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How Conservative Candidate Evan McMullin Can Win
National Review ^ | August 11, 2016 | Josh Gelenter

Posted on 08/13/2016 8:06:58 AM PDT by C19fan

It’s very, very unlikely — but new conservative independent candidate for president Evan McMullin can win. But only if he runs only in Utah. If, among swing states, Trump wins Florida, North Carolina, Ohio, and Pennsylvania, he’ll have 273 electoral votes, three more than the 270 he needs to win. If he wins Florida, North Carolina, Virginia, and Iowa, he’ll have 272 electoral votes. Likewise if he wins Florida, North Carolina, Virginia, and Nevada. If he wins Florida, North Carolina, Virginia, and New Hampshire, he’ll have 270 exactly. If he wins Florida, North Carolina, Nevada, Iowa, and New Hampshire (the states political prognosticator Nate Silver had him leading in before the Khizr Khan dust-up), he and Hillary will be tied, 269 each. There are a few other scenarios along these lines, wherein a) Hillary has too few votes to win outright, and b) Trump ends up with fewer than 275 electoral votes. These are the most likely ones.

(Excerpt) Read more at nationalreview.com ...


TOPICS: Cheese, Moose, Sister
KEYWORDS: 2016swingstates; antitrump; mcmullin; nevertrump; thirdparty
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To: C19fan

sontarans usually take to the warrior arts rather than politics. this is a new tack for them.
http://www.doctorwho.tv/50-years/monsters/sontarans/


21 posted on 08/13/2016 8:42:14 AM PDT by kvanbrunt2 (all your base are belong to us)
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To: Nifster

Give up on the Cubanadian.
He is a total fraud.
Whatever you believe him to be, he is just about himself.


22 posted on 08/13/2016 8:42:37 AM PDT by Lurkinanloomin (Know Islam, No Peace - No Islam , Know Peace)
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To: EQAndyBuzz

I completely agree with this and believe states like NY, NJ, WA, OR, and maybe even Cali are the real swing states. The media can’t report this or they’d have absolutely nothing to talk about from now until Nov.


23 posted on 08/13/2016 8:44:38 AM PDT by Voluntaryist
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To: EQAndyBuzz
Good for you! I'm disheartened by how quickly people — meaning the good guys — seem to be throwing the towel in vis-à-vis Trump. (I would add that Trump himself seems to be throwing the towel in, but them I remind myself that those reports are coming from the MSM!)

Trump has yet to spend any money on advertising, right? (That's a question. He hasn't spent money on advertising, correct?) I have to imagine he plans to spend a fortune after Labor Day.

Come on Freepers, don't give up! We're fighting for our country! Be like EQAndyBuzz: buck up and get ready for a fight!

24 posted on 08/13/2016 8:45:33 AM PDT by utahagen
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To: All

I got no further than “How conservative...”

This guy is no conservative.


25 posted on 08/13/2016 8:49:00 AM PDT by rockrr (Everything is different now...)
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To: C19fan

The dilusional,self destructive nutjobs are still at it.


26 posted on 08/13/2016 8:52:19 AM PDT by ZULU (Donald Trump is the biggest threat to the New World Order since Barry Goldwater)
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To: Voluntaryist

Washington state is irredeemably lost to the left. There are no down-ballot candidates who are worth a crap and too many stick in the mud #nevertrumpers to overcome the disaffected Bernout voters.

Our few Trump votes are symbolic but largely irrelevant.


27 posted on 08/13/2016 8:53:00 AM PDT by rockrr (Everything is different now...)
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To: C19fan

Don’t these backstabbing bozos realize how much they are alienating their base by even discussing scenarios to stop the Republican nominee from getting into office? They really hate regular Americans who vote Republican so much and they love their open borders elitist globalism so much that they would be willing to destroy the party over this. It’s flabbergasting. The joke is that they even pretend their support of the bald spoiler isn’t simply working covertly on behalf of Hillary. They must think we’re imbeciles.


28 posted on 08/13/2016 8:55:33 AM PDT by FenwickBabbitt
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To: C19fan

To live in Utah is to live a hallucination

They’re all batshit crazy

It’s a tiny, isolated group that sees the universe revolving around them

Remember, they’re a day’s drive (or maybe two) to any other American city. They really have no clue how insignificant they are.


29 posted on 08/13/2016 8:55:54 AM PDT by Regulator
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To: Donglalinger
Maybe he is trying for the "Duck Dynasty" vote.


