I pulled down the Confirmed Case data used by JH that is housed on GitHub and then pulled in the population counts by country (and state) from the UN (yea, I know...work with me). In the table below, I list select countries and US states' Confirmed Case Counts. I then 'standarize' that data by dividing each nation or state's Confirmed Case Count by the respective population, then I multiply that standardized value by the US' population, to put each nation/state's Confirmed Case Count on a standardized basis.
| Country/Region | Population (MM) | Confirmed Cases 3/22/2020 | Standardized Cases 3/22/2020 | Rank by Confirmed Cases Mar 22 | Rank by Standardized Cases Mar 22 |
| Austria | 9.0 | 3,244 | 119,204 | 15 | 7 |
| Belgium | 11.5 | 3,401 | 96,986 | 14 | 9 |
| California | 39.5 | 1,642 | 13,675 | 19 | 21 |
| China | 1,433.8 | 81,511 | 18,707 | 1 | 19 |
| Denmark | 5.8 | 1,514 | 86,316 | 20 | 10 |
| Florida | 21.5 | 830 | 12,717 | 21 | 23 |
| France | 65.1 | 16,176 | 81,728 | 9 | 12 |
| Germany | 83.5 | 24,873 | 98,002 | 6 | 8 |
| Hubei | 58.5 | 67,800 | 381,378 | 2 | 1 |
| Iran | 82.9 | 21,638 | 85,876 | 7 | 11 |
| Italy | 60.6 | 59,138 | 321,391 | 3 | 2 |
| Korea, South | 51.2 | 8,897 | 57,153 | 12 | 15 |
| Massachusetts | 6.9 | 646 | 30,589 | 22 | 18 |
| New Jersey | 8.9 | 1,914 | 70,909 | 18 | 13 |
| New York | 19.5 | 15,793 | 267,145 | 10 | 4 |
| Norway | 5.4 | 2,383 | 145,786 | 16 | 6 |
| Pennsylvania | 12.8 | 509 | 13,083 | 24 | 22 |
| Spain | 46.7 | 28,768 | 202,550 | 5 | 5 |
| Sweden | 10.0 | 1,934 | 63,410 | 17 | 14 |
| Switzerland | 8.6 | 7,245 | 277,497 | 13 | 3 |
| Texas | 29.0 | 627 | 7,116 | 23 | 24 |
| United Kingdom | 67.5 | 11,423 | 55,663 | 11 | 16 |
| US | 329.1 | 33,272 | 33,272 | 4 | 17 |
| US excl NY | 329.1 | 17,479 | 18,577 | 8 | 20 |
Well..the US, with her fourth highest number of Confirmed Cases at the end of March 22, 2020 is actually 17th on this list when you adjust for the population! Further, if you remove New York (which is accounting for about half of the US' growth over the past three days), the US is the 20th lowest out of these 24 select countries/states. China gets a pickup because of it's huge population, but Hubei remains at the top, as does Italy. Perhaps most shocking is Switzerland: she looks like a standardized disaster, with a size-adjusted 250k Confirmed Case load. Similarly, New York State on a size-adjusted basis almost looks like Italy and Switzerland. In fact, Europe looks pretty bad as a group - except for the United Kingdom.
The economic and human wreckage that's overwhelming Europe and which has overwhelmed Asia is starting in America. It's also worth noting, as I showed, that the major areas and cities seem to be getting hit harder than other areas: look at New York and New Jersey vs Texas or Pennsylvania or even California.
But the US as a nation seems to be in a relatively better position on a size-adjusted basis. Maybe that's because we've been 'attacked' later in the process. I will pray that the US comes out of this mess, stronger than ever, in order for America to lead the world back to peace and prosperity. Domine, non sum dignus ut intres sub tectum meum, sed tantum dic verbo, et sanabitur anima mea.
It would be interesting to see how Madrid alone would rate on your chart...
PA doesn’t have the same level of participation in public transit as NYC metro in particular.
TX and CA have warmer temps (fewer outside fomites compared to NY), much less participation in shared transit systems and more sunshine (higher levels of D3).
South of I40 might not turn into a complete sh*t show that NYC/WA seem to have done.
Then there’s likely strain difference mortality/morbidity/R0 rates.
This fall might be another big outbreak.
Let’s all hope the antivirals ride to the rescue as they’re seeming to do.
IMHO they’re the reason Trump wants to reopen the economy. They might make it safe to do so.