Posted on 04/27/2016 12:48:30 PM PDT by TangledUpInBlue
OK, where's the weak link in this map/scenario? Is it Ohio? Nevada? This conservatively gives the beast NY, IA, and PA and Trump can still prevail.
(Excerpt) Read more at 270towin.com ...
IMHO, Trump will get Romney’s 206 EV’s, and add:
FL +29
OH +18
That’s 253. He needs one other double-digit state (WI, MI, NJ, PA), and he’ll pick up one or two smaller states (eg, NH, IA, NV, ME, CO) minimum.
Trump will have lots of pathways. With Giuliani, he might even get NY. If he would get NY with Giuliani as VP, I would take that deal.
IA, WI, and especially MI should all be flipped to Red, IMO. Plenty of disaffected blue collar workers / ex union here who would switch from Dem to Trump (net vote +2).
Flip NV to Blue for sure, too many illegals there.
I’d flip VA to Blue, CO to Red, and PA to Red, but I’m less certain about these. PA has disaffected blue collar workers similar to the other states going Red, VA has a lot of new government employees, and CO has a lot of angry voters over the election theft. CO will also be losing a few Democrat voters who only voted because they wanted to legalize weed.
I don’t think your map is a good representation of the toss up states for 2016.
Everything blue starting from Virginia on up to Ohio eastward is tossup.
Expect Hillary to win contested states that have heavy democrat machinations (have experience cheating in), like VA and OH, Possibly PA.
It would be amazing if he took Guiliani
Can’t have Giuliani. Both P and VP candidates cannot be from the same state.
Things have changed for her since then.
There are non political sites I go to where the female participants are pretty left generally.
She has gone from being their Madonna to an object of loathing. And not entirely because of Bernie.
Northern Virginia messes that state up. He can get it back from NY/CT/RI and maybe PA/NJ. At least one EV in Maine.
Minority turnout will be down compared to 2012/2008.
I think guiliami is awesome but with trump almost 70. I think he’ll have to go younger.
Theoretically he could since he isn't going to win New York anyway. But there are better choices than Giuliani.
National and world events between now and the November election will greatly influence the outcome.
Are you factoring in the voter fraud and outright cheating from the Dems?
Both states also have a very robust democrat voting fraud machine operating.
Yeah, I think you have a good point there. I know in Colorado there are a fair number of independents that are more conservative than the GOP. Plus if the Dems nominate Hillary, there will be lack of enthusiasm on the Dem side. Could flip the state.
Flat Bush vs Queens. That’s another state right? /sarc
A lot depends on who Clinton's running mate will be.
In any case, Nevada alone could swing the election one way or the other.
“If the Dems motivate a big Hispanic turnout, Nevada and Florida are in danger.”
=
“If he would get NY with Giuliani as VP, I would take that deal.”
I would not be surprised to see a 50-state blowout, even against massive fraud wherever there are electronic voting machines.
“Theoretically he could since he isn’t going to win New York anyway. But there are better choices than Giuliani.”
When Cliton/Dems get finish with Trump Wall/Wacis, The Minorities/Illegals will be fired up, there will be same turn out as was for obummer.
Trump better pull over some of those blue collar dems yall keep referring to, because allot of Conservatives will stay home again, just like they did with Romney.
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