Ohio and Indiana are the wildcards in that matchup I think.
I am not optimistic about VA (13).
IMHO, we need to look elsewhere for 11 more.
A lot may depend on Trump’s VP choice.
I think NJ may be in play (15).
Hillary will not be the Democrat candidate. A little birdie named Guccifer sang to the FBI about three years ago. The FBI has been sizing Hillary for an orange jump suit ever since. They’re almost got the suit (crimnal) ready.
there are more than three million registered independents in New York. I don’t think The beast can take New York.
I also believe the old alcoholic will stroke out before November.
Michigan.
Virginia and Ohio are wobbly.
If the Dems motivate a big Hispanic turnout, Nevada and Florida are in danger.
I think NM, CO, ME and possibly MI and PA are up for grabs.
Trump probably has a better chance in Pennsylvania than Virginia.
270 to win is a pointless parlor game, but fun! I play it myself. This map of yours, or something similar, is probably Hillary’s best case scenario. Four or five states could tip either way. We don’t know what will happen between now and November, how much help from the media Her Preciousness will have, or what either candidate might do to make his/her campaign implode. But based on what we know today, it will be this close.
I think Trump can win Iowa and Pennsylvania
Ohio was stolen for Kasich.
No way does Ohio go for Hillary.
At this point, Kasich’s goodwill has taken a nose dive, so don’t expect him to be any help as a VP candidate. He would drag down the ticket.
IA, WI, and especially MI should all be flipped to Red, IMO. Plenty of disaffected blue collar workers / ex union here who would switch from Dem to Trump (net vote +2).
Flip NV to Blue for sure, too many illegals there.
I’d flip VA to Blue, CO to Red, and PA to Red, but I’m less certain about these. PA has disaffected blue collar workers similar to the other states going Red, VA has a lot of new government employees, and CO has a lot of angry voters over the election theft. CO will also be losing a few Democrat voters who only voted because they wanted to legalize weed.
I don’t think your map is a good representation of the toss up states for 2016.
Everything blue starting from Virginia on up to Ohio eastward is tossup.
Expect Hillary to win contested states that have heavy democrat machinations (have experience cheating in), like VA and OH, Possibly PA.
Northern Virginia messes that state up. He can get it back from NY/CT/RI and maybe PA/NJ. At least one EV in Maine.
Minority turnout will be down compared to 2012/2008.
Are you factoring in the voter fraud and outright cheating from the Dems?
A lot depends on who Clinton's running mate will be.
In any case, Nevada alone could swing the election one way or the other.
I would not be surprised to see a 50-state blowout, even against massive fraud wherever there are electronic voting machines.
When Cliton/Dems get finish with Trump Wall/Wacis, The Minorities/Illegals will be fired up, there will be same turn out as was for obummer.
Trump better pull over some of those blue collar dems yall keep referring to, because allot of Conservatives will stay home again, just like they did with Romney.
Rubio’s going to be his VP - should give him Florida and help some in places with heavy Hispanic populations like NJ and NM....