badger

These vegans keep it up and “Vegetarian meal” will end up taking on a whole new meaning. lol


67 posted on 02/01/2022 12:32:24 PM PST by Openurmind (The ultimate test of a moral society is the kind of world it leaves to its children. ~ D. Bonhoeffer)
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To: Red Badger

Yeah, not so much there soy kids. You eat your ‘coulda been meat’ an I’ll have me a nice grass fed steak. A big one. And share the leftovers and bone with my neighbors pup.


68 posted on 02/01/2022 12:33:11 PM PST by rktman (Destroy America from within? Check! WTH? Enlisted USN 1967 to end up with this? 😕)
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To: Theo
To be fair, he’s also professor emeritus of biochemistry at Stanford University.

Which means he is an amateur in climate science. Of course he blindly believes the science climate scientists tell him. It's good for business (his business).

69 posted on 02/01/2022 12:34:48 PM PST by seowulf (Civilization begins with order, grows with liberty, and dies with chaos...Will Durant)
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To: curious7

“Avoiding Climate Catastrophe: Global Elimination of Climate Catastrophe Hysterics Will Save the Planet”


70 posted on 02/01/2022 12:35:57 PM PST by TheDon (Resist the usurpers)
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To: Red Badger

These people are absolute psychopaths, this is the biggest scam since forever. Every freakin’ year it’s the same weather patterns.

I notice the new DEMOCRAT Mayor of NYC during a crime wave where 2 cops were murdered last week said he is going to appoint a climate change “leadership team”. Yes THIS is a priority! When people are being murdered literally EVERY DAY in his city, freakin climate change is the issue that must be addressed. God knows what the hell a climate change leadership team does. Freakin absolute morons in that city, UTTER morons! You would think after Cuomo and DeBlasio they would have had enough, but nooooo. Like little dipsht programmed robots they gotta vote Rat no matter what.


71 posted on 02/01/2022 12:36:34 PM PST by GrandJediMasterYoda (As long as Hillary Clinton remains free, the USA will never have equal justice under the law)
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To: stars & stripes forever

Fine. I’ll just shoot a couple more deer next year then.


72 posted on 02/01/2022 12:37:40 PM PST by technically right
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To: Red Badger

I thought the plan was to kill off old people and those with multiple co-morbidities.

Guess they didn’t kill enough. And the fauxxines are taking too long.


73 posted on 02/01/2022 12:39:03 PM PST by airborne (Thank you Rush for helping me find FreeRepublic! )
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To: Red Badger

Anyone ever check out the methane percentage in the atmosphere? It’s 0.00017% There’s more freakin hot air from Al Gores fat mouth than there is methane


74 posted on 02/01/2022 12:39:49 PM PST by GrandJediMasterYoda (As long as Hillary Clinton remains free, the USA will never have equal justice under the law)
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To: Red Badger
Impossible Fools!
75 posted on 02/01/2022 12:40:17 PM PST by outofsalt (If history teaches us anything, it's that history rarely teaches anything.)
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To: Red Badger
--- "The work is a collaboration between Michael Eisen, professor of molecular and cell biology at the University of California, Berkeley, and Patrick Brown, professor emeritus of biochemistry at Stanford University and the CEO of Impossible Foods Inc., a company that sells plant-based meat substitutes."

As with the early mRNA studies which featured various groups -- all associated with Pfizer-BioNTech -- the media hides the marketing roots in plain view.

From the Impossible Foods site:

"Animal meat production uses nearly half of the world's land, is responsible for at least 15% of global greenhouse gas emissions and consumes 25% of the world's freshwater. We make meat from plants using a small fraction of the land, water and energy — so people can keep eating the foods they love, without harming the planet they love."

https://impossiblefoods.com/company/overview

We make meat. From plants. The assertion requires word definitions change, a specialty in this day and age. Making involves biochemistry, not ranches and "fresh from the butcher(/s)."

It is amusing, when one considers that herd animals make meat from plants naturally. No requirement to re-define the words. NO marketing is necessary.

What Impossible Foods makes is IMITATION meat from plants.

Where's the beef? Nowhere in an "impossible" burger, made with biochemistry including one to pretend to "bleed," soy leghemoglobin. Mmm. Yum. Not.

76 posted on 02/01/2022 12:40:44 PM PST by Worldtraveler once upon a time
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To: Red Badger

Try selling that in Texas!


77 posted on 02/01/2022 12:42:29 PM PST by beethovenfan (Mene, Mene, Tekel, Upharsin)
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To: Cobra64
These morons should take a look at a volcano eruption and then ask themselves how they will control a cubic mile of gas and ash blown up to 30,000 feet.

AOC says, not a problem! Just scale up a coal scrubber like this one so it's large enough to cover the volcano. See, it's easy! LOL!


78 posted on 02/01/2022 12:47:41 PM PST by JesusIsLord
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To: Red Badger

Brown has been claiming “animal based agriculture” is the root of all our problems for over a decade, and founded his fake meat company to “save the planet”. Now that nobody wants to eat his crappy product, he funds a “study” that he will try to use to lobby for laws and policies that limit animal based agriculture.

Such is the current status of science. You pay for a study, you get the result you want.


79 posted on 02/01/2022 12:47:50 PM PST by ETCM
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To: Red Badger

Retards who have never seen either farming nor ranching. Farming is far more resource intensive.

Plants have to be planted, watered, weeded (in some form, even if it’s glyphosphate application), fertilized, and harvested.

And many crops need industrial scale processing after that to turn them into food.

Cattle reproduce themselves and do just fine on grass and weeds that are already growing in the fields. They require minimal processing to be food.


80 posted on 02/01/2022 12:49:02 PM PST by hopespringseternal
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