TS Gustav & TS Hanna

NOAA/NHC ^ | August 28, 2008 | NOAA/NHC

[NautiNurse]

The 2008 peak of hurricane season is ramping up with Gustav and Hanna. The two storms pose threats to the U.S. At least 22 deaths in Hispanola are attributed to Gustav to date, and a Hurricane Warning is in effect for Jamaica. Tropical Storm Hanna has formed in the Atlantic.

Gustav	Hanna
Visible Satellite Image Loop Infrared Satellite Image Loop	Visible Image Loop Infrared Image Loop
WV Satellite Image Loop	WV Image Loop
Public Advisory	Public Advisory
Discussion	Discussion
Buoy Data: Western Caribbean                   FL and East GOM                   Western GOM	East Caribbean West Atlantic Florida

Forecast Models

Category	Wind Speed	Barometric Pressure	Storm Surge	Damage Potential
Tropical Depression	< 39 mph < 34 kts			Minimal
Tropical Storm	39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts			Minimal
Hurricane 1 (Weak)	74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts	28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more	4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m	Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2 (Moderate)	96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts	28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb	6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m	Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3 (Strong)	111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts	27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb	9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m	Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4 (Very strong)	131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts	27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb	13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m	Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5 (Devastating)	Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts	Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb	Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m	Catastrophic building failures possible

[CindyDawg]

Port A? That’s sad. We used to take the ferry across and dolphin watch. Nice little town. Too bad.

[SouthTexas]

The ferries and the dolphins are still there, but you wouldn’t recognize the rest if you haven’t been there in a while.

Sure glad I got to experience a truly “open” beach when I was younger ‘cause it’s pretty much history now.

[NautiNurse]

I don’t think Masters is trying to be a cheerleader. He intelligently assessed the data, odds, and made a recommendation based on his experience. He is correct that the wind radius is increasing. The hurricane force wind field doubled between the 2000 and 2300 advisories.

[CindyDawg]

My baby was 4. He turned 35 last week.

[CindyDawg]

I’m not sure which way the wind will be blowing when it gets on land but isn’t it possible Gustav could curve back to the east? Taking an out of town Labor Day weekend sounds like a winner to me.

[SouthTexas]

That’s been a while! LOL

My baby turned 30 in May. :)

[NautiNurse]

The models are mostly in agreement that Gustav will continue NW following landfall, nicking ArkLaTex region, and continuing toward OK. Hanna is a wild card on Gustav’s heels. Sitting tight through Labor Day.

[1COUNTER-MORTER-68]

FWIW : All Shelters in Shreveport/Bossier City will

be opened by tomorrow,,,

Pets will be sheltered at the Fair Grounds(Shreveport),,,

I was at the WallyWorld this evening and saw many

campers/trucks/etc. loaded down,,,(Folks from South La.),,,

They were restocking water/etc. as fast as they could,,,

I don’t think there will be any motels left by tomorrow,,,

Local Churches will be takin’ in the excess when the

shelters get 75% full,,,

Local paper :

http://rds.yahoo.com/_ylt=A0geu_N8tLhI784A_3RXNyoA;_ylu=X3oDMTEyMzJxMWpnBHNlYwNzcgRwb3MDMQRjb2xvA2FjMgR2dGlkA0Y4NjFfOTg-/SIG=11jjspum5/EXP=1220150780/**http%3a//www.shreveporttimes.com/

Local TV :

http://rds.yahoo.com/_ylt=A0geu7kkuLhIDQ4BPQpXNyoA;_ylu=X3oDMTEyMzJxMWpnBHNlYwNzcgRwb3MDMQRjb2xvA2FjMgR2dGlkA0Y4NjFfOTg-/SIG=118em7uef/EXP=1220151716/**http%3a//www.ktbs.com/

http://rds.yahoo.com/_ylt=A0geu96BuLhIuXsB8WZXNyoA;_ylu=X3oDMTEyMzJxMWpnBHNlYwNzcgRwb3MDMQRjb2xvA2FjMgR2dGlkA0Y4NjFfOTg-/SIG=118ntrmcp/EXP=1220151809/**http%3a//www.ksla.com/

http://rds.yahoo.com/_ylt=A0geu6_YuLhIWsgAiF1XNyoA;_ylu=X3oDMTEyMzJxMWpnBHNlYwNzcgRwb3MDMQRjb2xvA2FjMgR2dGlkA0Y4NjFfOTg-/SIG=11ge3pj5l/EXP=1220151896/**http%3a//arklatexhomepage.com/

The DEAD PELICAN.com is also a good site for info,,,

Looks like the Ark-La-Tex is gunna get WET...:0/

(Gas at $3.55)...

[NautiNurse]

Thanks much for your local updates!

[VirginiaMom]

bookmark.....thanks for the valuable links....much appreciated.

VirginiaMom.....STILL waiting for her son to get his tail out of New Orleans.......:-(

[NautiNurse]

If I read the contra-flow evacuation pdf correctly, the current evac phases begin at 50 hours prior to landfall estimate for the lowlands along the coast, followed by 40 hours for Phase II, and 30 hours for Phase III NOLA area.

[1COUNTER-MORTER-68]

VirginiaMom.....STILL waiting for her son to get his tail out of New Orleans.
~~~
Ya’ll are quite welcome,,,

I think tomorrow would be a good time to leave that area,,,

I-49 north will go into contra-flow and that will get him

to I-20,,,

Maybe longer but I think it will be faster...Prayers Up...

[nwctwx]

Still plenty of models showing Hannh as a large storm poised for the GOM down the line. This blocking ridge in the Atlantic to the northeast could continue being trouble as long as it’s around.

Meanwhile, Gustav continues to point at LA on most model tracks, but I feel like a TX hit is coming back into play here.

[eastforker]

YUp, I agree, the models are gonna look foolish when it is all said and done. Just my 2 cents worth.

[1COUNTER-MORTER-68]

TANKS,NN,,,

I can never remember those times,,,

Early is always best,,,

Ain’t gunna be any gas left later,,,

Local NG units and Red Cross left for the Ft.Polk area

today...

[jpsb]

Hmmm,as one that has followed the cane threads for some time, your record is pretty good. Galveston here, might have to start paying attention to this storm.

[jpsb]

thanks you for the cane threads!

[NautiNurse]

I read a thoughtful analysis earlier that predicted a shift to the east. So many of these storms ultimately shift east—that’s probably why it caught my attention.

[eastforker]

This storm is on a westerly jog right now. No ifs ands or buts. This is gonna be a Texas storm unless it does a severe jog to the right.

[jpsb]

Got a link?