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Posted on 08/12/2007 3:11:05 AM PDT by Clive
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000
WTNT34 KNHC 131454
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042007
1100 AM EDT MON AUG 13 2007
...FOURTH DEPRESSION OF THE SEASON FORMS IN THE FAR EASTERN ATLANTIC...
AT 1100 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 31.6 WEST OR ABOUT 520 MILES...840 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS AND ABOUT 2000 MILES...3220 KM...EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 21 MPH...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 1100 AM EDT POSITION...12.0 N...31.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 21 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 PM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER KNABB
Hi, where is the link for that model. Thnx
I was just looking at the same image. A commenter in south FL said TD4 is the lead news story there.
Congrats, Joe. ltns
Great. School starts this week. I’m just a little too busy to have a hurricane!
susie
Thanks for the ping.
We in the S/E US would probably like the critter to beat itself half to death on Dom Rep and Cuba and then sweep up the eastern seaboard as a tropical low dropping a bunch of rain - but not too much wind.
Grass here in the Carolinas is getting a bit pale green and crunchy.
nautinurse handles the tropical storm/hurricane ping list
ROFL...very good! and another ditto on getting a break from the heat.
Does anyone know what they’ll name this one? There’s one in the Pacific now named Flossie.
TY
The name will be Dean.
...DEPRESSION CONTINUES RACING WESTWARD OVER THE TROPICAL EASTERN ATLANTIC...
AT 500 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 33.1 WEST OR ABOUT 620 MILES...995 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS AND ABOUT 1900 MILES...3060 KM...EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING QUICKLY TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 20 MPH...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TONIGHT OR ON TUESDAY.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 500 PM EDT POSITION...11.9 N...33.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 PM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER KNABB
Here we go! Hi Nauti!
I started this thread on that one:
Tropical Cyclone Formation possible within the next 48 hours [Yucatan Channel]
But the shaded risk area that was off Yucatan now seems to have disappeared off the mariner's 1-2-3 rule chart.
Wow..
Thanks for diggin’ up the old ping list NN....
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