The result of US flattening is reflected in the original 3/28 projection updated with 4 days actuals:
IHME 3/28 original total = 149k
Semantic 4/1 update total = 95k
Posted on 04/01/2020 9:55:37 AM PDT by Mariner
Yesterday's thread here:
http://freerepublic.com/focus/chat/3830232/posts?page=1
PS, the national guard is down there now, I think that will help
My buddy in Louisiana is heavy. My buddy here in Florida has blood pressure numbers like I have never even seen before.
I prepped without them knowing, even though I encouraged them to do the same.
I’m talking to Louisiana friend right now, and he seems more receptive. I’ll probably talk with Florida friend this evening.
Thank you very much! I mean to watch this person the other day, but I had forgotten.
I am not familiar with him yet, but I’m about to watch.
The result of US flattening is reflected in the original 3/28 projection updated with 4 days actuals:
IHME 3/28 original total = 149k
Semantic 4/1 update total = 95k
I could not convince my brother at first to Prepped, so I started buying extra. My brother lives next door to me. He did start at the last min, he has a cow in the freezer now.
Thanks for the new thread.
Excellent- we both know the comorbidity of both conditions. Like you, I’ve had heart issues for a long time (CHF) so this makes me pay attention.
Feels like we have been watching a slow motion head on car wreck for a long time now....
Best of luck with your friends.
CDC now reconsidering people should wear masks. Fauci says people shouldn’t. CDC and Fauci don’t want people buying N95 masks that should go to healthcare.
I don’t trust either of them. One is incompetent and the other is suspicious.
About time, Florida. Not that it’ll change much since the essential activity allows everyone to come and go as they please and essential jobs allows all but maybe 2%.
The owner of it is eastern European, embracing capitalism. I take the political views with a grain of salt, but the financial commentary is ok.
“CDC now reconsidering people should wear masks.”
No surprise here. I purchase some mask back in Jan. I pick up two N99 mask with replaceable filters. You can pull filter out and wash those mask. I have 38 filters.
https://twitter.com/jenniferatntd/status/1245367424159014913
China now recommending families prep with 3 to 6 months of food!
That’s some serious prepping!
“breaking” news
New CDC report finds COVID-19 can be spread 1-3 days before onset of symptoms
"While small doses (under 200 mg) are completely absorbed, only a fraction of a single large dose of ascorbic acid can be absorbed at one time (500 mg or more). Spacing the doses out will increase the overall absorption." http://blogs.oregonstate.edu/linuspaulinginstitute/2015/05/28/questions-about-vitamin-c/
I’ve read several pandemic type books over my book reading career, and at some point during all this, it began to occur to me that certain sets of events IRL were proceeding just like chapters in these books, and it’s still that way.
In the books, Humanity eventually won. I sure hope we get the same type of ending.
Isn’t that true for most contagious illnesses? Or are they all different?
“I heard something different about immunity.
As in there ain’t none.”
If there were no immunity, nobody would recover in the first place. They’d just die or become a seething pile of virons. Immunity is a product of the body defending itself from the virus once it gets infected.
Cross-strain immunity is a different matter. It depends on how and in what ways one strain differs form another. Immunity then becomes a spectrum from “none” to “complete”.
The reinfection stories, while there are enough of them to not dismiss it out of hand, are likely the result of incomplete recovery (relapse) or exposure to a different strain. Likely. Highly likely, even. But not certain, because this virus as so many weapons in its arsenal that little would surprise me at this point.
Yes, and I believe the highest number on their graph was around 240,000. I'm running a curve of my own, call it not totally trusting of government numbers. My curve predicted 1,000 deaths for today, several days ago - it just about nailed that.
Naturally, the further out the date, the less accurate projections are. My projection, based on my ND/TD calculations only (no other factors included), is still showing 100,000 deaths around 15 April - I update it daily. Many factors will affect that projection. The largest factor, hopefully, will be a cure soon.
Government and universities have vastly smarter people, greater resources and much more data access than I, or others here do. That's why they can predict peaks and I can't. My 200k total is based on their timing of a peak. I and a few others here on FR, still like to run the numbers for ourselves though.
And some of our "back of the napkin" calculations have been running pretty close to what the government task force is putting out.
All numbers are greatly subject to unknown factors and real world developments - with that in mind, one has to go with the best data available in making plans for how we're going to personally deal with this plaque - as POTUS tagged it yesterday.
Coming weeks may make everything until now seem like a picnic. The next few weeks could be brutal for everyone. Much more so on those we depend upon for our supplies and services - it will help to gather what we need now, without excess, to lessen the burden on those above in coming weeks.
I can’t.
I don’t even have enough pantry and refrigerator space for that.
I can’t even make myself go into the store anymore due to terror.
I hope we don’t get to that point here.
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