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To: Jim Noble

thank you..

that magic number of 21 has been overused..


32 posted on 10/12/2014 6:05:54 AM PDT by Tennessee Nana
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To: Tennessee Nana

The number should be understood as “up to 21”.

Not as a guarantee that a patient will get that long, just meaning that long must pass to be sure the disease is not still undetected in a patient who was exposed.


89 posted on 10/12/2014 6:31:06 AM PDT by MrEdd (Heck? Geewhiz Cripes, thats the place where people who don't believe in Gosh think they aint going.)
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To: Tennessee Nana
that magic number of 21 has been overused..

No it hasn't.

Every human being is different. 21 days is a very conservative estimate of a 95% confidence interval that you will develop symptoms if exposed, within two standard deviations. The measured standard deviation is 4.3 days. For "most" people (~70%) symptoms will develop between 8 and 12 days of infection.

If you stop isolating people after only 12 days, 30% of infected patients are going to be turned loose into general population. Some studies are now recommending 25 days.

277 posted on 10/12/2014 10:15:20 AM PDT by FredZarguna (His first name is 'Unarmed,' and his given middle name is 'Teenager.')
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