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Antifa Effect? Yes, the Rioting Is Starting to Impact the House Races
Townhall ^ | 9/3/2020 | Matt Vespa

Posted on 09/04/2020 1:28:28 PM PDT by Conserv

Donald Trump is now leading with Independents by ten points, Black and Hispanic voters support for Trump spiked after the GOP convention, and the national race is tightening up. Trump is tied with Biden in Michigan—and enthusiasm for Trump with his base is sky-high. Joe Biden is not fairing so well with Democrats on that front. They know he sucks.

While two months ago, the retaking the house might have seemed like a stretch, but if these lefty clowns keep burning buildings, assaulting cops, and forcing Democratic mayors to flee their residences, then it could be within reach. Patrick Murray commented on Monmouth’s polling of the House races and found that in the six most competitive contests this cycle, the generic Republican is ahead by 10 points [emphasis mine]:

The Monmouth University Poll also posed a generic ballot test for the U.S. House of Representatives election, which shows 48% of registered voters currently supporting the Democratic candidate in their district and 45% backing the Republican. This result stood at a similar 49% to 45% in Monmouth’s July poll. Applying likely voter models to the current sample, high turnout puts the statewide vote choice at 48% Democrat and 46% Republican while low turnout has it at 48% Democrat and 47% Republican.

In 12 congressional districts where the winning margin for either party was greater than 15 points in 2018, the Democrats lead by 8 points (51% to 43%). In the six most competitive districts, though, the Republicans lead by 10 points (50% to 40%). In July, the Democrats held small leads in both the safe seats (49% to 46%) and the competitive ones (48% to 43%).

“Republican gains on the generic ballot in competitive seats should worry Democrats. Only district-level polling can tell if this is because GOP incumbents are bulking up their margins or if GOP challengers are eating into support for Democratic incumbents…”

We still have a longs way to go, but with Labor Day upon us—more folks start to pay attention. If the mayhem in the streets, thanks to leftists continues, expect more shifts across the board. Also, the economy bouncing back, and those three debates could also change the race.


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Josh Kraushaar......

In Pennsylvania’s six most competitive House districts, Republicans have a 10 pt edge on the generic ballot, per Monmouth.

Dems led by five in those same districts in July. As I always say, actions speak as loud as polls.

Fact that Biden was screaming how he wasn’t anti fracking — in Pittsburgh this week — was a big tell. 11:24 AM · Sep 2, 2020

1 posted on 09/04/2020 1:28:28 PM PDT by Conserv
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To: Conserv

Damn. Left out the link........

https://townhall.com/tipsheet/mattvespa/2020/09/03/why-yes-the-rioting-is-starting-to-impact-the-house-races-n2575541


2 posted on 09/04/2020 1:30:10 PM PDT by Conserv
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To: Conserv

History will show that the rotten Rat strategy will go down as the stoopidest political move ever.


3 posted on 09/04/2020 1:43:40 PM PDT by HighSierra5
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To: Conserv

Imagine how great it’s going to be when that hag Pelosi is no longer the Speaker, Adam Schiftless is again in the minority on the Intel committee and there are no long any threats of impeachment against DJT.


4 posted on 09/04/2020 1:45:49 PM PDT by Signalman
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To: Conserv
Fact that Biden was screaming how he wasn’t anti fracking — in Pittsburgh this week — was a big tell

YES, that makes perfect sense! I thought Biden came out of seclusion to oppose violence hurting our cities. But he goes to Pittsburg?, and starts talking about about being pro-fracking? Obviously poll-driven panic had set in.

5 posted on 09/04/2020 1:45:55 PM PDT by ghost of nixon
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To: Conserv
opera non verba
6 posted on 09/04/2020 1:46:33 PM PDT by Chode (Send bachelors and come heavily armed.)
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To: Chode

I highly doubt if the GOP will pick up any seats in urban Western Washington, Western Oregon, the Bay Area or Los Angeles.


7 posted on 09/04/2020 1:59:06 PM PDT by Sicvee (Sicvee)
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To: Conserv

Good


8 posted on 09/04/2020 1:59:22 PM PDT by BlackAdderess (20/20 might be the year the moral bankruptcy of the Uniparty finally comes into clear focus.)
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To: LS

FYI


9 posted on 09/04/2020 1:59:23 PM PDT by laplata (The Left/Progressives have diseased minds.)
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To: Conserv

Thanks Conserv.


