TS Gustav & TS Hanna

NOAA/NHC ^ | August 28, 2008 | NOAA/NHC

[NautiNurse]

The 2008 peak of hurricane season is ramping up with Gustav and Hanna. The two storms pose threats to the U.S. At least 22 deaths in Hispanola are attributed to Gustav to date, and a Hurricane Warning is in effect for Jamaica. Tropical Storm Hanna has formed in the Atlantic.

Gustav	Hanna
Visible Satellite Image Loop Infrared Satellite Image Loop	Visible Image Loop Infrared Image Loop
WV Satellite Image Loop	WV Image Loop
Public Advisory	Public Advisory
Discussion	Discussion
Buoy Data: Western Caribbean                   FL and East GOM                   Western GOM	East Caribbean West Atlantic Florida

Forecast Models

Category	Wind Speed	Barometric Pressure	Storm Surge	Damage Potential
Tropical Depression	< 39 mph < 34 kts			Minimal
Tropical Storm	39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts			Minimal
Hurricane 1 (Weak)	74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts	28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more	4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m	Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2 (Moderate)	96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts	28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb	6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m	Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3 (Strong)	111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts	27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb	9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m	Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4 (Very strong)	131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts	27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb	13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m	Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5 (Devastating)	Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts	Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb	Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m	Catastrophic building failures possible

[nwctwx]

A vast majority of storms do curve north and then northeast in the GOM. The pattern is not as favorable this go around for that to happen because of the high pressure position to the north. The jog north last night, probably partly caused by intensification probably makes it a bit harder to go into TX. The model consistency for LA has been something..

[nwctwx]

In general the EURO is the best model out there. That doesn’t make it right though..

[Guenevere]

bttt

[SouthTexas]

Gustav must be a Nascar fan with all these models predicting a left turn.

[Petronski]

The model consistency for LA has been something...

Uncanny!

[Cailleach]

nope, I must say that I am happy we are not leaving this weekend. Saves hotel rooms for evac needs, and gives us a chance to get woofie on a plane flight. He’s very excited about going to Grandma and Papa’s house and playing ball chase with his Auntie and Uncle Lacey and Toby...and giving kissies to his kitty Aunties.

[4everontheRight]

Speaking of Nagin, he better hurry on over to the Superdome so he can block Oprah from getting in there and seeing all those dead bodies!!!!!!

[Petronski]

Do you mean the PooperDome?

[rodguy911]

I hope he stays off the tv this time.

[nwctwx]

I think it is further east right now than it should have been... so maybe a track back closer to New Orleans is possible. Still wouldn’t expect the storm to move due north or northeast prior to landfall.

[NautiNurse]

Thanks for the analysis. Very helpful.

[DrewsMum]

“They” said that they super dome will not be open for evacuees this time around....

[Old Professer]

If you will read his current blog you will notice that I am not the only one to take him to task on that admonition and description about New Orleans; he essentially apologizes for stepping out of his proper role.

He presents as a professional weather analyst not as a pundit, sociologist, economics expert or politician.

So far he has been very accurate in his storm assesment on Gustav especially the significance and importance of the loop current influence but he should stick to the facts and stay out of the do-gooder kitchen.

[nwctwx]

Beautiful stadium effect on the eye now as it nears the Isle of Youth.

[DrewsMum]

“There are people annoyed?”

Yeah. Apparently there are some with the “womans’ place is in the home/kitchen attitude”...sickening...

[abb]

Mandatory evacs in S Louisiana parishes.

http://www.wwltv.com/

[abb]

WWL TV (NOLA) live streaming newscast
http://www.wwltv.com/video/?nvid=57429&live=yes

[NautiNurse]

Many thanks for the valuable links. This routine is all to familiar. One difference this time is mandatory evacuation with 48 hours before anticipated landfall.

[Ingtar]

There are people annoyed?

Most of the annoyance I've seen is from disappointed Mitt-heads.

My wife and daughter are supposed to go to a marine biology "camp" on the Gulf the week after next. I hope that all of these turn out to be big disappointments to the cheerleading media.

[nwctwx]

the 2pm advisory should bring Gustav close to if not cat 4 strength. seeing 127kt flight level winds now.