GM all,
Here’s the spreadsheet, updated with last night’s numbers.
In a day or so, I’ll drop the older data, because it will make for a shorter post. At that time, I’ll post a link to a previous post, which, like this one, will go back to our first case. Even today, the earlier data seems rather irrelevant, because there have been periods of no testing and faulty test kits by the CDC (clearly reflected in the data).
Additionally, I will completely cease tracking & posting this in the near future for a couple of reasons.
1-it doesn’t change anything really. Right now, I’m posting it to awaken the remaining sleepers in the hope that they’ll take this seriously, if not for themselves, for those whom they love.
2-once the number of cases reaches above 80,000 or so, the number itself will so CLEARLY describe the level of epidemic raging, that no longer will we be posting the “case here”, “case there” and probably not even the “cluster here”, “cluster there” stories. The overwhelmed hospital stories and the (I pray not) civil unrest stories will be the trending posts. I certainly pray that Americans rise to the decency that we can and should hold and that we look out for each other as one community and a unified nation under God.
This morning, my thoughts turn to “when do I drive to the local ER and donate my mask supply to them to protect the medical staff from being infected? This is the same staff who may save my mom’s life, or your mom’s life in a few weeks or a month.
So, with all that said, here’s the update, with doubling projections...
date....# cases....dbl on....days to double....double projection
21-Jan.....1....24-Jan....3
24-Jan.....2....26-Jan....2
25-Jan.....3....30-Jan....4
26-Jan.....5....02-Feb....7
30-Jan.....6....05-Feb....6
31-Jan.....7....20-Feb....21
01-Feb.....8....27-Feb....26
02-Feb....11....29-Feb....27
05-Feb....12....29-Feb....24
20-Feb....14....01-Mar....9
27-Feb....15....01-Mar....3
28-Feb....19....01-Mar....2
29-Feb....24....02-Mar....2
01-Mar....42....03-Mar....2
02-Mar....57....04-Mar....2
03-Mar....85....05-Mar....2
04-Mar...111....06-Mar....2
05-Mar...176....07-Mar....2
06-Mar...252....08-Mar....2
07-Mar...351....09-Mar....2
08-Mar...475....10-Mar....2
09-Mar...702....11-Mar....2.1
10-Mar...976....12-Mar....2.5
11-Mar..1308....14-Mar....2.8
12-Mar..1679....15-Mar....2.8
13-Mar..2247....16-Mar....2.6
14-Mar..2943....16-Mar....2.5
15-Mar..3680....16-Mar....2.2
16-Mar..4663....18-Mar....2
17-Mar..6411....19-Mar....2
18-Mar..9259....20-mar....2
19-Mar..13,789..______...._
20-Mar..19,774..______...._....18,518 <—WAS the projected number
21-Mar.._____..______...._....27,000
22-Mar.._____..______...._....37,000
23-Mar.._____..______...._....54,000
24-Mar.._____...______...._....74,000
25-Mar.._____...______...._....108,000
Be safe
Be blessed
Look out for the ones you love
...off to relax on our self-isolating boat in the middle of Lake Boca with missSW and swim with our furrfaces (away from other boats) here...
http://lakebocacam.com/
...while mom rides shotgun at the homestead.
Thanks.
Yikes.
Enjoy your time on the lake :)
How do those numbers extend out through April?
Keep the older data in posts.
Possible Solution:
Shut all nonessential industries down for 14 days... (maximum incubation time).
After shutdown open all companies.
Each company has people stationed at work place entrance taking temperatures. Those with a temperature are taken to medical care facilities - proactive care reduces extreme care - saving supplies for those who really need them.
Grocery stores and pharmacies also take temperatures of all people entering.
This saves lives and the economy. It’s a modified Singapore system...
Thanks for your posts.
Stay well.