Posted on 05/07/2016 9:19:58 PM PDT by GLDNGUN
Mitt Romney running as a independent in the 2016 general Presidential election is quickly becoming a very strong possibility, folks. The scary and nearly unthinkable result is that he could end up not just denying Donald Trump the Presidency but could become President himself. Think I'm crazy? Take a closer look.
there are state-level dates coming up, >>> i saw a table posted here that has president only tickets out to july-august. parties much before that.
“he sceanio is no winning the third party but denying the two a 270 then going to congress. where the lackies are the delegates now. the electoral college already voted and this would be after dec 14 when they vote.”:
it’s still fantasy.
Else, we...
Agree.
Nobody’s going to be believe that Trump is going to win states that Romney lost in 2012, but then lose states that Romney won.
So who would win Utah?
Again, it doesn’t matter. Even if you assume Romney won half of the states that he won in 2012, if neither he nor Trump won any Obama states, Hillary would walk away with a majority of the delegates, end of story. So in order for this to work, you have to somehow assume that Trump or Romney will take several states from Hillary splitting the GOP vote that Romney was not able to win alone. There’s just no way that could happen.
Again, who would win Utah?
Dunno, but for the sake of argument, I’ll give you that Romney will win Utah.
Ok, so Mormon Romney carries heavily-Mormon Utah. That would I think be the expected result; however, I don’t that means Trump couldn’t carry any states that Obama nearly lost in 2012 such as Florida, Ohio and/or Virginia.
I understand the argument, but I don’t see how it’s remotely possible for Trump to win an Obama swing state against Hillary with Romney on the ballot. He not only has to make up the difference by which Romney lost to Obama, but he would also have to add to that however many votes he loses to Romney.
To put it into numbers, let’s say Obama beat Romney 5 million to 4 million in State X. For Trump to win, he would need to first convert half a million Obama voters and/or add 1 million new voters (or combination thereof). Then let’s say Romney keeps half of his 2012 voters against Trump. Now Trump had to add to the above, another million converted Obama voters and/or add another 2 million new voters (or combination thereof). That’s to win the election by 1 vote.
That just doesn’t seem possible. Bottom line is that for a three way race to go to the House of Representatives, either Trump or Romney needs to win some major Obama swing states, and for either one on their own, that’s a tall order, but with both of them on the ballot splitting the anti-Hillary vote? Impossible.
Possible just exceedingly unlikely but then you’re right, not only 1980, but the Trump phenomenon has made fools out of a lot of people betting against exceedingly unlikely outcomes!
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