Posted on 01/28/2011 3:01:22 PM PST by MindBender26
As many of you know, am old network TV newsie. Just tapped former proven source, retired VERY senior CIA officer. No Hq paper-pusher type, he is the real deal, a highly successful very senior ME field operator. Retired as ES-4.
From an intel assesment stanspoint, he is a proven source, with access to information, extensive field work in the area, no reason to lie and has always given good data in past.
His assessment (in shorthand:)
1. If Egypt falls, disaster for US. Put succinctly; "the horse we bet all our life savings on may be about to drop dead in the backstretch."
2. If Egypt gmvt falls, radical Muslim Brotherhood will be the new power, totally.
3. If Egypt falls, Jordan and Saudi are in trouble, but not necessarily gone. Even Syria is not safe.
4. Although Muslim Brotherhood would take over, the cause of revolt is not religion but the lack of jobs, horrible standard of living. Saudi and Jordan citizens have somewhat better conditions, so might be saved.
5. Egyptian Army is the absolute key. If Army stays local, Mubarak may be safe. If they falter, he is absolute toast.
6. Problem is, Army does not like Mubarak. They loved Sadat, he was one of them, but they do not like Hosni.
7. If Egypt falls, biggest winners are Iran and Russia. Iran becomes big kid on block. Russia desperately needs crude oil prices to go up to help economy. They prosper at $90 barrel crude. This could create $220, $250 a barrel crude oil prices
8. Big loser? Surprisingly not Israel. Just more enemies... who all know Israel will take war nuc if necessary to save self.... but due to US aid, Egyptian Army has great American equipment.
9. Biggest loser #2; Western Europe
10. Biggest loser #1; USA. Oil prices cripple economy. Even worse, word in every diplomatic circle becomes "See what happens to America's friends."
Bottom line; possible/probable disaster for US
It’s outrageous that drilling for oil in our own country has been shut down by BO. The Republicans need to be shouting this from the rooftops night and day. We have plenty, but his royal highness prefes to buy from his Arab friends so we can have $5 gas. At least it may get him out of office on his backside.
My real worry is that the U.S. will force Mubarek into some kind of half-baked democracy drive and radical Islam will win the elections. Elections are all well and good, as long as the right people are elected.
Me and my car were in those gas lines and I agree, BO, will do NOTHING to tap into our own resourses.
Gee, I wonder what our esteemed POTUS wants....We ‘re screwed. Never let a crisis go to waste. I wonder if he thinks 20% unemployment will help get him re-elected.
Lebanon redux.
$5 dollar gas will have been cheap.
” I wonder if he thinks 20% unemployment will help get him re-elected. “
He (or his handlers) may well be banking on Cloward-Piven collapse occuring before that time, ‘necessitating’ martial law, and indefinite ‘suspension’ of elections...
All Hail King Obama the First!!!
He said ‘F it, I’ll have a beer summit tomorrow.’ rolled over and went back to sleep.
It's easy to understand when you consider that the idiot in the White House is a Muslem that wants to take down America.
You think this crisis fits Van Jones’ goal of ‘Complete Revolution’?
>>This has tremendous Biblical implications for those of us who are dispensationalists.<<
It most certainly does. It would set up the power base and sense of security for a strike against Israel. Especially because Israel will be Sunni and Iran is the only large Shiite country. Lots of tension.
And food prices will go up even more.
It all makes sense as the NWO slides into place. Bring on the high energy prices and the further degradation of employment opportunities in the US. Get ready for rising crime incidents in your neighborhood and civil unrest.
” You think this crisis fits Van Jones’ goal of ‘Complete Revolution’? “
I think that this crisis, which almost guarantees skyrocketing oil prices - with the attendant upward pressure on food prices - coupled with the destruction of the dollar, along with the attendant rising unemployment, which leads to an expanding welfare clientele is an almost perfect fit for the Cloward-Piven model....
So, no - instead of ‘Complete Revolution’, I see this as more of a ‘Complete Disintegration’, economical, social, and political - ripe pickins’ for an enterprising dictator....
He’ll release some sound bites and make a speech. That’s all he knows how to do.
Not shorthand but the normal/correct format for writing up intel reports.
Drill baby drill, Kill baby kill............
All-knowing D.C. politician: "Even if we began drilling in ANWR tomorrow it would be at least ten years before we'd realize it at the gas pumps"
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