Posted on 07/20/2026 1:25:40 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
CNN’s expert data analyst Harry Enten has warned Democrats that their lead in national polls is soft, and doesn’t guarantee them a House majority.
Looking back at polling data from before the 2006 and 2018 midterms, Enten identified a statistic that he believes should worry Democrats.
Averaging recent CNBC and Washington Post polling, Enten found that the Democrats are four points up in generic national polls, but that’s not a big enough lead to guarantee success, falling well below where they were polling ahead of House takeovers in 2006 and 2018.
In 2006, the Dems led by 12 points at this point in the cycle; in 2018, they led by 10.
“This is a warning sign, this is an uh-oh, yes Democrats are ahead, but not by anywhere near the margin in prior wave years,” Enten told CNN News Central’s anchor John Berman.

CNN data guru Harry Enten warns Dems could lose midterms, despite lead.
(Excerpt) Read more at thedailybeast.com ...
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How can we defeat “Free S**T”? I am trying to be optimistic but I see who the voting public is and it frightens me.
Well gee I mean Commies are so damn awesome whats not to like, between them wanting to have NO borders, to wanting Medicare for All which means hey waiting THREE YEARS to see a doctor whose not down with that! To rooting for Hamas, Hezbollah, and Iran to kill all the Jews I mean come on, whose not down with that!
Republican Rep. Glenn Thompson is leading the push to pass an Amnesty bill just in time for the midterms.
The bill grants amnesty to illegal immigrants with farm work history.
Granting amnesty to illegal aliens present in the United States as of May 31, 2026, who meet minimal agricultural work history requirements.
How many illegal aliens will claim to be agriculture workers?
Many Americans assume that we can see a doctor whenever ww want with Medicare for All.
I do hope the GOP tries to win.
YouTube is filled with ads for Democrats in several states. I have yet to see any ad for a Republican. I see stories saying that the Democrats have money trouble, but the GOP is flush with cash. But I don’t see the GOP spending any of their money.
and they are dead wrong. First of all, the illegals will get first dibs, so you import another 100+ million illegals and give them free health care, yeah welcome to waiting years to see a doctor, should be fun, by the time they diagnose whatever condition a person has they will be dead but I GUARANTEE you the commies in Govt will have private insurance. Just like with Obamacare, there was a clause in it saying that members of congress are exempt from having to enroll in Obamacare, gee if its so awesome, how come?
In on medicare and have no problem getting in to see a dr.
For now.
But that will change under the next Democratic Administration where we will have Medicare for all with open borders policy.
Past performance is not indicative of future results...............
Don’t sweat it, Harry. The democommies have MONTHS to print/harvest/create ballots.
You have to ask a few questions:
-PJ
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