For popular vote, I'm going with McCain 51%, Zero 48.6%, Third Party/Write-in 0.4%.
Posted on 11/03/2008 3:45:01 PM PST by tatown
This is a thread for everyone to make their election prediction in terms of Popular Vote and Electoral College.
Popular vote:
McCain - 49.2%
Obama - 49.1%
Electoral college:
McCain - 269
Obama - 269
Goes to House of Reps in January and they pick Obama.
Obama indicted by Fitzgerald after HoR vote; Obama signs letter to make Biden President until he is acquitted; Pelosi whacks Biden and takes the Oval. Obama convicted. Riots in the streets. Election stolen!
It would make a good book, eh?
Concede at 8 pm EST? Before the west has finished voting?
Obama 49.1%
McCain 48.5%
Obama 253
McCain 285
Won’t know until Wednesday mid-day at least.
For popular vote, I'm going with McCain 51%, Zero 48.6%, Third Party/Write-in 0.4%.
PV: McCain 51.5, Obama 48.2
EC: McCain 321 (all Bush states, PLUS NH, PENNS, & MINN), Obama: 217
MAC 49.1%
O 49.6%
Sen Dems 57
House Dems +20
If he loses FL or VA, and then loses PA, it will be over.
M-49.5%, O-49.5%
M-254, O-284
McCain 53.2 Obama 45.7
EV: McCain 332
McCain 335 52%
Obama 203 48%
M-229, O-309
BTW, FR is creeping tonight.
M - 50.3%, 299 EV
O - 48.8%, 239 EV
NM and IA flip to 0bama, PA and NH flip to Mac.
Most likely to be wrong about Mac keeping CO and 0bama keeping WI.
NC - M +4
VA - M +1
OH - M +2
PA - M +1
IN - M +8
FL - M +3
MO - M +4
CO - M +1
NV - M +2
NH - M +2
IA - O +3
MN - O +4
WI - O +1
NM - O +5
ME(2) - O +3
ME(whole) - O +5
CA - O +10
If he loses Florida it's over, but thanks to Joe Biden and Jack Murtha, Pa. looks more likely to me than Va.
Your numbers are certainly plausible, but I really don't see McCain conceding the race that early even in that scenario.
:-)
M-535
O-3
:-)
_________
That’s only with a McCain/Palin/Ditka ticket.
Ditka decided to spot Obama a Washington D.C. field goal before the election, that’s how they got 3.
O-279 M- 259 :(
I agree. Mccain knows better than to sabotage west coast Republican turnout by an early concession.
m 270
o 268
m 48.5
o 49.3
I don’t know, not a clue.
But if Obama loses there will be endless recounts, litigation that will make the last recount look like a church picnic.
If McCain loses by one EV, he will concede and not demand a recount or sue anyone.
People forget the heroics of GWB during the time of that election,,I will never forget James Baker and Olsen and his entire team.
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