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Threat Matrix 2025

Posted on 01/01/2025 6:44:53 AM PST by Godzilla

Welcome to Threat Matrix 2025

For historical reference TM2024 link is 

https://freerepublic.com/focus/bloggers/4207046/posts?q=1&;page=1#1

Established in 2001, after the 9/11 attack on America and now in its 24th year, this thread is designed to identify threats to America, both internal and external, and evaluate the probability of those threats occurring and the extent of potential damage. Discussions may stray into ‘tinfoil’ territory, but the goal is to peel back and confirm information so we can make informed decisions and actions. Incredible as it seems, “tinfoil” conspiracy theories have fast become realities so they can no longer be ignored outright, but must be evaluated and compared to current events.

2024 has been “historic”: - The landslide election of Trump back into the Whitehouse, and the collapse of the massive lawfare effort against him. - Assassination attempts on Trump - Stunning defeat of Hamas and Hezbollah by Israel - Israel directly hits Iran after Iranian missile strikes, eliminating Iranian missile production capabilities for several years as well as destroying most of its air defense assets. - The almost overnight overthrow of Syria’s Assad and the associated serious losses to Russia and Iran/Hezbollah

I expect 2025 to be even worse as we are facing: - Massive political infighting as the Swamp tries to thwart the Trump agenda - Potential for civil unrest and violence driven by the communist left and Antifa affiliated elements. - Potential violence as Trump implements is deportation plan for millions of illegals. - The potential for a serious and deep recession - Further movement towards implementing the goals of the WEF via its “global reset” - Combat in Ukraine that could spill out into other parts of Europe - Russian nuclear threats - China making a move on Taiwan - Israel and Iran finally directly going at it. - Other political turmoil growing globally over a wide range of issues. - Potential for a wide variety of Black Swan events to create even greater problems.

It has been my pleasure to continue this thread over the past few years. This thread hopefully is continuing the goals of when it started.

For those who care, my posts reflect my scanning of the interwebs to provide me with early warning concerning factors that can endanger my life and family. Yes, I’m what many would call a “prepper”, and proudly accept that characterization.

How can something happening half way around the world affect me personally? Wuhan virus, my friend is but one recent example. I noted it in TM Dec 2019 and was prepared when chaos hit in 2020.

Other events have secondary and tertiary affects that reach us via shortages and inflation – fossil fuel prices are the most common, as well as economic impacts. I simply share news items and often my opinions that shape my actions and preparations.

My posts are broken down into specific topics and regions. I highlight and evaluative opensource reports in those areas in regard to how it will affect the US. Sometimes it feels like trying to drink from a fire hose – even more so following 2022.

So buckle up for the ride. This is an open thread that I want to continue as a clearing house of tidbits of intelligence contributed by the FR community so that we are all aware of what’s happening and what the impacts of those events will be. Knowledge is power


TOPICS: Government; Miscellaneous; Politics; Society
KEYWORDS: threatmatrix; threats; tm
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
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To: Godzilla
Rep. LaMonica McIver was caught on video physically attacking law enforcement after storming New Jersey ICE facility. She currently has not been arrested.

She jolly well needs to be.

You know that if someone attacked her in the manner she attacked others, they'd have been on the ground and in cuffs so fast their head would be spinning.

No one is above the law, INCLUDING POLITICIANS, no matter what color or party affiliation.

501 posted on 05/10/2025 7:59:56 AM PDT by metmom (He who testifies to these things says, “Surely I am coming soon." Amen. Come, Lord Jesu)
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To: null and void

Given her victim status classifications, highly doubtful.


502 posted on 05/10/2025 8:00:52 AM PDT by metmom (He who testifies to these things says, “Surely I am coming soon." Amen. Come, Lord Jesu)
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To: metmom

Yeah, but the victim card has been so overplayed that it will soon lose it’s potency.

We should live so long...


503 posted on 05/10/2025 8:18:21 AM PDT by null and void (Democrats: fake news, fake presidents, fake beliefs, fake policies, fake protesters & fake voters!)
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To: null and void

Really......


504 posted on 05/10/2025 9:05:42 AM PDT by metmom (He who testifies to these things says, “Surely I am coming soon." Amen. Come, Lord Jesu)
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To: Godzilla
sources from gulf arab states that the ‘big announcement’ Trump is planning to give following his visit to the region is the recognition of a Palestinian state

HE. BETTER. NOT.
505 posted on 05/10/2025 12:03:00 PM PDT by Chani (Drive By poster)
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To: Chani

What would be the point of giving Hamas or Hesballah a “Palestinian state “? They were given the entire Gaza region. Soon after they got it , they destroyed the infidel’s farms and greenhouses, and then demanded that the world send them food.


