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Hydroxychloroquine Trial for Treating COVID-19 Disappoints
Reason ^ | 04/16/2020 | Ronald Bailey

Posted on 04/16/2020 8:03:10 PM PDT by SeekAndFind

A just-reported Chinese study compares the clinical outcomes of COVID-19 patients treated with hydroxychloroquine with those of patients receiving standard of care. The results, alas, are disappointing.

I summarized that study in my roundup yesterday of COVID-19 therapeutic research, pointing out that this randomized controlled trial of 150 patients "found no difference in the rate of viral load reduction or symptom alleviation between the group treated with hydroxychloroquine and the one that had not been." Now the University of Vermont pulmonologist Josh Farkas has published his own analysis of the results, delving more deeply into the data.

The patients in both arms of the study were well-matched demographically and clinically, Farkas notes. Most suffered relatively mild cases of the disease, and treatment was initiated fairly late—about 16 to 17 days after disease onset. Twenty-eight days into the trial, the researchers found essentially no difference between the two cohorts with respect to the percent of patients in which the virus was undetectable.

Farkas adds:

This endpoint most directly addresses the question: does hydroxychloroquine exert anti-viral activity in vivo? The answer seems to be: nope. Even if the drug were administered too late to affect the clinical course of the infection, if it exerted any anti-viral activity then we might expect to see that effect here. If anything, there might be a trend towards delayed viral clearance in patients treated with hydroxychloroquine.

The study also found that fever and respiratory symptoms did not abate any faster in patients who had been treated with hydroxychloroquine.

Farkas acknowledges the study's limits, including its small size and that the researchers were not blinded—that is, they knew which patients were being given the treatment. "Nonetheless," he says, "this study currently represents the highest available quality of evidence regarding hydroxychloroquine."

"For now, the best available evidence does not support the use of hydroxychloroquine in COVID-19," Farkas concludes. "It seems prudent to restrict the use of hydroxychloroquine to randomized controlled studies for the time being." He does acknowledge that future studies in which COVID-19 patients are treated earlier in the course of their infections may yet find that hydroxychloroquine offers some therapeutic benefits. Fingers crossed.


TOPICS: Health/Medicine; Science; Society
KEYWORDS: covid19; hydroxychloroquine; nevertrumper; okchina; ronaldbailey; trials; wheresthezinc
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To: SeekAndFind
(2) Just use HCQ plus "Standard of Care" (SOC), whatever that means.

(2) Start treatment late.

(3) No azithromycin.

(4) No zinc.

Yes, that should give the MSM the headline they are looking for.

41 posted on 04/16/2020 9:34:52 PM PDT by TChad (The MSM, having nuked its own credibility, is now bombing the rubble.)
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To: SeekAndFind
Bet it was some high quality pills. Whats not to trust when it comes to commies?


42 posted on 04/16/2020 9:50:59 PM PDT by Bommer (I am a MAGA-Deplorian! It is the way! It is the only way!)
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To: dfwgator

This is our absolute guarantee that the treatment is premium grade number 1 1st order of success!!!

China and the democrats are birds of a feather.
They are both liars to the very core will do anything to advance the despotic power of their own party. Both are the party of death neither of them will admit it.


43 posted on 04/16/2020 9:53:26 PM PDT by MIA_eccl1212 (When the bad guys have leverage they often use it)
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To: SeekAndFind

This is not a critique on the original poster. He is just the messenger.

Ok, digging into the study, even taking into account the weaknesses described by other posters, it did show a difference in alleviating symptoms in the hcq group which did not receive other antivirals.

Also showed reductions in inflammatory markers (crp).

Also- given that only 1% of the study participants had what was considered a serious case of the illness, neither group had any deaths(at least I couldn’t find a report of any in the outcomes), so we can’t compare mortality rates.

I could design and perform better studies as an undergrad- and could certainly draw more accurate conclusions. Pretty weak tea.


44 posted on 04/16/2020 9:54:52 PM PDT by rmichaelj (Ave Maria gratia plena, Dominus tecum.)
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To: SeekAndFind
The actual study: Hydroxychloroquine in patients with COVID-19: an open-label, randomized, controlled trial and PDF.

"Abstract:

"Abstract Objectives To assess the efficacy and safety of hydroxychloroquine (HCQ) plus standard-of-care (SOC) compared with SOC alone in adult patients with COVID-19."

Standard of care definition from Medicine net:

"In legal terms, the level at which the average, prudent provider in a given community would practice. It is how similarly qualified practitioners would have managed the patient's care under the same or similar circumstances. The medical malpractice plaintiff must establish the appropriate standard of care and demonstrate that the standard of care has been breached."

Comment from site by "Stef Verlinden":

"Please study the paper thorougly before jumping to conclusions. Standard of care means that (most of the) patients were also treated with lopinavir-ritonavir, arbidol, oseltamivir, virazole, entecavir, ganciclovir and/or interferon-alpha.

"The authors also did a post-hoc subanalyses with patients who did not get other medications other than HCQ in the treatment group or nothing in the SOC group. And, for what it is worth, here they found ‘a significant efficacy of HCQ on alleviating symptoms’.

