Posted on 04/15/2016 7:56:30 AM PDT by MtnClimber
In the midst of an epic El Nino, federal meteorologists say its flip side, La Nina, is around the corner.
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Climate Prediction Center on Thursday reported that the current strong El Nino is weakening but likely to stick around a couple more months. At the same time, NOAA issued a formal watch for a fall arrival of La Nina, saying there is a 70 percent chance for the flip side of El Nino.
"A dry winter next year won't be good, I can assure you of that," Halpert said. What may be truly confusing is this summer's Atlantic hurricane season, Halpert said. At the start of the summer, Earth may still be in the tail end of an El Nino, which often reduces the number of Atlantic hurricanes. But by the time the hurricane season hits its fall peak, it should be a La Nina, which tends to increase the number of storms.
La Nina often means wetter winters in the Pacific Northwest and Ohio Valley and drier in the south, especially Florida, Halpert said. It often means fewer East Coast snowstorms, but a bit colder weather, especially in the Northern Plains, with the Northeast more a wild card, he said. El Nino is the natural warming of parts of the Pacific that alters weather worldwide that occurs every several years and last nearly a year. La Nina, with cooler Pacific waters, lasts a bit longer.
El Nino, La Nina and a neutral condition, neither warm nor cool, together make up what's called the El Nino Southern Oscillation. But don't expect neutral for long. Halpert said computer models are unanimous that the world will zip past neutral and directly into the cooler La Nina.
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And that we’d be stupid enough to bet the farm (our livelihood and prosperity and what is left of it) on their predictions.
[[”A dry winter next year won’t be good, I can assure you of that,” Halpert said.]]
Psssst- it was a dry winter this year all across the states practically- so we get dry witners with both el ninjo and la ninja?
[[Halpert said computer models are unanimous that the world will zip past neutral and directly into the cooler La Nina.]]
Oh how convenient for them- cooler global temps are predicted so of course blame it on la nina so that we can say global warming caused by man is still happening
Trump’s fault (has replaced “Bush’s fault”)
Right, that sea of air...
Correct.
We are in the process of cancelling all of our DEN flights for tomorrow starting tonight..
We got something like four piddly storms in SoCal with this El Niño. So the dry winter predicted for La Niña will undoubtedly drench us.
If we quit planting trees, we wouldn't have to worry about forest fires.
Not in my neck of the woods. El Nino portends a mild winter for our area and we got one of the best winters as far as lack of snow and mild temperatures that I can recall.
“If its not one thing its something else”. Rozanne Rosannadana.
I live in central Missouri and El Nino gave us here a warm winter.
“If we quit planting trees, we wouldn’t have to worry about forest fires.”
What a good idea!
I worked two summers as a firefighter for the State of California. Our patrols took us through commercial tree farms, and I learned a great deal from talking to them. For example, for every mature tree they fell, they plant seven.
el nino, la nina, polar vortex, sub-polar vortex, equatorial vortex, ....whatever they can make up and get the media to swallow
“Weather forecast for tonight: dark. Continued dark overnight, with widely scattered light by morning.” - George Carlin
I saw a documentary on something similar a couple years ago. A tree plantation for trees to make paper had a 10 year cycle. Separate groups of trees were planted each year for 10 years. So at the end of 10 years you had 10yo trees, 9 yo trees etc.
In the 10th year when the 10 yo trees had reached maturity, they were harvested. Whatever kind of tree it was they were tall and straight and so could be planted in rows to simplify harvest. Once they were harvested seedlings were planted on the far side of the one year old trees.
IIRC the space occupied by the recently harvested trees was left empty so that next year equipment had room to come in and harvest the current 9 yo trees. And so on and so on.
Talk about renewable - there was always product in the system. Central planning doesn’t create these systems. Businesses do - if left alone. (I didn’t do a very good job of describing it but seeing it in operation was very cool.) Oh and birds and bunnies were welcome on the rows that weren’t being harvested.
I’d forgotten about this. Thanks for the laugh.
What a crock. There have always been wetter years and dryer years, colder winters and warmer winters. But now since the icky weather zealots coined “El Nino” and “La Nina” we have to listen to their iffy forecasts in Spanish.
Happily, the plain old “sandstorm” is still hanging in there, even though these cretins want to introduce the Arabic term “haboob”. The public should nix that one and make fun of anyone who uses it.
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