[PghBaldy]

The numbers have been doubling about every 2 days or so already, so this supposed statement by unnamed WH sources is not unreasonable.

TOTAL CASES in USA (excluding non-repatriated)
2020-01-21 1
2020-01-24 2
2020-01-25 3
2020-01-26 5
2020-01-30 6
2020-01-31 7
2020-02-01 8
2020-02-02 11
2020-02-05 12
2020-02-20 14
2020-02-27 15
2020-02-28 19
2020-02-29 24
2020-03-01 42
2020-03-02 57
2020-03-03 85
2020-03-04 111
2020-03-05 176
2020-03-06 252
2020-03-07 351
2020-03-08 475

[Jane Long]

Reminds me of China 😱

[Mariner]

Early reports out of China suggest an R0 of 3.8.

With incubation of 6 days average. But up to 20 days.

[Blue Highway]

Where do you find those statistics of cases reported per day? I was looking for this exact information and wasn’t able to find a day by day reporting of it.

[SheepWhisperer]

(+)

[SheepWhisperer]

According to the numbers you posted...
Beginning on 02/28, the number of cases has been doubling, with constancy, every two days.

Pushing that doubling rate forward, IF it remains constant

03.11...1100 cases
03.13... 2200
3.15... 4400
3.17... 8800 (past containment here?)
That’s a bit over one week from now

14 days, Two weeks from now, if the trend holds...
...144,000 cases

Is the math correct here?