"What also could be of interest is that patients treated with HCQ showed a significantly higher reduction of CRP. One of the proposed MOA for HCQ is an anti-inflammatory one.

"All in all a very weak study from which not much can be concluded"

45 posted on 04/16/2020 9:58:59 PM PDT by Widget Jr
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To: Robert DeLong

Did they include zinc, or did they just use HCQ?


There’s that, and there’s when in the cycle. The early information *suggested* that it was most helpful in slowing the peak in virus - and less useful once a peak was already reached. As an emergency use, those authorized would most likely be after the virus became prevalent enough that the effect of HCQ would be minimal.

That said, this is why you run trials. You’d think if the effect was truly dramatic that you’d not be seeing the late-cycle surges in deaths to such an extent.

Still more testing to go.


46 posted on 04/17/2020 12:55:31 AM PDT by lepton ("It is useless to attempt to reason a man out of a thing he was never reasoned into"--Jonathan Swift)
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To: rmichaelj

1% of the study participants


1.5 people?


47 posted on 04/17/2020 12:59:25 AM PDT by lepton ("It is useless to attempt to reason a man out of a thing he was never reasoned into"--Jonathan Swift)
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To: SeekAndFind

Reason + Chinese Study = FAKE NEWS, FAKE STUDY


48 posted on 04/17/2020 1:12:50 AM PDT by Trump Girl Kit Cat (Yosemite Sam raising hell)
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To: SeekAndFind

No mention of Zinc...how dumb is the author? Plus an antibiotic like doxy must be used. Maybe it was just the dumb Chinese. My opinion of their national IQ has plummeted. The bio lab the virus escaped from was not run up to standards.

Then the Chicom scum said to Wuhan citizens-— You want out for a while? Then fly out of your international airport because you are under quarantine. You cannot travel in China.


49 posted on 04/17/2020 1:30:45 AM PDT by dennisw
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To: SeekAndFind
Adam Danischewski pointed out in the thread
China has a Universal BCG vaccine policy (Bacillus Calmette–Guérin (BCG) (tuberculosis vaccine)) - BCG precludes viral replication. Under hospitalization the viral load is not increased and what you see here is that BCG vaccinated people heal as quickly as those with HCQ. That's no surprise, HCQ does not KILL SARS-CoV2 it only precludes viral replication. These results are expected with those BCG-vaccinated and do not at all cast doubt on the efficacy of HCQ in the treatment of those with SARS-CoV2 who have not been BCG-vaccinated.

Zinc kills the virus not HCQ they didn't give them any. The study was looking to see if HCQ killed the virus. My brain hurts trying to understand what they where trying to accomplish with this study

50 posted on 04/17/2020 2:47:18 AM PDT by Steve Van Doorn (*in my best Eric Cartman voice* 'I love you, guys')
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To: Robert DeLong
Did they include zinc, or did they just use HCQ?

It looks like Chinese disinformation. The article did not mention HCQ being administered with complementary drugs like zinc. HCQ alone does not seem to do much.

Why would they just use HCQ alone when it is already known that it is much less effective?

51 posted on 04/17/2020 3:11:08 AM PDT by olezip
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To: dfwgator

Yep - and a Chinese study that claims there’s a “standard of care” that’s better...


52 posted on 04/17/2020 3:47:45 AM PDT by trebb (Don't howl about illegal leeches, or Trump in general, while not donating to FR - it's hypocritical.)
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To: InterceptPoint

Zinc may be inhibiting the iron from damaged hemoglobin packets from competing with regular blood cells for oxygen much in the same way that zinc inhibits iron from rusting due to the galvanizing process.


53 posted on 04/17/2020 3:54:18 AM PDT by mdmathis6
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To: lepton

They initially assessed 191 patients- so 2 people.


54 posted on 04/17/2020 5:01:19 AM PDT by rmichaelj (Ave Maria gratia plena, Dominus tecum.)
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To: Robert DeLong
Did they include zinc, or did they just use HCQ?

It looks like Chinese disinformation. The article did not mention HCQ being administered with complementary drugs like zinc. HCQ alone does not seem to do much.

Why would they just use HCQ alone when it is already known that it is much less effective?

55 posted on 04/17/2020 5:06:49 AM PDT by olezip
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To: Steve Van Doorn

Thanks for your explanation regarding BCG and HCQ as it applies to this study.

Just curious, who is Adam Danischewski?


56 posted on 04/17/2020 5:09:31 AM PDT by SeekAndFind (look at Michigan, it will)
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To: rmichaelj

Thanks for the correction.

Still so small it renders the results pretty meaningless other than not showing a strong sign of making things worse. Not sure why they bothered.


57 posted on 04/17/2020 6:23:08 AM PDT by lepton ("It is useless to attempt to reason a man out of a thing he was never reasoned into"--Jonathan Swift)
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To: SeekAndFind

Adam Danischewski was a poster in the thread. He made a very good point which I thought I would state where I read it.


58 posted on 04/17/2020 9:19:05 AM PDT by Steve Van Doorn (*in my best Eric Cartman voice* 'I love you, guys')
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