Posted on 01/18/2016 1:49:16 PM PST by Citizen Zed
We've got an unpopular set of presidential candidates this year - Bernie Sanders is the only candidate in either party with a net-positive favorability rating - but Trump is the most unpopular of all. His favorability rating is 33 percent, as compared with an unfavorable rating of 58 percent, for a net rating of -25 percentage points. By comparison Hillary Clinton, whose favorability ratings are notoriously poor, has a 42 percent favorable rating against a 50 percent unfavorable rating, for a net of -8 points. Those are bad numbers, but nowhere near as bad as Trump's.
This is not just a recent phenomenon; Trump's favorability ratings have been consistently poor. It's true that his favorability numbers improved quite a bit among Republicans once he began running for president. But those gains were almost exactly offset by declines among independents and Democrats. In fact, his overall favorability ratings have been just about unchanged since he began running for president in June.
(Excerpt) Read more at fivethirtyeight.com ...
Nope.
No one who is having far worse favorability ratings than Hilary Clinton at the peak of the FBI investigation into her crimes is going to win an election against Hilary Clinton. Not to mention Hilary Clinton consistently beats Trump in head to head matchup polls.
North Carolina- good to hear from one of the most corrupt states in Our Union.
Thanks.
Dream on. Trump has a very broad swath of appeal across party lines. He will win the general election in a landslide.
I don’t but Ted’s favorables are highest - his unfavorables are also the best, less than 20, less than Carson now. These things end up affecting how people vote, though not one trumpee will agree.
Plus the head to head Cruz wins including NH.
Nate Silver got the UK elections in 2015 MASSIVELY wrong. His excuse? “Lots of others got it wrong, too.”
Somebody from CA is critizing someone from NC. Now I’ve heard it all.
Trump has only scratched the surface with Hillary. Unlike Cruz he will use Bills “rapes” and Hillary as the enabler with no qualms. She has already backed off the women issues. She never brought them up in the debate. I have no doubt Trump will mop the floor with Hillary. We are talking a 45+ state win.
Only in the fevered imagination of in denial Trumpbots.
He will win the general election in a landslide.
Not with Donald Trump losing to Hilary Clinton in 11 out of the last 12 general election matchup polls at RCP. He won't.
“to those who think they know him, but are surprised when they hear him .”
There’s a lot of truth in your statement. People are often fed what they want to believe having never heard the candidate or their message. I’d wager that most people trash candidates having never heard a word they say.
When the campaign heads to the debates, people are often stunned to learn that the candidate they’ve been trained to demonize doesn’t speak like a crazed psychopath. I’ve seen it very often :-). Hell, even I fell victim to it in my youth :-).
They all hate Trump for a reason. As many have pointed out, it’s a control thing. Should Trump win, DC isn’t going to know who or what to bribe to get executive favors.
People like Karl Rove are going to lose LOTS of business. Uniparty members fear losing out on cash for their selves and their pet projects. It’s always about money and power.
It’s easy for them to make Trump out to be unhinged right now ... should he win the primary and make it through the summer without making an egregious error, people are going to be shocked, in a good way, when it comes to the campaign in the fall.
Can I get some of what you're smoking?
Dream on mate.
Trump has close to 100% name recognition with the general election electorate, and the more they get to know him, the less they like him. No surprise there. Trump is a very nasty man, full of bluster and bragging and bragodacio. With close to 100% name recognition and very low favorability, his favorability has zero upside.
Nate Silver in 2012 was spot-on...burying Michael Barone, Dick Morris as well as Karl Rove, to name a few pundits (can’t remember where Larry Sabato was). But no one has been on point in predicting anything about Trump and he is getting foot-traffic support from people who have been absent from the political process until now. Are those previously politically-inactive citizens even polled? And all those “fans” standing in line for hours in sub-freezing temperatures must say something about the man’s support. The only truism that seems to come from this Trump candidacy is that it is totally unpredictable.
JUST WAIT A DARN MINUTE! Someone’s lying...it’s not possible that TRUMP (BLESSED BE HIS NAME) can be other than the MOST popular candidate for President...and by a YUUUUUGE margin.
Quiet
The people on FR don’t know this yet
He is not British. He lives and works here. We will look at his performance in US presidential elections, which is what we are talking about here, not the British parliamentary elections.
Chuckle!
Yes, I really hope Trump can win if we are dumb enough to nominate him.
I thought he was more popular than I now think and that is from talking to actual live people among family and friends who despise him. I mean loathe him with a fury.
I was surprised. But he is not likable.
Is this the same flying nat Silver who tried and tried and tried to ignore Trump all year long hoping he would go away? LoL.
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