[Steve Van Doorn]

said, "I won’t believe any numbers until this is over."

Then what is the threat then?

If you use death rates per confirmed cases it's LESS then the common flu.

Can some one explain to me why the urgency for this virus?

[cgbg]

Steve:

You need to ask the White House, 10 Downing Street, the leaders of France, Russia, Israel etc etc etc.

They must know something we don’t—total mystery to me!

[who knows what evil?]

One-term governor Bill Lee of Tennessee (a ‘Christian’ Republican...LOL!) just locked the state down.

[blueplum]

one urgency: this virus kills medical workers and first responders, including EMTs, firemen and police

‘normal’ flu doesn’t kill healthy people; normal flu kills fragile individuals.

second urgency: R0 of flu less than 1 to 1.3. R0 of this - 2.5-5-?

[amorphous]

Can some one explain to me why the urgency for this virus?

The yearly deaths in the US from Influenza and Pneumonia: 55,672 / 365 = 152.5 deaths per day in the US.

The daily death rate of the corrona virus now is > 1,000, and will be > 2,000 in about 4 - 5 days. Almost 10 times the daily death rate of the flu now, and soon to be 20 times the death rate of the flu, this all adds additional stress upon our HCS. If HCS collapse from the strain, as the HCS has in every other country, and as it certainly will here, then even minor illnesses and emergencies will become fatal, adding even more deaths to the tally.

I have a hard time understanding why relatively intelligent folks, like yourself, draw a complete blank when trying to understand what's happening. I mean, seriously, how can you NOT get it?

The chart below (which I generated) projects the number of deaths at the current rate of expansion. Our leaders tell us the peak will be around 15 April. So the rate will slow as we approach the 15th. If so, the chart below will have a rounded top around the 15th April and begin a down slope. So, disregard the curve at or after the 15th. Let's pray they're right about when this peaks though.

[calenel]

“If you use death rates per confirmed cases it’s LESS then the common flu.”

THIS is the most common example of that conflation of numbers I posted to you about.

See my other posts for why this is more urgent.

You know, aside from the fact that it is 20 times as lethal.

The math has been done probably dozens of times on these threads and if you go back and read them you will find it. But here goes - 2% CFR for CCP-19 best results anywhere in the world. 0.1% CFR for the flu on average.