506 posted on 05/10/2025 12:06:06 PM PDT by Freee-dame ( )
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To: Chani

Looks like a false new report by the J Post. Huckabee says it isn’t true, WH Press Sec says it’s bogus.

There has been an effort to try to build a wedge between Trump and Netanyahu. This could have been the boldest effort yet.


507 posted on 05/10/2025 2:17:39 PM PDT by Godzilla (“When tyranny becomes law, rebellion becomes duty” - Thomas Jefferson)
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To: null and void; aragorn; Axenolith; Baynative; Beautiful_Gracious_Skies; bgill; bitt; Black Agnes; ..

Happy Mother’s day


CW2 / Domestic violence - Threat Level - ADVISORY - up dated May 5, 2025

Today (Saturday) in Manhattan, an “emergency protest” popped up with a professionally printed banner reading: “𝑾𝒐𝒖𝒍𝒅’𝒗𝒆 𝑭𝒐𝒖𝒈𝒉𝒕 𝒕𝒉𝒆 𝑵𝒂𝒛𝒊𝒔? 𝑵𝒐𝒘’𝒔 𝒀𝒐𝒖𝒓 𝑪𝒉𝒂𝒏𝒄𝒆!”

The Manhattan protest had several co-organizers, and we’ll go through them one by one. The foremost was Working Families Party. The Manhattan protest had several co-organizers, and we’ll go through them one by one. The foremost was Working Families Party

As for financing, State Democracy Project, Tides Foundation (a DAF), and Open Society Action Fund are its top donors. George Soros has given Working Families Organization nearly $20,000,000 over the past 5 years alone.

OBSERVATION - Relatively benign protest with one exception. The theme and signage appeared to try to incite future violence. Organization and funding from the expected sources on the left.

***
Thematic migration of the reason for ‘protests’. Over the past several months, themes for the protests focused around a wide variety of grievances - Trump in general, DOGE, DEI, deportations, and pro-hamas/anti-israel. I get a general feel that the left is settling in on deportations (potential racial aspect) and anti-Israel (anti-semitism). The others will still pop up, but these two seem to be the ones they are trying to build for violent actions with. Recent campus actions (pro-hamas based) and the democrat lead anti immigration actions of recent point to this trend. We need to watch to see just how well these grievance issues gain traction and watch closely the over all efforts of the left to incite violence in general develop.


Economy- Threat Level - WATCH - as of April 4, 2025

Expect the stock market to respond in a potentially positive manner on news that the US and China may be getting close to a tariff agreement


Wuhan and other “new” Plandemics

More and more post wuhan jab studies continue to prove that the mRNA was designed to kill/sterilize people rather than prevent infections. That the spike protein created doesn’t shut off and may now be spreading through the world’s blood supply, causing same problems in others.

With all the other chaos in the world, I don’t have the time to get further into details. The truth is out there.


POLITICAL FRONT –

Three congressional Democrats who scuffled with law enforcement officials at a New Jersey ICE facility may face arrests and criminal charges, according to the Department of Homeland Security.

DHS spokesperson Tricia McLaughlin told CNN Saturday that there will “likely be more arrests coming” after Friday’s protests led to the arrests of several people, including Newark Mayor Ras Baraka, reports Axios.

“We actually have body camera footage of these members of Congress assaulting these ICE enforcement officers, including body slamming a female ICE officer,” McLaughlin said.

The lawmakers have been identified as New Jersey Democrat Reps. Bonnie Watson Coleman, Rob Menendez, and LaMonica McIver.

https://www.newsmax.com/newsfront/newark-ice-lawmakers/2025/05/10/id/1210411/

RELATED - “I touch whoever I want mother*****!” ICE bodycam footage shows Dem Rep LaMonica McIver verbally and physically assaulting federal agents

https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2025/05/i-touch-whoever-i-want-motherfcker-ice-bodycam/

OBSERVATION - They are already claiming that they were exercising their lawful oversight authority. However, that ‘authority’ doesn’t include assault of law enforcement officers and instigating a violent attempt at disrupting/interfering with lawful actions by ICE.

They must be arrested and held to the “No-one is above the law” standard they claim to follow.

NOTE - Their actions the other day also fall within the scope of CW2 issues, where political leadership is increasing the effort to trigger violent actions.


Illegal Immigration –

President Donald Trump on Friday night signed an executive order making it easier for those illegally in the country to leave.

“We are making it as easy as possible for illegal aliens to leave America. Any illegal alien can simply show up to the airport and receive a free flight out of our country ... as long as it’s not here you can go anywhere you want …”

“Eventually when the illegals are gone it will save us trillions of dollars.”

