Corona Virus Daily Thread #26

[Mariner]

Thread #25 here:

http://freerepublic.com/focus/chat/3827443/posts?page=1

[mrsmith]

https://resident360.nejm.org/discussions/covid-19-case-reports

Brief case histories from docs treating the disease.
Very interesting though technical you see a lot.

[amorphous]

Global infections accelerated 14% d/d or 45,495 new cases over the last 24 hours to 381,499 according to Johns Hopkins, implying the global curve may be gradually shifting toward an early acceleration stage. The US (13,060 d/d), Spain (6,368 d/d), Italy (4,789 d/d) and Germany (4,183 d/d) reported the most new infections. In Asia, China’s Hubei reported one new infection after 5 days of no new increase. As recent infection spike in Hong Kong SAR and Singapore suggests, as long as the global infection curve is developing, premature relaxation of heightened community risk awareness could set off a rebound of a controlled infection curve or a second infection wave. From that vantage, China’s full lift on Wuhan city on 8-Apr bears close watching in our view as infections may appear to persist in society for at least one month. In ASEAN, 212 new cases were reported in Malaysia, taking total infection to 1,518. Our epidemiology model suggests a mid-April infection peak. Our Australian team reviewed the strategy taken by the government and introduced an epidemiology model, forecasting a possible peak in new cases around 15 April.

https://www.zerohedge.com/health/here-where-everyone-world-now-corona-curve

[Mariner]

you appear uncharacteristically vicious

[Dark Wing]

Book mark!

[mrsmith]

Good story.

[Mariner]

That chart is entirely plausible.
We should peak about mid-April, which is when everyone, and I mean everyone will be freaking out.
300,000 confirmed US cases is not beyond reason.

[metmom]

My daughter lives in LA and is fairly sure she had it.

She was sick with all the classic symptoms at the end of Feb, that could be traced back through six other people to a person who had just come from China - sick.

About half those sick,, including her, went to get tested and were refused. They were told that since they could not prove a direct link to someone who was a known tested positive case, they would not be tested.

That’s why I’m beginning to suspect that more may have had it than we realize. Of course, I know there’s two strains and that there is question about immunity, etc, but still, if she’s had it along with the others and if they are immune, the herd immunity is getting there.

[miserare]

He is just biased.

Besides, speaking generally, Italians are much thinner than Americans.

And still their death rate rises.

[mrsmith]

BUT....
We can do better than anyone else (or not, too, of course).

I think we’re going to do much better than everyone else.

[metmom]

i really think we should hear if those under 50 with no health conditions took ibuprofen for aches. Seeing a lot of people telling their story which includes taking Motrin, Advil, etc...and having a real problem with this virus. anecdotal..but we still need to hear it

Heh, I posted a thread on that when it first came out and got absolutely shredded for it.

[miserare]

ROFL!

[Mariner]

I recall reading it was any NSAID, including aspirin.

Chinese study...said Tylenol only.

But I’m too weak of mind to reference back to the original link.

[miserare]

American ingenuity at work!

[metmom]

Sorry. Certain posters have stretched my patience.

I get tired of seeing everything in ALL CAPS with 3-5 exclamation points posted after it !!!!!!!!!!!!

AAAAAIIIIIIIEEEEEEE!!!!!!

Sheesh, and WE’RE accused of over reacting and panicking?

[Mariner]

maybe you actually need a drink

[datura]

Italian culture is so different from ours - the greetings, the social atmosphere, it’s all so much closer and touchy. I really loved N Italy when deployed there - especially the mountains and the food. (The deployment sucked very badly. Salute to 509th INF.)

I can’t imagine trying to get Italians to social distance!!!

[calenel]

It’s not really NY, it’s NYC.

Phoenix was at one point the fastest growing city in America. It has plenty of people. And proximity to the southern border. So, yeah, with the current state of things, keeping that 5 deaths to a low number requires people hunker down while Trump clears the board.

We’ll know more as the sampling progresses. In the mean time, patience and vigilance. It won’t be that much longer.

I expect some of the cities will stay locked down and most of the country will be free to move around outside those cities. Then the cleanup of the messes in those cities will get underway wholesale. That should be a spectacle. But that’s just my speculation.

[blueplum]

Alaska’s not playin’

ALASKA

Governor Dunleavy issues health mandates 9 and 10, details first cases of community spread of novel coronavirus

FAIRBANKS, Alaska (KTVF) During another press conference updating Alaskans about the COVID-19 situation, Governor Dunleavy said that Alaska now has 36 total cases, with 4 cases of confirmed community spread. ..

...Health mandate number 10 imposes a mandatory quarantine for anyone coming into Alaska from domestic or international travel... Failure to adhere to mandate 10 carries with it a fine of $25,000, or no more than one year of prison, or both.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/governor-dunleavy-issues-health-mandates-9-and-10-details-first-cases-of-community-spread-of-novel-coronavirus/ar-BB11BLwF

[metmom]

No, I don’t blame you. There’s so much to wade through to find one link that it’s more than daunting.

Besides, it’s been out there enough by now that people are becoming more aware of it.

And just before this went down, I bought a big bottle of ibuprofen. Now I won’t feel comfortable taking it ever cause unless I’ve been isolated 15 from all contact with the outside world, there’s no knowing if I’m incubating it or not.

[Mariner]

LA will cut off power and water to businesses that do not comply with shutdown.

http://freerepublic.com/focus/news/3828016/posts?page=1