Posted on 06/20/2018 1:52:13 PM PDT by SMGFan
Trump popular, but not decisive factor
West Long Branch, NJ – Incumbent Joe Manchin holds a small lead over GOP challenger Patrick Morrisey in the race for U.S. Senate in the deep red state of West Virginia. Even though Donald Trump is widely popular in West Virginia, the Democrat holds a lead because many voters are separating their feelings about the incumbent senator from their views of the president. The Monmouth University Poll also finds that the closely watched 3rd Congressional District contest is tighter, with Democrat Richard Ojeda having a very slight lead over Republican Carol Miller at this time.
West Virginia Senate In the race for U.S. Senate, Manchin holds a 48% to 39% lead over Morrisey among all potential voters – that is voters who have participated in an election since 2010 or have newly registered to vote (a group that represents about 73% of all registered voters). Another 4% support Don Blankenship, who is seeking to run as the Constitution Party candidate after losing his bid for the GOP nomination. West Virginia has a “sore loser” law that may prevent him from appearing on the general election ballot. When Blankenship’s supporters are reallocated to their second choice, Manchin maintains a 49% to 42% lead.
(Excerpt) Read more at monmouth.edu ...
I never had much hope of toppling Manchin.
Time to pull out the stops for PATRICK MORRISEY FOR US SENATE
Don't let the 0bamorrhoid 'Rat Manchin and his cronies in Big Media fool you. We need a new Senator. It's time for WV to have REAL representation in Washington.
Monmouth. How are they?
If Trump doesn’t have pull in West Virginia I’ll be extremely shocked.
Don’t know. Don’t care.
Campaign like you’re 20 points behind.
I’m aware of, and I know this from experience, people who actually say, “the XXX party has been in power long enough, I think it’s time to give it back to yyy party to see what they can do with it.”
It makes me insane.
It would be really nice if he’d come out here and support Morrisey. If he really wants to MAGA, he needs cooperation in Congress. He’ll get that with Morrisey. He’ll get bitter opposition from 0bama’s butt-boy Manchin.
“Potential” voters vs. likely voters pretty much says it all.
Polls in June are worthless..............call me again on 1st Monday in November...............
The election is in November. Any prediction based on these numbers is wildly premature.
According to a prediction site 270towin.com, as of today, the consensus of various polls, is that there are 7 tossup Senate races.
Based in that forecast, the predicted split is Republicans 49, Democrats 44, with 7 too close to call.
Democrats would have to win every single tossup race to gain control. It strains believability that they win ever single close election to gain control of the Senate.
I caught that too. I don’t think I have ever seen “potential” voters used before. What is Mammoth’s story?
Manchin can play the “native son” card for the win.
Supposedly the dumbest 10% of voters, the ones that have no coherent guiding political philosophy they can coherently express, the so-called ‘swing voters’, decide most elections. That no matter the result, good or bad from a lib or con viewpoint, the winner won based on who can better sway the dumbest that political cycle.
Yup, insane and just plain grim.
Freegards
Might be worth making it a project. He is surrounded by a whole state of Trump supporters.
Nope. Likely voter polls are the only valid ones. This is a registered voter poll.
An incumbent polling under 50% is usually in trouble.
I can only assume, seeing some of these frauds so often re-elected, that people like to be gulled.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.