“However, if illegal aliens choose to remain in America they are remaining illegally and they will face severe consequences. Illegal aliens who stay in America face punishments including significant jail time, enormous financial penalties, confiscation of all property, garnishment of all wages, imprisonment, incarceration, and sudden deportation in a place and manner solely of our discretion.”

https://notthebee.com/article/new-executive-order-creates-first-ever-self-deportation-program-where-america-will-pay-for-illegal-aliens-to-fly-back-to-their-home-countries-for-free

OBSERVATION - Self deportation is a wonderful and in the end a less expensive way to get them out of the country - even with paying for the one way ticket.


China -

Sensitive talks between U.S. and Chinese delegations over tariffs that threaten to upend the global economy ended after a day of prolonged negotiations and will resume Sunday, a source briefed on the meetings confirmed to CBS News.
President Trump posted on his social media Saturday evening after the meetings concluded, saying “great progress” was made.

“A very good meeting today with China, in Switzerland,” Mr. Trump said. “Many things discussed, much agreed to. A total reset negotiated in a friendly, but constructive, manner. We want to see, for the good of both China and the U.S., an opening up of China to American business.”

There initially was no immediate indication whether any progress was made Saturday during the more than 10-hour meeting between Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng in Switzerland. The talks, which could help stabilize world markets roiled by the U.S.-China standoff, have been shrouded in secrecy and neither side made comments to reporters on the way out.

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/us-china-talks-tariffs/

OBSERVATION - This is the first open acknowledgement that China was engaged in talks. China has been denying rumors of talks for a while now. Chinese home news has kept very quiet about any negotiations, putting forth the front that China can weather the tariffs. I’ve noted a lot over the past years that China’s economy is in serious straits and the tariffs have hit them where it hurts the most. See following

***
In the “socialist market economy” of China, some cracks are visible that show a country unprepared to stand up to Trump tariffs long-term. China has been increasingly opaque in markets and manufacturing information.

The country is facing heightened pressure from an ongoing property crisis, protests, and a general economic downturn, in part because of recent U.S. tariffs.

Though China has become increasingly secretive with its economic data, available price data for February and March “indicate the Chinese economy is in a deflationary spiral that’s very hard to get out of,” Chang said. In those two months, China’s consumer price index fell by 0.7% and 0.1%, respectively, contrary to growth projections. This has been described by some researchers as the prelude to a deflationary spiral, which would “lead to lower production, falling wages, and rising unemployment.”

“And we also see some other numbers that look like China was actually contracting during the period. So for instance, tax receipts were down 3.5% that’s not consistent with robust growth,” he added. “So we’re seeing an economy that is being hit by the tariff dispute at a time when it is in trouble.”

https://justthenews.com/government/diplomacy/china-distress-protests-economic-stimulus-reveal-pressure-us-tariffs


Russia -

Russian Foreign Ministry rejects ceasefire before talks

Putin proposes Ukraine to start direct talks on 15th May in Istanbul without any preconditions


Ukraine –
Threat Level WATCH Ongoing Apr 24, 2025

WEATHER FORECAST – Temps 40 - 60s with rain and showers.

Zelensky: This is a good sign that the Russians have finally thinking about ending the war. Everyone in the world has been waiting for this for a very long time. And the very first step in the real end of any war is a ceasefire. There is no point in continuing the killings even for a day. We expect Russia to confirm a ceasefire – complete, lasting and reliable – starting tomorrow, May 12, and Ukraine is ready to meet

24 HOUR ROUND UP –

Ukraine shot down 60 Shahed drones overnight and neutralized 41 decoy UAVs out of 108 launched by Russia. Sumy region suffered damage.

Russian losses per 11/05/25 reported by Ukraine’s General Staff.

+1310 men
+2 tanks
+6 AFVs
+33 artillery systems
+1 MLRS
+1 AD system

Kursk -

In Kursk region Ukrainian forces have repelled 25 Russian army assaults, - General Staff of Armed Forces of Ukraine reports
Sector continues to be the busiest along the front.

Summary —

War returns to its typical day to day play with Shahed attacks and continued moderate to heavy fighting along the front.

The ice appears to be cracking under putin’s resistance to peace talks and there seems to be some glacial advancement towards such. What factors are affecting his gradually changing view are not known, but perhaps a combination of growing economic woes and a stagnated and costly war that is draining massive amounts of resources. However, I think putin is still convinced that he will win via military and not diplomatic means.

Europe is gradually gelling into bringing greater support to Ukraine, reversing a trend of separation that putin’s propaganda machine has erected. A second point is the impatience of Trump, who wields a serous capability to muster far more significant economic sanctions that would seriously threaten putin’s power base.


