Posted on 03/27/2020 9:27:41 AM PDT by Mariner
Yesterday's thread here:
http://freerepublic.com/focus/chat/3828581/posts?page=1
Abbott Labs Unveils COVID-19 "Gamechanger": Portable Test Can Detect Virus In Under 5 Minutes
At this stage in my hospital we have maybe 10% more of these patients than in a heavy “bad” flu season. We haven’t discharged any yet. It feels as though we’re at the beginning stage.
I’d say there’s about 70% compliance as far as lockdown in this area. As our numbers increase my sense is more will stay home.
“When folks figure out just how bad it is going to be in the US (because of the obesity factor) they are going to freak...”
I have no data to back up, but I suspect there is some
correlation between the Flubros and the “fat is healthy”
bunch.
Thanks.
I think the duration of hospital stay will be a big difference between this and flu as well.
Keep us updated, please, if you have time.
Hopefully this will pass soon enough.
I think some flubros aren’t even in CONUS.
Italy has totally lost control of testing—new numbers today:
Italy reports 5,974 new cases of coronavirus and 889 new deaths, raising total to 92,472 cases and 10,023 dead
https://twitter.com/BNODesk/status/1243949502173765633
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8162937/Coronavirus-drives-army-command-teams-infamous-Cheyenne-mountain-bunker.html
Just the flu, bro...
Once again, you are attempting to shove a square peg into a round hole. Once the pandemic starts to break and the curve reaches an inflection point, my first indication is going to be a DECREASE in the R squared value, as the data points no longer land on the curve. It won’t cause an increase to values that are already 0.98-0.99. At that time, and ONLY at that time would it be worth the effort to derive an exponential function to describe the curve. Why on earth would I do all of that work now, when I already have years of experience telling me that the polynomial gives values within a few thousandths of the real values, well within any margin of error?
I get the feeling that you’re trying to demonstrate that you have more knowledge than an actual expert in the field. You don’t. The desire to do that is well-known as the Dunning-Kroger effect.
https://twitter.com/nntaleb/with_replies
He’s got a lot of GREAT commentary.
He’s also responsible for the Singapore measures they’ve taken to stop disease transmission/outbreaks.
(maybe they have healthcare professionals we could hire as consultants and replace our bureaucratic sinecures?)
Like maybe China?! I get the same impression, btw.
From your keyboard to Trumps cell phone, I hope!
I would like to think it’s the latter, but the rise in deaths among this age group makes me wonder. One state’s stats showed that the same age group accounted for the bulk of hospitalization as well. When I come across that one I’ll point it out.
We’re getting help via the Stargate!
Excellent news!
Hope General Hammond is still in charge.
Can we stop already with bickering laced sexual innuendo???
Here's a tip for you. Take the problem and work backwards...(no pun intended).
That reminds me: Congress used to have a bunker under Greenbriar in WV.
https://www.atomicheritage.org/history/greenbrier-bunker
They reacted so slowly that some members were exposed/infected before they could get to the (presumably new secret) bunker.
That is the level of incompetence we are dealing with here.
I re-read the article but didn’t see one
No, you missed the latest meme, not EVEN as bad as the flu
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