Free Republic
Browse · Search
General/Chat
Topics · Post Article

To: Steven W.; foldspace; TXnMA; Cletus.D.Yokel

Found on thedonald.win:

Here’s the idea:

People on the left are now claiming that elections (since towns start with a finite size, the counting doesn’t start at 0) don’t follow Benford’s Law, that you have to “normalize” the data. And once you do, Biden totals look real.

I have a PhD a VERY hard science (quantum mechanics). So I follow Dick Feynman’s Law, “It doesn’t matter how beautiful your theory is, it doesn’t matter how smart you are. If it doesn’t agree with experiment, it’s wrong.”

Here’s my idea. It doesn’t involve normalizing or anything.

Let’s use REAL ELECTION DATA from this election.

Separate out Wisconsin, Michigan, Georgia, and Pennsylvania, and Nevada. Put them aside for a moment.

Do Benford’s Law for each and every other state in the country, one state at a time. For Dems, Trump, and Libertardtarian. That automatically removes any second-guessing about “assumptions” or “models”.

But that’s just the first step.

Do it at 9PM election day. Do it at 7AM Nov.4 (for both the total, and for just the late votes). Do it at 7AM Nov.5 (for both the total, and for just the late votes). Do it at 7AM Nov.6 (for both the total, and for just the late votes).

Then do the same thing, for the US Senate race in each case.

This will show

a) if Benford’s Law holds for THIS election without normalizing. b) if Benford’s Law suddenly changes with new votes c) if Benford’s Law holds for the Senate but not the Presidency.

Then do the same thing for each of the supposed Dem Fraud States.

And you have an unmassaged, real-time, control group...on THIS election, so there’s no apples to oranges.

ANY TAKERS?

(Someone get this to the datacrunchers behind the Trump team, please!)


1,016 posted on 11/08/2020 7:41:48 AM PST by grey_whiskers (The opinions are solely those of the author and are subject to change with out notice.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1014 | View Replies ]


To: grey_whiskers

I like where you’re going, but I can’t even normalize myself before coffee. And even when I do, it’s a fleeting moment.

I call it “Meyer’s Law”. :)

Seriously, that is an interesting proposition. I see the word “normalize”, especially when stated by a democrat, and I see shenanigans designed to give an impression other than what is true.


1,040 posted on 11/08/2020 8:06:52 AM PST by meyer (WWG1WGA, MAGA! Derps vs. Patriots, choose your side.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1016 | View Replies ]

To: grey_whiskers

tough finding info re: contesting election and deadlines for it. Gone bug-eyed reading state statutes.
Here’s a half-way decent explanation for some states - assuming it’s true...

https://www.rawstory.com/2020/11/election-laws-and-lawsuits-heres-a-field-guide-to-the-states-that-may-determine-the-2020-outcome/

PA - has to be filed within 20 days of the election
MI - not codified - appears to be subject to review by the AG, which is a RAT
AZ - Not codified but a process is in place.
NC - Process in place - in 2019, the state board ordered a congressional election rerun
WI - no contest of an election - recount is the only recourse.

I’ll keep searching. It would be great for us to know.


1,047 posted on 11/08/2020 8:17:16 AM PST by stylin19a ( 2016 - Best.Election.Of.All.Times.Ever.In.The.History.Of.Ever)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1016 | View Replies ]

To: grey_whiskers

“I have a PhD a VERY hard science (quantum mechanics).”

Big deal bigot. The only PhDs that matter are social work and gender studies. Take your racist logic and math stuff out of here. /sarcasm

:-)


1,068 posted on 11/08/2020 8:38:23 AM PST by edh
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1016 | View Replies ]

Free Republic
Browse · Search
General/Chat
Topics · Post Article


FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson