Posted on 10/21/2020 9:32:14 AM PDT by dangus
Two weeks ago, Rasmussen shocked Republicans by claiming that Biden led by 12 percent. Last week, he led by 8. Today, his lead is only 3. And only half of the poll came out after the shocking revelations that Hunter Biden shook down foreign governments for huge amounts of cash on behalf of his father.
IBD/TIPP has similarly shown Biden's lead narrow from 11 points to just 2.5 points, including down from 5.4 just one day earlier. IBD/TIPP is a tracking poll, also, so again, the full effect of the Biden e-mails is just starting to register.
The Economist still shows a healthy lead of 7%, but the internals suggest that if the partisan breakdown is the same as 2016, Trump will win again. Trump leads by 4 among independents, the same as 2016, and does better at retaining Republican voters than in 2016, while Biden does worse at Democratic voters than Clinton did, although in each case, the difference is only 1%. That's enough, since Trump won in 2016. And voter registration has shifted heavily to Republicans during this campaign season.
The bad news is Dornsife which predicted a popular-vote win for Trump consistently throughout 2016, but now predicts a double-digit (11.2%) lead for Biden.
“National Poll: At least 100 people in each Congressional District have been polled Almost 44 to 50 thousand respondents”
do you know if these were likely voters?
and of course, there’s still the issue of “shy” trump voters, right?
“Rush hasn’t sounded that confident the past two days”
Rush is sick and dying, so i suspect that would severely depress his optimism about everything, i know it would with me ...
Just setting the narrative for the upcoming riots.
“And at least 20% of those attending Trump rallies are democrats.”
heck, usually over 25% and sometimes approaching 40% ...
“Most moderate Dems don’t want Joe”
i don’t think most moderate Dem want an uber-leftist government and uber-leftist media, and the ones paying attention know that’s exactly what they’ll get if biden is elected ...
Yes they are likely that is all this pollster polls in his results.
“Yes they are likely that is all this pollster polls in his results.”
thanks!
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