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Goldman just figured out why the labor shortage will last for a long time: 60% of the missing workers retired, many for good
Yahoo! News ^ | 11/12/2021 | Juliana Kaplan, Madison Hoff

Posted on 11/14/2021 7:56:38 AM PST by millenial4freedom

Reports of labor shortages may not end anytime soon because a hefty number of retirement age workers have left the labor force - and a whole lot of them may not be coming back.

A Friday note from Goldman Sachs researchers led by Jan Hatzius finds that 3.4 million of the people who left the labor force - meaning they're not working or aren't actively looking for work - are over 55. Roughly 1.5 million of them were early retirements, and 1 million were normal retirements. Those two groups of retirements "likely won't reverse," meaning that, out of the five million workers Goldman estimates are still missing from the labor force, about half may not ever return.

(Excerpt) Read more at yahoo.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Chit/Chat; Miscellaneous
KEYWORDS: economy; goldmansachs; janhatzius; jobs
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1 posted on 11/14/2021 7:56:38 AM PST by millenial4freedom
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To: millenial4freedom

I’m one of them…..I go on SSN on Feb. 1.

I’m cashing in.


2 posted on 11/14/2021 7:59:52 AM PST by GSWarrior
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To: millenial4freedom

And this is a bad thing? Because?


3 posted on 11/14/2021 8:01:27 AM PST by Steven Scharf
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To: millenial4freedom

Don’t forget about the Million or so that disappeared from the workforce through excess death’s since March this year


4 posted on 11/14/2021 8:01:30 AM PST by eyeamok (founded in cynicism, wrapped in sarcasm)
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To: millenial4freedom

Hanging in until 6/2/22 if I can.


5 posted on 11/14/2021 8:01:51 AM PST by brownsfan (It's going to take real, serious, hard times to wake the American public.)
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To: GSWarrior

Mee too!

COVID accelerated my retirement by two years.


6 posted on 11/14/2021 8:02:07 AM PST by phoneman08 (qwiyrqweopigradfdz oncmccRthym,.dadfjl,dz )
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To: millenial4freedom

I certainly did. Worked part time for “early retirement” from 55, and then fully when I hit seventy (four years ago).


7 posted on 11/14/2021 8:02:24 AM PST by Wonder Warthog (Not Responding to Seagull Snark)
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To: millenial4freedom

health care can be a big expense for those who retire before age 65. Your employer will no longer be there to contribute to premiums.


8 posted on 11/14/2021 8:03:25 AM PST by ChronicMA
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To: millenial4freedom

The people pulling the wagon up the hill looked back and realized their sacrifice was for nothing...

The ‘elites’ are going to be the ones hurt in the long run... and that’s a good thing.


9 posted on 11/14/2021 8:04:05 AM PST by GOPJ (One man lying to himself is pathetic - but a culture lying to itself seeds it's own destruction.)
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To: millenial4freedom

What a minute! You mean one of the “experts” has just now thought of this possibility? I figured this out over a year ago. The older than 55 population has been told repeatedly that we are useless and no longer needed because the younger folks can handle it.

So, the engineer that has the expertise, and the plant worker that knows which part of a machine needs replacing every six months, and the elderly office manager that knows when every report needs to be filed, have retired and are now out of the work force. Most that remain are hires that check the correct boxes but who actually have no clue when it comes to performing the actual work required. Good luck!


10 posted on 11/14/2021 8:05:18 AM PST by CFW
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To: GSWarrior

I wouldn’t say you’re cashing in on SS.....you’re getting about a third of what you could have earned if you’d been able to invest it on your own.


11 posted on 11/14/2021 8:06:16 AM PST by ealgeone
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To: millenial4freedom

I’ve been hearing for years that there is going to be a boomer retirement boom in the 2020s, and now there is.

Somehow now it’s a surprise, and it should be no surprise I’m not going back either.


12 posted on 11/14/2021 8:06:40 AM PST by seowulf (Civilization begins with order, grows with liberty, and dies with chaos...Will Durant)
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To: CFW

And probably fed up with the wokeies in the office.


13 posted on 11/14/2021 8:07:13 AM PST by ealgeone
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To: Steven Scharf

“And this is a bad thing? Because?”

Have you seen the current crop of Americans entering the workforce?


14 posted on 11/14/2021 8:07:32 AM PST by PTBAA
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To: millenial4freedom

My job was ended by COVID short of my 59th birthday, I’m not going back to work.


15 posted on 11/14/2021 8:07:35 AM PST by IamConservative (I was nervous like the third chimp in line for the Ark after the rain started.)
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To: millenial4freedom

My husband retired on Friday. He hasn’t been this happy in years.


16 posted on 11/14/2021 8:07:50 AM PST by Not A Snowbird (I do not recognize Biden’s authority. )
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To: ChronicMA
I retired from full-time in August 2020, and now I'm part time because:

Medical costs, especially name-brand meds,

The grand-children are over all the time, and they empty the pantry like locusts,

My wife and I are married, but not for 24/7

17 posted on 11/14/2021 8:08:31 AM PST by Bernard (If a school can offer varsity sports, it should also offer varsity (honors) academics.)
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To: millenial4freedom
A few years of Bidenflation should wipe out their savings and drive them back to work. Maybe jack up Social Security age to 70 to help them make that decision.

Work! Work! You have a lot of people on welfare to support.

18 posted on 11/14/2021 8:10:16 AM PST by KarlInOhio ("Anti-fascist" is from the official name of the Berlin Wall: Anti-fascist Protection Barrier.)
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To: GSWarrior

I decided on my retirement date just about the time the whole COVID-19 nonsense was getting underway, and left at the end of July 2020. Everything I’ve seen since then makes me glad I did, even if I’m not as well-positioned financially as I might like. We will get by.

I might work again part time somewhere, but not at any job that involves any form of mandatory masking or “vaccination”.


19 posted on 11/14/2021 8:10:37 AM PST by HartleyMBaldwin
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To: millenial4freedom
I've seen many retirements and many were experts who had it dealing with failures and broken processes. COVID-1984 and the lockdowns didn't create the failures but certainly brought them to the surface. Every jig-rigged process starting failing and many employees who'd been sounding the alarm to deaf ears for years just walked away.

They're not coming back either; it's too large a job to fix problems, especially systems and data problems, all to just break even (versus improving things). As multiple companies try at the same time to fix their decades of problems, the demand for talent far exceeds the available staff. The illegal aliens the Xao Bai-Din administration is bringing in isn't going to help either.

20 posted on 11/14/2021 8:13:36 AM PST by T.B. Yoits
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