Posted on 04/27/2016 12:48:30 PM PDT by TangledUpInBlue
OK, where's the weak link in this map/scenario? Is it Ohio? Nevada? This conservatively gives the beast NY, IA, and PA and Trump can still prevail.
(Excerpt) Read more at 270towin.com ...
Ohio and Indiana are the wildcards in that matchup I think.
I am not optimistic about VA (13).
IMHO, we need to look elsewhere for 11 more.
A lot may depend on Trump’s VP choice.
I think NJ may be in play (15).
Christie?
Hillary will not be the Democrat candidate. A little birdie named Guccifer sang to the FBI about three years ago. The FBI has been sizing Hillary for an orange jump suit ever since. They’re almost got the suit (crimnal) ready.
Indiana is pretty conservative. I remember how pissed those people were when they actually voted for Obama the first time around.
there are more than three million registered independents in New York. I don’t think The beast can take New York.
I also believe the old alcoholic will stroke out before November.
Michigan.
Virginia and Ohio are wobbly.
If the Dems motivate a big Hispanic turnout, Nevada and Florida are in danger.
I think NM, CO, ME and possibly MI and PA are up for grabs.
“Virginia and Ohio are wobbly.”
Virginia yes. Very wobbly.
Ohio is always a swing state, but I don’t think it’s going to Clinton.
I have a feeling that PA and MI are going to be in play big time this election to help offset VA.
Trump probably has a better chance in Pennsylvania than Virginia.
270 to win is a pointless parlor game, but fun! I play it myself. This map of yours, or something similar, is probably Hillary’s best case scenario. Four or five states could tip either way. We don’t know what will happen between now and November, how much help from the media Her Preciousness will have, or what either candidate might do to make his/her campaign implode. But based on what we know today, it will be this close.
I think Trump can win Iowa and Pennsylvania
I think Indiana is a lock for the GOP, OH will lean GOP in Nov.
I think VA might go the other way, particularly if all those felons vote.
IA, PA and NJ are potential GOP pickups.
Carville was right in 1992 and he’ll be right in 2016 - “It’s the economy, stupid.”
The rotten Obama economy is going to deliver the WH to the GOP.
Ohio was stolen for Kasich.
No way does Ohio go for Hillary.
At this point, Kasich’s goodwill has taken a nose dive, so don’t expect him to be any help as a VP candidate. He would drag down the ticket.
Ohio maybe. But Indiana's gone Democrat only once since 1964 and that was a fluke.
“If the Dems motivate a big Hispanic turnout”
They won’t with Clinton. She’ll certainly win minority voters as a percentage when all is said and done, but turnout among those particular demographics will probably be the same as 2012 in an absolute best case scenario (2012 is her ceiling ... she is that bad of a candidate). They aren’t going to turn out like they did in 2008 for Hillary. It won’t happen. Take that to the bank.
Trump is going to put the voters that stayed home when Romney ran back into play. He’s also going to bring a lot of Reagan Dems into play (basically the white men that Hillary hates). Plus I think he can draw more minorities from the Dems to which the Dems will start throwing out racist insults since they hate when their slaves leave their pathetic plantation.
I think the overall popular vote will be relatively close, but I think Trump is going to win a number of electoral votes similar to what O-ha-ha won in 2012.
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