Posted on 04/17/2020 1:52:21 PM PDT by Hojczyk
This may seem like bad news on the surface, but it is actually very positive news on two fronts. First, it demonstrates that many Americans have been infected and either never presented symptoms or presented symptoms mild enough to prevent them from seeking medical attention. It was previously known that some carriers of the coronavirus never get sick at all, but this study shows the number is much higher than previous estimates.
More importantly, it shows the mortality rate from infection is much, much lower than other studies have indicated. According to this comprehensive study by one of the leading medical labs in the nation, the mortality rate for infection of COVID-19 is on par with or even lower than that of the flu.
If we use todays confirmed deaths, 69, and the estimated numbers in the Stanford study from early April, the mortality rate is between 0.08% and 0.14%, or 8-14 deaths per 10,000 infected. That is a far cry from the 3.5% or higher rate currently being used, a number that would attribute 350 deaths per 10,000 infected.
Having exponentially more infections may sound like bad news, but its actually extremely good news. It means millions of Americans have likely been infected and beat the coronavirus without knowing they had it. It also means mortality rates are much, much lower.
(Excerpt) Read more at noqreport.com ...
Do you really think Worldometer recoveries are accurate?
They have been EXTERMLY slow about reporting recoveries.
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
Yes, that’s one of the weaknesses of looking at the CFR, especially while the pandemic is still underway. But when we multiply their recoveries by 85 times, the CFR is still higher than the flu.
I’m completely open to using another, more accurate source. Can you recommend one?
I am skeptical about this report. Might there be false positives due to test defects or to antibody crossreactivity? Or might the antibodies detected be inadequate to confer immunity?
“It is good news! Dont understand why people on FR have to be so shrieky and defensive of their positions on this. Flubros vs Fearbros.”
I’m neither a Flubro or a Fearbro, Factbro here, and I hope your right. If this study is true we should be seeing the number of new cases charting down towards zero very soon, since based on the study we should be at or near the viruses saturation point. So I’ll be watching how the chart progresses with great interest. Ultimately if you want to know if a study or theory is correct, pay attention to the actual real world numbers.
This is absolutely devastating to the shutdown cheerleaders. The mortality rate is about the same as the flu. We shut down the country for nothing. And this insane “test everyone!” movement needs to stop, Now! And there is zero need, country wide, to wait for a vaccine before going back to work.
You are going to get Covid-19. And the odds are overwhelming you will be fine. Same as the flu. Same death rate. Do what we do right now for the flu, and no more.
Shut down this idiocy. Go back to work. False alarm.
We’ve been played.
Yep, I had a terrible flu in the beginning of February. I’m almost certain it was this. Shortness of breath, coughs, it was all in my lungs.
I remember thinking, “Dang this is an unusual flu.” I say that because every big flu I’ve ever had has included sinus infections. Mucinex DM, helped but not that much. I had to take a lot of cough medicine.
Made me cancel vacation time to go skiing.
Ummm, Yeah.
IF these numbers are in the ball [ark, then we basically had a doule take of flu seaspon.
Let’s say N = total respiratory deaths due to viral infections like cold, flu, and now added covid19 (SARS).
If N is a total of all the people who would likely die in a given period of these causes, and each of the subset (N sub 1 N sub2 etc) are attributed to cold, flu A , B, covid SARS etc, then all that has happened really was reshuffling of the deadly deck.... While dead is dead and that is a terrible thing, if covid19 simply took those who were already susceptible to any or all of the other risks, then N still is N.... and it seems that N may be around 75-85k this season.... Some years Flu gets that many.....
Caveat- just my idea/opinion of how the whole may work itself out. I am not a virologist, that’s obvious.
Multiply the 85 by the number of cases minus the deaths....you get less than a tenth of a percent fatality.
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