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Betting on the California recall
Me | 9/12/2021 | Me

Posted on 09/12/2021 4:30:18 AM PDT by MountainWalker

Started to get a bad feeling about the recall and figured I’d place an emotional hedge bet for Newsom that I’d be thrilled to lose. The betting odds are now so heavily in his favor that’s it’s not even worth it. A $10 bet for 40c in winnings. I only bet a literal few bucks at a time in sports whenever I’m watching with family, so I’d have to bet my entire modest bankroll for nearly $6.

I thought instead about placing my money on Elder, which is paying about 10 to 1. Then, I checked Trafalgar, the pollster I trust the most, and they have it breaking hard for the No’s now, about a 10 point gap.

It’s really depressing. I know there will be talk about cheating and all, but California is really a failed state with a hopelessly unreachable leftist majority. This shouldn’t be much of a surprise as so many people are fleeing.

If this goes how I fear it will, I hope it serves as a wake-up call to the many remaining holdouts to relocate to redder pastures. There is no hope for that state. You’d sooner convert ISIS to Christianity than bring around most of these commies. They will never internalize the dystopian hellscape that they’ve created for themselves and change. That said, you might as well get out and vote for Elder if you haven’t already.


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1 posted on 09/12/2021 4:30:18 AM PDT by MountainWalker
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To: MountainWalker

The Dems are going to steal it.


2 posted on 09/12/2021 4:38:25 AM PDT by DownInFlames (G)
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To: MountainWalker

Unverified mail in voting:

Newton to deliver victory speech momentarily.


3 posted on 09/12/2021 4:40:19 AM PDT by FlipWilson
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To: DownInFlames

I doh’t tink so.

Just about everyone I know living there is liberal. The few that aren’t moved there from the midwest and were conservative before hand.

The state is a disaster.

Larry has courage. He would have been good for the state.

You can’t underestimate the power of the media. They hate us.


4 posted on 09/12/2021 4:41:45 AM PDT by nikos1121
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To: MountainWalker

There is still hope as Biden is said to be campaigning for him next week. “DON’T UNDERESTIMATE JOE’S ABILITY TO F—K THINGS UP.”


5 posted on 09/12/2021 4:45:04 AM PDT by freespirit2012
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To: DownInFlames

They don’t need to steal it.

Look at their Legislature. There is a strong moonbat majority in that state.


6 posted on 09/12/2021 4:46:35 AM PDT by Jim Noble (The nation cannot be saved until the GOP is destroyed)
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To: nikos1121

actually i am working at the polls in the mid-San Fernando Valley, not the most conservative area at all. there is tremendous sentiment by those coming to vote that elections are manipulated. we had many who asked for paper ballots, eschewing the bmd’s. there is an undercurrent of discontent. whether it fully manifests this time around, i don’t know. i always ask friends not against Newsom to name 3 of his accomplishments. crickets. they aren’t rational. they are tribal just going for the D on the ballot.


7 posted on 09/12/2021 4:50:13 AM PDT by avital2
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To: MountainWalker

Gavin Newsom will not be allowed to lose the recall election for one reason.

Spewsom is Bidens follow on for the presidency.

it would be a Victory for freedom if Larry Elder won. Maybe voters will actually get it.\

But this article itself is a troll to keep Larry Elder voters home.A suppression move. F**k the trolling , get out and vote for Elder. You will be glad you bet on Elder win or lose.


8 posted on 09/12/2021 4:50:58 AM PDT by Candor7 ((Obama Fascism:http://www.americanthinker.com/2009/05/barack_obama_the_quintessentia_1.html) )
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To: MountainWalker
The recall is a referendum on Repressive COVID policies, Newsom is merely the stinkiest example of it. Take COVID out of it and Newsom has no problem.

Also remember the Californians are very outdoorsy kinds of people with their great Mediterranean climate that they now cannot enjoy. Having to wear masks Outdoors is completely nutty and they know it.

I'd say Newsome looses unless the vote is rigged. If they are using the Dominion voting machines, that is a distinct possibility. Add vote harvesting where the harvesters throw out the votes for, say, Elder, then California is a Banana Republic headed for Communism I'd say.

