Posted on 02/21/2016 2:44:41 PM PST by Bratch
Be of good cheer and enjoy the removal of one-half of the globalists 2016 objectives; indeed a difficult Rubicon has been successfully traversed. However, do not be naïve in thinking one significant battle means the war has been won.
The bloodiest battle still lays ahead.
♦ Jeb Bush has been forced out of the race. It cannot be overstated how significant this victory is in the grand scheme of things. The foundational block, upon which the entire road-map was built, has been removed. However, the GOPe engineers will now shift attention to a scorched earth campaign to benefit their retention of power.
We would all be wise to remember in 2014 Chris McDaniels actually defeated Thad Cochran in the first GOP Mississippi primary. It was only after their initial defeat the GOPe decided to destroy anything that stood in their way – again, the retention of power was the ultimate motivator.
We can now expect those same DC influences, including the entire camp that supported Jeb Bush, the old guard, to work diligently (albeit under darkened cover) to assist Hillary Clinton, and destroy anything that would interrupt their grip on power.
Yes, the GOPe would rather lose to Hillary and retain their place at the trough than to see entry into their cloistered club by the Vulgarian Donald Trump.
That inevitable and predictable result was/is part of the original problem.
The full weight of the GOPe apparatus, Wall Street, the U.S. CoC, K-Street and the affiliated professional political class will now work hand-in-hand with the Democrats and left-wing media to destroy that which threatens them; namely Donald J Trump. Attacks in all forms are only going to get worse from here on out.
Trump refusing to thank the Bush Clan upon exit was simply recognition of his awareness of what’s to come. Trump, and the close circle around him, are well aware of what happens next….. They simply have to be.
♦ “Ceilings” – There will be much media obfuscation around Trump having ceilings, or limits to his appeal. These necessarily promoted memes and narratives will have to be pushed to provide distraction and gaslight those voters with common sense.
In reality election results are ceilings themselves, and while they may proclaim Trump has a 35% +/- ceiling, the reality is yesterday Marco Rubio and Ted Cruz had ceilings around the 22% range. Election results are ceilings. Ceilings move along with the thinning out of campaign contestants.
FACT – As long as Trump’s “Ceiling” is higher than his competition he will continue to win, and there’s nothing on the visible horizon to indicate he will lose. Talk of “ceilings” is merely obfuscation and denial of reality.
♦ John Kasich – Remember, Kasich will not even be competitive in most of the upcoming races. Nor is Kasich on all of the upcoming state’s ballots. So why does he stay in? He is a loyal soldier for the Old Guard. He still has a role to play, an agenda to deliver and promises to keep.
♦ Ted Cruz – Ted’s loss yesterday (as described here), showcases what we have outlined for a long time. Team Cruz does not carry a pathway to a successful nomination. Period. If Cruz cannot win a single county in 75% evangelical voter friendly South Carolina, where exactly can he win?
SEC primary states or not, Ted Cruz’s last and only firewall before an embarrassing, albeit lucrative, exit is Texas. If Cruz doesn’t win Texas, he’s done. But he needs to keep talking like it’s possible in order for the supporters to hit the donation buttons on the increasingly urgent and desperate emails.
Team Cruz talking points will center around beating Trump by a.) confronting Trump directly, or, b) taking down Marco Rubio. Except Cruz faces a reality problem. Taking support from Rubio only benefits Trump, not Cruz.
♦ Marco Rubio – We have continually referenced readers to weigh only polling that is not agenda driven polling. Meaning polling results which are not driven by insiders in the professional political game. You can see from last night’s results the NBC/WSJ poll was insufferably wrong (derived from a PR firm). So too was the Fox Poll, and almost all of the 48 hour polls prior to the actual voting in South Carolina.
However, in the non-agenda polling, done by actual political scientists without a financial stake in the outcome, you see a key point repeating over the past several months. If you take down Marco Rubio, Donald Trump’s numbers increase but not Ted Cruz.
The Southern Political Poll is a great representative example – SEE HERE.
Horse race #1 = first choice, Horse race #2 = second choice.
Only Donald Trump holds more than 50% when combining first and second preference inobjective polling stats (again, agenda polls are useless for this analysis).
It is conversely true that Rubio would benefit from a Trump downfall or exit. However, it is also true that any benefit therein to Cruz would be minimal. Cruz’s base voters are the purest of ideological voters, as a consequence moderates do not traverse easily into that camp – even if their favorite issues are represented within it.
As we previously shared, in a three man race with Trump, Rubio and Cruz a generally admitted outcome would be:
We have not had an “America-First” (center-right) candidate for a long time. That is the new paradigm everyone is struggling to define. And when you combine that broad-based coalition it takes all the positional oxygen from the GOPe and far right.