30 posted on 08/13/2016 8:58:13 AM PDT by capt. norm (If you can't make them see the light, let them feel the heat!<)
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To: Donglalinger

LOL.......thanks, I needed that


31 posted on 08/13/2016 8:59:13 AM PDT by Dawgreg (Happiness is not having what you want, but wanting what you have.)
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To: LS; All

What’s even worse is this election is a great opportunity. There will be at least three SCOTUS openings by the end of this presidential term. Trump has promised to appoint originalsits to all of them. That would profoundly change the country to what we have all been wanting for many years. Indeed, with all of his conservative changes, he could make this country greater than it has been for many years. Now these “conservative” traitors want to frustrate that opportunity and turn it over to the
Witch. Disgraceful.


32 posted on 08/13/2016 9:03:47 AM PDT by libstripper
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To: Nifster
It is time for Teddy to corral the dead Enders and hangers on and drag then onto the Trump Train
You're as out of touch and delusional as McMuffin.

If "Teddy" did anything he would drag them in front of the Trump train to once again try to stop it.

33 posted on 08/13/2016 9:05:03 AM PDT by lewislynn (Ryan is the other half of the reason Romney got creamed by a negro with a Nobel)
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To: xzins

“The bottom line is that McMullin won’t pull anybody who isn’t already a nevertrumper.”

I don’t know. I’ve talked to people who are very much on the fence still about Trump. They won’t vote for Hillary, but they’re not sure they want to vote for Trump or not vote at all. McMullin may be an attractive out for these types, even though many of them could end up voting for Trump under the right circumstances. McMullin won’t get many votes at all, but if certain states are very close, he may actually have an influence. I really doubt it, but it isn’t impossible.

(And by the way, I think they’re just making excuses for McMullin. The point isn’t for him to win, but to seem like a credible enough candidate to steal votes from Trump so that Hillary can become president. The author knows what taking Utah from Trump really means.)


34 posted on 08/13/2016 9:07:08 AM PDT by FenwickBabbitt
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To: utahagen

An article by Taegan Goddard says Trump wants to open offices in all fifty states, a move one unnamed party aide said is ‘a complete waste of resources’. This is very likely a biased article from the “Playbook” section of Politico, but facts are facts. It does state that Donald wants more offices open, and one presumes ads to follow.


35 posted on 08/13/2016 9:10:06 AM PDT by lee martell
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To: FenwickBabbitt

If they’re not telling the pollsters they are for Trump, then are either saying Clinton, other, or neither. Therefore, they are not counted in Trump totals. I believe Trump is leading in Utah, but I’m not sure.

The official #nevertrumpers might want Clinton to win, but I’m guessing that most pro-America Mormons and conservatives in Utah realize that is an absolutely terrible sentence against America.


36 posted on 08/13/2016 9:33:27 AM PDT by xzins ( Free Republic Gives YOU a voice heard around the globe. Support the Freepathon!)
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To: utahagen

McMullin is a brief flicker of attention in the pages of history.

I think most voters realize that would be an entirely wasted vote.


37 posted on 08/13/2016 9:34:29 AM PDT by xzins ( Free Republic Gives YOU a voice heard around the globe. Support the Freepathon!)
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To: C19fan

National Review was at least sane, much of the time, under Daddy. Sonny has turned it into a pathetic joke. My parrot uses it to dump on.


38 posted on 08/13/2016 9:43:43 AM PDT by faithhopecharity ("Politicians are not born. They're excreted." Marcus Tullius Cicero)
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To: xzins

Yeah, I really can’t imagine the people of Utah would go along with this. It sounds more like it’s just a National Review delusion, but it’s disturbing that they’re even talking about it. I do think McMullin might end up on the ballot in a true swing state though where the difference between Hillary and Trump may well only be a few thousand or even just a few hundred votes. That’s the sort of scenario where Trump couldn’t afford to lose any potential votes at all to anyone.


39 posted on 08/13/2016 9:57:17 AM PDT by FenwickBabbitt
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To: EQAndyBuzz

“He is holding back, but it’s coming. And the DNC doesn’t see it yet.”

Do you have any information to help us believe this or is it just a feeling you have?

The poll numbers that concern me is how much of a drag Trump is on down ballot races. Yesterday polls came out in N Carolina and Florida.

North Carolina
Trump -9
Burr -2

Florida
Trump -5
Rubio +6

The poll may be good or bad, may have too many Democrats, but even if it does, Trump can’t run 5-10 points behind all these senate candidates. He’ll drag them down with him because you just don’t have that many ballot splitters in today’s electorate.

If Trump is holding back, he needs to step up his game and get moving.


40 posted on 08/13/2016 10:21:56 AM PDT by Beernoser
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