If the vote is fair, I'd give it sixty percent for the recall.

CO

9 posted on 09/12/2021 4:53:04 AM PDT by CptnObvious
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To: MountainWalker

A tie always goes to the Democrat. A close win for the Republican always goes to the Democrat. And this is going to be a close win for Elder.


10 posted on 09/12/2021 4:57:06 AM PDT by fwdude (If you don’t think you are in a battle w/ the culture for your children then you are already losing.)
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To: DownInFlames

Why Larry Elder Will Win the California Recall Election ... But He Will Lose a Rigged Election

Wayne Allyn Root | Sep 12, 2021

https://townhall.com/columnists/wayneallynroot/2021/09/12/why-larry-elder-will-win-the-california-recall-election—but-he-will-lose-a-rigged-election-just-like-trump-n2595719


11 posted on 09/12/2021 4:59:06 AM PDT by Travis McGee (EnemiesForeignAndDomestic.com)
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To: MountainWalker

They have rolled out “jug ears” Obama and that just enrages me. Unfortunately for our family, my job is still here and I need to work but not happy about the constant increases in gas taxes, increase in homelessness and poor fiscal management let alone the arrogance of Newsome.


12 posted on 09/12/2021 5:04:07 AM PDT by Metrobank
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To: MountainWalker
LARRY ELDER: Sunday @ 1pm, Rose McGowan and I holding a press conference. Rose will detail how Gavin Newsom’s wife, Jennifer, attempted to bribe and silence her from speaking out about Harvey Weinstein’s sexual abuses.
13 posted on 09/12/2021 5:05:07 AM PDT by mewzilla (Those aren't masks. They're muzzles. )
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To: MountainWalker

The final count will be 114217984791874954795791 votes for Newsome, and negative 118301803808408408 votes for Elder.


14 posted on 09/12/2021 5:10:52 AM PDT by Lazamataz (I feel like it is 1937 Germany, and my last name is Feinberg.)
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To: DownInFlames

The Dems have 66-33 percent registration advantage. Not only that, we only hold 7 out of 55 house seats. They don’t need to cheat. They have a huge amount of democrats in the state.


15 posted on 09/12/2021 5:15:15 AM PDT by napscoordinator (Trump/Hunter, jr for President/Vice President 2016 )
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To: MountainWalker

It’s a rigged game.

The Dems own the Electoral Casino. We can place our bets but it’s them what rolls the dice, spins the wheel, rigs the slots.

The odds are always in favor of the house.

Good on Larry Elder, though. He’s a fearless guy.


16 posted on 09/12/2021 5:19:06 AM PDT by Quentin Quarantino (,)
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To: Candor7
Gavin Newsom will not be allowed to lose the recall election for one reason. Spewsom is Bidens follow on for the presidency.

Isn't Newsom also Nancy Pelosi's nephew or relative in some way?

It would be a HUGE embarrassment to her if he lost.

17 posted on 09/12/2021 5:22:00 AM PDT by usconservative (When The Ballot Box No Longer Counts, The Ammunition Box Does. (What's In Your Ammo Box?))
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To: mewzilla

I’m sure she did but seems like a Hail Mary at this point. How many people haven’t voted yet? Not sure that would move any votes anyway.


18 posted on 09/12/2021 5:22:03 AM PDT by MountainWalker
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To: avital2

It would not surprise me if the majority of actual votes were to recall Newsom.

However, the Democrats have a million plus votes of dead people ready to dump late at night if needed.

You have better odds at a mob casino with Guido carefully watching your every move...and ready to break your legs if you get too clever.

No way they let the slaves get too uppity.


19 posted on 09/12/2021 5:29:40 AM PDT by cgbg (A kleptocracy--if they can keep it. Think of it as the Cantillon Effect in action.)
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To: MountainWalker

A conservative would have good odds in America......but not in the tyranny that is California.

Even discussing an election in the formerly American state of California is a joke


20 posted on 09/12/2021 5:38:35 AM PDT by bert ( (KE. NP. N.C. +12) Like BLM, Joe Biden is a Domestic Enemy )
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