America-first immigration policies; strong border security; Pro U.S. worker trade-policies; Main Street (not Wall Street) American worker interests; Local education (not common core); Strong national defense, but common sense non-intervention. All policies dominated by Donald J Trump.
One of the historic truisms in the past several election cycles is the “Cruz Coalition”, as currently assembled, is the first to stay home when their candidate doesn’t win. The socially-minded voter will never vote for a populist fiscal conservative/socially moderate candidate. Cruz voters, and their advocates, are emotionally driven by social issues. Hence they yell a lot (See Mark Levin) and only respond well to others who are inside their echo-chamber.
Consequently neither Rubio nor Trump will try to gain/court Cruz voters. Why should they; the narrow-minded group will never vote for them, if they vote at all.
This ‘non-voting’ truism is why the GOPe ignore the Cruz-like factions completely; because rarely will the GOPe be influenced by them. When Cruz-Clan get angry and don’t get their way they don’t vote.
The modern way to deal with that faction is to make them angry, and they leave. (Example: Questioning eligibility sets them off easily and they lose control. They might even invite another sketchy character, Glenn Beck, to help showcase their entrenched ideological moonbattery.) See how easy that is? More exposure to the crazy = less votes in crazy camp.
Both Trump and Rubio will most likely ignore Cruz, as neither stands to benefit much.
However, Rubio will be forced to confront Trump if he is to have any chance of winning anywhere…… AND that’s where Rubio benefits from Team Bush. Rubio will not have to attack Trump, because the GOPe Old Guard is about to do that dirty work for him.
Lastly, when encountering either Cruz sycophants, or big government GOPe Rubiobots the best thing to do is ask a simple question:
….”OK, let’s presume the race is a simple three-way contest, what state is YOUR GUY going to win”?….
But hey, they’ve got to pull the Pelosi, Reid et all politics of personal destruction for Hillary.
Most people have no idea whats at stake in this election. Cruz does not have the power, wealth or influence and frankly does not have the leadership skills to lead us out of the catastrophe we have been in since 911.
Yeah. That right there that you said.
I forgot,I also have a 12 gauge fitted with a bayonet.
https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/5i941zph94/econTabReport.pdf#page=31
Trump easily wins with Indies too.
Trump will not win the nomination and he’ll run third party because his ego doesn’t allow him to accept the fact that the majority of conservatives don’t want him.
Then it will be a young intelligent hardworking prolife conservative, Ted Cruz...running against two older white prochoice candidates.
This country is no longer America after 7 years of Obama. What part of velvet 'coup' under the guise of 'hope & change' did you fail to grasp?
This country will not follow Cruz.
It won't follow God, the Constitution or liberty either. I've already accepted that fact. That's why we've already lost the Republic and the vast majority lie to themselves that somehow we still are. There's no 'saving' where we are going. Scripture and history bear this out, whether you want to believe it or not. I frankly don't care. I'm just pointing it out.
You are blind to your own pride.
Says the person who insists we are not hiring a 'pastor', and therefore should settle for whatever a man on his own ego says he will do to make us 'great again' sans God.
And yes, I will do what is right instead of what is expedient. We have example after example in national elections after national elections what comes when a people 'do what works' rather than do what is right. I have since repented of being of that failed mindset.
no you're going 'Establishment Church Doctrine"
The Establishment in both parties has made it perfectly plain that church doctrine has no place among them. Rather instead the Establishment has sown permanent hostility to those of Biblical faith and practice, so your charge doesn't fly.
I urge you to wake up and save the country
I have no power to save this country. This people chose their own fate after much pleading to deaf ears. No one man can 'save' us contrary to what most who vote think.
Saving the country required that which the vast majority of those claiming Christianity as their faith have steadfastly refused to do. A people who choose 'what works' over what is right will always choose despotism and chains.
And any honorable man of faith and principle, will never "win" national elections so long as this people are convinced they can exclude biblical morality and principle from governance. Liberty and the Constitution cannot exist or operate among a people who are not first governed by biblical principles.
If we are not governed by God, we will be ruled by tyrants.
Here we are. Enjoy what this people have chosen, because to them, this is what works and is preferential to God and His Principles.
Wow. This is very interesting.
Timothy said that about the president, huh?
That’s qualifications for a Church leader, not Caesar!
I do not want to elect an evangelical for president. It is fine if he is one, but that’s not his primary job.
We need a real ruthless leader to confront the devils of THIS world, not usher us into the next.
Note to self - “Don’t piss-off Farmer Dean”.
I feel the same way about the word “Hero”, seems like it has been watered down to the point where I heard tell of a paper boy who was called a hero for delivering the papers on a cold snowy late afternoon.
See my post 23.
I don’t trust anything from that website.
The Seig-Heiling of Trump as king...
Amazing.
Thanks Red Steel...
Thanks for that info/graphic.
Thanks LIberalh8ter...
I’ve seen your judgement in action.
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