10 posted on 09/04/2020 2:06:40 PM PDT by fatima (Free Hugs Today :))
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To: Conserv
Josh Kraushaar...... In Pennsylvania’s six most competitive House districts, Republicans have a 10 pt edge on the generic ballot, per Monmouth. Dems led by five in those same districts in July. As I always say, actions speak as loud as polls. Fact that Biden was screaming how he wasn’t anti fracking — in Pittsburgh this week — was a big tell. 11:24 AM · Sep 2, 2020

Partner, we did see the after war pictures of Kenosha, Wisconsin on Faux News, but they obviously did not want to show the public how bad it was in Kenosha, Wisconsin.

The Governor should be fired immediately after seeing the War Torn Countryside of Kenosha, Wisconsin.

A Car lot with brand new cars was burned down along with the showcase of cars building along with the service buildings of cars.

We have been to Kenosha, Wisconsin but it has been quite some time and we could not believe the Lawlessness and the utter destruction of a nice town like Kenosha, Wisconsin in one night only.

We know that the BLM and Antifa that did the utter destruction in Kenosha, Wisconsin and we definately know that George Soros and his ilk flew these folks to Kenosha, Wisconsin to bring them this destruction of their town.

Other buildings were burned down to the ground in Kenosha, Wisconsin.

President Trump will win the presidential election and the Congress will go to the Republicans.

11 posted on 09/04/2020 2:11:38 PM PDT by TheConservativeTejano (God Bless Texas..)
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To: Conserv

It looks to me like the Left is running their own agenda, and that agenda might be to run businesses out of overpriced jurisdictions with too little housing and overpriced everything. At the same time there are plenty of jurisdictions that would gladly welcome these businesses in communities that have plenty of housing, water, etc.

I understand that, if that’s what they are doing. It’s actually political suicide for the Democrats to support this, which is probably why the Left is making hay while the SJWs are proudly claiming responsibility. At least that’s how it looks to me. It seems like a really strange strategy for a party that has every reason to try to show the voters how well they govern.

What we are looking at instead, is the political equivalent of insulting and belittling a woman in an attempt to get her to feel really badly about herself so that her standards will drop low enough to consider dating the person doing the insulting and belittling. They really are America’s abusive spouse.


12 posted on 09/04/2020 2:41:15 PM PDT by BlackAdderess (20/20 might be the year the moral bankruptcy of the Uniparty finally comes into clear focus.)
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To: Chode

I highly doubt if the GOP will pick up any seats in urban Western Washington, Western Oregon, the Bay Area or Los Angeles.


13 posted on 09/04/2020 2:45:07 PM PDT by Sicvee (Sicvee)
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To: BlackAdderess

“the political equivalent of insulting and belittling a woman in an attempt to get her to feel really badly about herself so that her standards will drop low enough to consider dating the person doing the insulting and belittling. They really are America’s abusive spouse.“

Well put.


14 posted on 09/04/2020 2:54:37 PM PDT by ctdonath2 (Interesting how those so interested in workERS are so disinterested in workING.)
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To: Sicvee

No but I can see the GOP gaining back all the seats lost in 2018 and maybe gaining an extra 10 to 20 seats to get them above 255.


15 posted on 09/04/2020 3:03:30 PM PDT by princeofdarkness
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To: Sicvee

You’re probably right. The defamation of Red state people seems to have pretty effectively kept people in San Fran and other high rent districts to stay put, and put up with being milked dry of their cash. It seems more likely that some people will flee rather than some great movement of Blue state voters deciding to side with their vision of Trump supporters and vote Republican. We’re “deplorable” after all, and maybe one step removed from the Hatfields and McCoys in many West coast minds. Oh the horror!


16 posted on 09/04/2020 3:04:14 PM PDT by BlackAdderess (20/20 might be the year the moral bankruptcy of the Uniparty finally comes into clear focus.)
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To: Conserv

Hopefully the doom-and-gloom Freepers are reading this.


17 posted on 09/04/2020 3:04:49 PM PDT by FormerFRLurker (Keep calm and vote your conscience.)
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To: Conserv

Hopefully the Republicans aren’t going to be caught flat footed with the ballot harvesting like when they lose 7 seats in California.


18 posted on 09/04/2020 3:15:28 PM PDT by Blood of Tyrants (Where do you find the word "except" in the 2nd Amendment?)
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To: Sicvee

I agree. Washington state pubbie party is lost and adrift.


19 posted on 09/04/2020 3:18:16 PM PDT by rockrr ( Everything is different now...)
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To: LS

Can you explain why polls aren’t done 50/50 percent of the dems/ republicans? I’ve never understood why pollsters weigh it heavier like they do for one side. Thanks.


20 posted on 09/04/2020 3:23:09 PM PDT by Citizen Soldier
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