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To: norsky; ichabod1

“why can’t they control it.”
Good question.
I don’t know if they have a vaccine for it.
Viruses spread pretty quickly with all the modes of travel we have now.
****************************************************************************************
Here’s info from another thread:

Mariner :” It’s already everywhere with zero chance of containment.
14 day incubation and heartiness for several days on cold surfaces ensured that.
By the time the 10th person fell ill, it was already out of the bag.”

http://freerepublic.com/focus/news/3810662/posts?page=56#56


203 posted on 01/24/2020 3:44:06 PM PST by greeneyes ( Moderation In Pursuit of Justice is NO Virtue--LET FREEDOM RING)
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To: greeneyes

To believe only 1300 cases...

This originated in a city of 13 MILLION

Are we to assume that the 40 or so who been diagnosed in other countries ran into those 1300 people...in the city of 13 MILLION?

HIGHLY improbable.
This alone hints that the number really infected in China is EXPONENTIALLY higher.

Ten times higher?
Fifty times...eighty?

I’m guessing the suggested real numbers of infected at 80-100x higher than currently reported more closely represents the odds of the 40 foreigners contacting an infected person in a region of 13 million.

Mortality rate had changed today from 2% to nearly 4%.

Expect the numbers of reported infected to rise exponentially.

There is no cure. No vaccine.
If caught only symptoms can be managed until the virus runs it’s course.
Let that sink in for all who have family members who are medically frail.

Chinese New Year celebrations.
Certainly wealthy travelers from US and other nations will return or alreadyy have done so out of concern.

This is NOT contained

The reports from China hospitals is grim. 24 hour shifts. No more hazmat clothes. No meds to give.

This is not contained

Sadly to little is known
Exact incubating time?
Days contagious?
Real number infected?
Actual fatalities?
Primary initial testing is for fever, but reports say some display no fever? If so, they can carry more easily.

Six days ago, 40 reported cases
Today 1300+
32% increase?

If that’s the rate, then in six days 42,000
But the prediction is 250,000 to 350,000 by February 4 in Wuhan alone. Another clue that the current number infected is larger than we’re told.

No panic, but have a plan for the weaker loved ones in our lives of a prudent idea


303 posted on 01/24/2020 7:59:21 PM PST by SheepWhisperer (My enemy saw me on my knees, head bowed and thought they had won until I rose up and said Amen!)
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