Haven't heard much from MI and there is a little concern over SD, but KS seems to be moving Roberts' way.
fieldmarshaldj, what's your take on these two, plus GA?
http://www.nytimes.com/newsgraphics/2014/senate-model/comparisons.html
I check this every day. I don’t think one site has the answers.
Georgia (born and raised here) is hard to tell now because the local media, national media and every former Carter supporter, Democrat and local nobody Democrat pollsters are in the mix trying to dissuade GOP turnout.
Lots of attempted fraud going on too with local (Atlanta and South) community ‘leaders’ and groups (Democrats) trying to get 86,000 new registrations (they CLAIM, unsupported) have been submitted. The State official responsible for that, Kemp, is holding tough. Much hoopla, DSCC money coming in (abandoned Grimes in KY), and some very lying ads by Michelle Martin-nee’ Nunn.
I personally don’t believe the hype. I already voted - straight R’s down the line holding my nose. However, as they say, “we shall see what we shall see” come election night.
Don’t forget Landrieu!!!! We have to rid LA of Landrieu!
Don’t forget Landrieu!!!! We have to rid LA of Landrieu!
Reporting from the Old Dominion, Ed Gillespie remains 7-9 points behind Mark Warner, and I don’t see him closing that gap by election day. Gillespie has run one of the most lackluster campaigns I’ve ever seen and for all his political acumen (
(former RNC chairman, senior White House aide), Gillespie had trouble attracting donors for much of the year—his first ad buy in the critical D.C. market didn’t begin until late September.
Of course, it doesn’t help that more than a dozen RINOs (including former Senator John Warner) have endorsed the Democrat incumbent, Mark Warner. The only good news for Republicans in Virginia this election cycle is that Eric Cantor was sent packing and it looks like Barbara Comstock will hang on to Frank Wolf’s Congressional seat in northern Virginia. Unfortunately, the Virginia GOP is still at war with itself and won’t win very many statewide races until that conflict ends (i.e., the Tea Party displaces the RINOs)
Most like the Libertarian candidate in GA will keep Nunn from 50% and Perdue will squeak it out in the Jan 6th runoff. If we are lucky. He is a terrible candidate.
Let me take this opportunity to thank all of my fellow Georgians who were so stupid as to select David Perdue over any of the other GOP candidates who would likely be leading Nunn at this point.
Most likely the Libertarian candidate in GA will keep Nunn from 50% and Perdue will squeak it out in the Jan 6th runoff. If we are lucky. He is a terrible candidate.
Let me take this opportunity to thank all of my fellow Georgians who were so stupid as to select David Perdue over any of the other GOP candidates who would likely be leading Nunn at this point.
I think everyone else pretty much answered your query in the thread. MI, which should’ve been a pickup for us (it’s been 20 years since the GOP won a Senate race), has been a fiasco with Land not able to make any headway at all in months. As someone who has won statewide twice, she ought to be demolishing the Democrat.
SD has been a weird race, but ultimately, Rounds will pull it out with a plurality. Frankly, he should’ve run against Johnson in ‘08 and would not likely be having to deal with this stuff left over from the Governorship. Given how it’s turned out, Kristi Noem should’ve run instead. I presume she’s waiting on Thune to retire.
As for NC, Hagen may yet win it. Tillis was a poor choice, as I surmised back in the primary. Establishment nominees don’t turn out the base.
GA, it appears unlikely either candidate will get to 50%, although you never know. Nunn would have to get that outright to win. A runoff and she loses. If we had a similar situation in NC, Tillis would probably pull it off.
As for VA, I would be shocked if Gillespie wins.