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Election 2012: Virginia President R-50, O-47 (Rasmussen)
Rasmussen ^ | 10/19/2012 | Scott Rasmussen

Posted on 10/20/2012 6:02:34 PM PDT by Signalman

Friday, October 19, 2012

Mitt Romney has now hit the 50% mark in Virginia.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Virginia Voters, taken two nights after the second presidential debate, shows Romney with 50% support to President Obama’s 47%. Two percent (2%) remain undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Virginia, considered a critical state to both candidates’ political fortunes, remains a Toss-Up in the Rasmussen Reports Electoral College Projections.

A week ago, Romney led 49% to 47% in Virginia. Prior to this survey, the candidates have been within two points or less of each other in every survey here since April.

Ninety-four percent (94%) of likely voters in the Old Dominion say they are certain to vote in this election. Among these voters, Romney leads 52% to 47%.

Among the 88% of voters in the state who say they’ve already decided whom they will vote for, it’s Romney 51%, Obama 49%.

Romney has small leads among both male and female voters in the state. Voters not affiliated with either of the major political parties prefer the Republican challenger by a modest 49% to 45% margin.

Virginia voters trust Romney more to handle the economy by five points, 50% to 45%. They are almost evenly divided when it comes to whom they trust more in the area of national security, giving the president a 48% to 47% edge. This is comparable to findings among all voters nationwide.

But Virginia voters by 10 points – 51% to 41% - believe Obama better understands the issues of the middle class. That’s slightly more confidence in the president than voters express nationally.


TOPICS: Miscellaneous
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; rasmussen; virginia

1 posted on 10/20/2012 6:02:40 PM PDT by Signalman
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To: Signalman

Can someone who knows Virginia state politics enlighten us as to what happened to Virgil Goode?

Last I heard he was all positioned to be the spoiler, taking ~5% of the vote in VA.

That doesn’t look to be the case anymore. Why?

(I’m happy about that turn of events, not disappointed... but I *am* curious.)


2 posted on 10/20/2012 6:07:15 PM PDT by Nervous Tick ("You can ignore reality, but you can't ignore the consequences of ignoring reality.")
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To: Signalman

A month ago, I was worried about losing Virginia, and Ohio

Now, I’m only worried about losing Ohio.

We’re going to take Virginia. People know the pink slips are coming after the election. Now we need to crack Ohio.


3 posted on 10/20/2012 6:12:05 PM PDT by Viennacon
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To: Viennacon

You aren’t the only one worried about losing Ohio. I live here and am biting my fingernails. Not literally, of course, but figuratively.


4 posted on 10/20/2012 6:44:12 PM PDT by Catsrus (Ma)
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To: Catsrus

“You aren’t the only one worried about losing Ohio. I live here and am biting my fingernails. Not literally, of course, but figuratively.”

Ohio is going to be close. VERY close.

It may become to the 2012 election what Florida was in 2000.

Virginia looks good, however. With a bit of luck, maybe George Allen will get pulled over the finish line on Mr. Romney’s coattails...


5 posted on 10/20/2012 6:59:29 PM PDT by Road Glide
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To: Road Glide
Ohio is going to be close. VERY close.<<

I think so too....I heard 66 of the 72 registered “Mickey Mouse’ has already voted for Obama...”John Doe” and the registered “dead” are trending Obama 99%....Voter turn out is expected at 104%....Film at 11...

6 posted on 10/20/2012 7:09:03 PM PDT by M-cubed
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To: Mad Dawg; EDINVA; JPG; Hawthorn; Paisan; VA_Gentleman; seekthetruth; COBOL2Java; Perdogg; kabar; ...

VA Ping!

If you want on/off the VA Ping List, please freepmail me.

If you see posts of interest to Virginians, please ping me.

Thanks!


7 posted on 10/20/2012 7:10:16 PM PDT by randita
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To: Nervous Tick
Can someone who knows Virginia state politics enlighten us as to what happened to Virgil Goode? Last I heard he was all positioned to be the spoiler, taking ~5% of the vote in VA. That doesn’t look to be the case anymore. Why? (I’m happy about that turn of events, not disappointed... but I *am* curious.)

Well, this is right up my alley, as I'm not only in VA, but Goode was my representative. Goode has been a Democrat, then an Independent, and then a Republican Representative for our district. I have met him in person. There is a local highway named Virgil Goode Hwy. He is liked well, but little of that matters. I think those that estimated that he would get big support are underestimating the intelligence of the people who used to vote for Goode. This election is too important to those that don't like Obama. As a former Goode voter -- on whether to vote for Romney or Goode -- well Johnny B Goode, but not THAT Goode. My guess is he gets below 2%.

8 posted on 10/20/2012 7:48:38 PM PDT by SarahPalin2012
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To: Signalman
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Virginia Voters, taken two nights after the second presidential debate, shows Romney with 50% support to President Obama’s 47%. Two percent (2%) remain undecided.

the undecideds are blacks who are going to vote for Romney but who don't want other blacks to think they are an UNCLE TOM!!

9 posted on 10/20/2012 7:53:24 PM PDT by ExCTCitizen (Yes, Obama, I had help with my business. MY CUSTOMERS!)
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To: Signalman

‘bout time !

I already voted Romney/Allen/Murray.


10 posted on 10/20/2012 8:03:08 PM PDT by EDINVA (I)
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To: EDINVA

Rasmussen has all the big swing states moving in Romneys direction but his nationwide poll remains static at basically a draw. Not getting that.


11 posted on 10/20/2012 8:07:06 PM PDT by jwalsh07
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To: jwalsh07

Don’t just watch the polls. There are a lot of other indicators on the state of the race right now. This seems a lot like 2008, except in reverse. Romney has the large crowds, the message, the money, the confidence. Obama is talking about Big Bird, Binders, and Romnesia. Obama is leaking so called internal PA poll to prove they are comfortably ahead there. 48 hour swing state marathon. Everything points to a big Romney surge and win on Nov 6th.

Let me ask the folks here this question..... would you want to trade places with the Obama campaign right now?


12 posted on 10/20/2012 8:11:00 PM PDT by gswilder
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To: jwalsh07

I swear, I don’t know where they find the folks who think O is preferable on ANYTHING, or that O has the interest of the middle class by 10%. What has he ever done for the middle class? OMG, I’m getting started. I so want this dang election to be over. The tension has me more squirrel-y than ever.


13 posted on 10/20/2012 8:15:16 PM PDT by EDINVA (I)
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To: gswilder

It was a technical question. I agree it “feels” like it’s moving Romney’s way.


14 posted on 10/20/2012 8:17:25 PM PDT by jwalsh07
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To: Signalman

Turn out the lights...the party’s over..


15 posted on 10/20/2012 9:06:18 PM PDT by bray (Islam- A billion medieval savages can't be wrong!)
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To: Nervous Tick

I think the folks in VA are brighter than those on FR who were pushing hard for Virgil. I seem to recall a post last week (maybe two weeks ago) that had Virgil with 1%. In a really tight race it could hurt, but it looks like Mitt has VA under control.


16 posted on 10/21/2012 2:55:53 AM PDT by trebb ("If a man will not work, he should not eat" From 2 Thes 3)
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