>>The Lancet used a 14 day offset between deaths and recoveries in their calculations.
slight problem with that... 120% of Chinese virus deaths get reported, but tens of thousands, maybe over a hundred thousand “recoveries” do not get reported because after a positive test, for an individual with only mild symptoms, they get sent home to self-quarantine, and get better without hospital help. There is no one to ever see or test that patient again, and declare them recovered.
At no point in human history have people who didn't need medical care been counted as "sick" until now.
Counting asymptomatic people who fail a PCR test or an antibody test as "sick" skews the reported statistics when compared to epidemics of only a few years ago.
No getting around that, and it's the reset point for all future data sets.
We just need to recognize that in the older statistics, only those sick enough to see a doctor cases were counted in the denominator, and current and future mortality rates have/will have a "falsely" (actually a more accurate) number of infections and therefore show a lower mortality rate on paper.
“120% of Chinese virus deaths get reported”
Explain that, please.
All of these calculations may be important to those in politics trying to make decisions about future course of actions but they are completely MEANINGLESS to me.
This is Wuhan Roulette. You are staking your life on the wheel. You have no idea where you will end up as the Wuhan Virus spins around in your body.
I prefer trying to avoid the damn thing altogether:
From someone who has it:
Shiraz Maher
@ShirazMaher
·
Some are shaking it off relatively easily. Others are suffering very badly. The most difficult part of this is the extent to which it takes hold within your lungs. There’s just no way to tell what will happen at the start. You need to watch this symptom if it develops. 20/
Coronavirus appears to have a completely different trajectory in different people. I can’t spot a pattern