[grey_whiskers]

R0 affects *number* of child infections but not how long incubation and spawning of "grand"child and later infections take.

What is the average transmission interval in hours or days?

Should be easy enough to curve fit, unless you don't want to rely on the extrapolation of the early data (exponential curves go a little batsh*t crazy themselves when you try to extrapolate from them too early on...)

[ifinnegan]

The non-reviewed article cited is pretty pessimistic.

I’m not sure what’s with this trend of publishing non-reviewed articles.

I’m no expert in epidemiological modeling, but I’d say it’s a bit too, early to have solid data to make an accurate model.

The authors of the non-reviewed article essentially acknowledge that.