[Lagmeister]

I know I will not convince you, but the head to head at this point is meaningless. Logic will tell you that you can't be tied with Jeb in NH at 10% and still beat the front runner. What it tells you is that everybody has their favorite pic at this point and is not going to automatically go for the front runner as their second pic. It just doesn't happen that way.

Watch as the field shortens. How much will go to Cruz. In fact, after Cruz wins IA, really look and see what he pics up going into NH. From early December to January Cruz has dropped in NH while Trump has gained. And again, where in the world is Cruz's strength in his home state. He should be up by greater than 10 points.

[Boogieman]

“Logic will tell you that you can’t be tied with Jeb in NH at 10% and still beat the front runner.”

Why not? George W. Bush lost NH in 2000 and won the nomination. Bob Dole lost NH in 96 and won the nomination. The NH primary is relatively insignificant in the grand scheme of a primary race, especially since it is sandwiched between two more important primaries.