Pakistan / India – Threat Level - WATCH, April 23, 2025

Continued warning of the veracity of combat data for this conflict. Ton of claims out of South Asia, only a small amount of verifiable evidence. Be very careful with taking anything at face value.

***

Military movements and actions -

A ceasefire between India and Pakistan appears to have held overnight into Sunday, after the two nations accused each other of “violations” just hours after a deal was reached.

This comes after explosions were heard in Indian-administered Kashmir hours after the deal was announced, with both sides accusing each other of violations.

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cvg9d913v20o

As I type, there have been no verified violations by either side.

Political actions -

Pakistani Prime Minister announces victory over India.
“We have won, this is victory”.
Claims his military destroyed Indian bases, weapons depots, and airfields, and says Rafale jets were rendered ineffective.

India claims to have completely decimated Pakistan and achieved its goal of eliminating most of the terror bases on its border.

OVERALL OBSERVATIONS -

Yep, the ceasefire continues to hold on by a thread, but is holding never the less. Some analysts are suggesting that Pakistan’s meeting of ifs national security council a couple days ago potentially discussed deployment of tactical nukes. US intel caught wind of this and potentially used it to leverage Pakistan into calling for a cease fire first.

As I’ve noted, India appears to have obtained its goal of hitting terror bases and is satisfied with that effort, not really seeing further fighting accomplishing any thing further - and provided an off ramp for their actions.

How well will the current pause last? Not certain, but it appears to be headed, slowly, in the right direction of deescalation.


ISRAEL –
Threat Level WATCH Ongoing - Apr 24, 2025

Key overnight developments -

- Reports of a US recognition of a Palestine state refuted by the WH and ambassador Huckabee

- Israel warns Houthis and Iran of consequences to any further attacks out of Yemen.

——— GENERAL ——————————-

White House Spokesperson Karoline Leavitt: President Trump’s relationship with Israel and Prime Minister Netanyahu is very strong, contrary to the lies being spread - there will be no recognition of a Palestinian state at all

Trump will not recognise a Palestinian state says Huckabee
He rejected claims that the US President is distancing himself from Benjamin Netanyahu

The US Ambassador to Israel Mike Huckabee has rejected a report by the Jerusalem Post citing a “Gulf diplomatic source” saying that President Donald Trump is set to declare US recognition of a Palestinian state “without the presence of Hamas.”
The Jerusalem-based outlet “needs better sources than this unidentified ‘source,’” Huckabee tweeted.
“My 4 year old grandson Teddy is more reliable. And take it from Teddy. This report is nonsense. Israel doesn’t have a better friend” than Trump, the American diplomat said.

https://www.thejc.com/news/usa/trump-will-not-recognise-a-palestinian-state-says-huckabee-lzml745d

***
May 8, 1972.
A Sabena Airlines plane is hijacked by four jihadists. They demand the release of over 300 convicted terrorists—or they’ll start killing hostages. Ninety passengers sit in terror at Lod Airport.

Enter Bibi Netanyahu.

Disguised as a technician, Bibi infiltrates the plane with his elite unit, Sayeret Matkal. In overalls and holding tools, they pretend to inspect the landing gear.

Then—BOOM.
They breach the cabin. In a brutal close-quarters firefight, the two male terrorists are killed, the two females are captured, and every single hostage is rescued.

Not a movie. Not a myth.
This is Jewish history.

https://x.com/jewsfightback/status/1921244681478042059?s=46&t=nfRT-Yioj0xALNzJelzFcA

Netanyahu was hit in the bicep but continued to lead the mission.

***

——— GAZA FRONT / HAMAS ———————————

IDF says it is nearing full control of southern Gaza’s Rafah, with remaining clashes limited to the Jenina neighborhood. Golani Brigade troops have eliminated dozens of terrorists, uncovered tunnel shafts, and destroyed terror infrastructure.

——— SYRIA / HEZBOLLAH / IRAN———————————-

Another seizure of military equipment heading to Lebanon. The Security forces confiscated this time 2 MANPADS and parts of a Kornet (ATGM) launcher. Raid took place in Serghaya (area of Zabadani, West Damascus)

———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————

The Israeli government is reportedly preparing to launch more forceful and wider strikes on the Houthi terrorist group in Yemen in retaliation for repeated missile and drone attacks.

Israel’s pledge comes shortly after the United States and the Houthis reached a ceasefire deal. However, an unnamed Israeli official stressed that the deal would not limit Israel’s military actions against the terror group..
https://harbingersdaily.com/israel-at-war-week-77/

“We will keep hitting the Houthis. That deal doesn’t bind us – they’ll pay the price,” an Israeli security official told Ynet News.

———INTERNATIONAL ——————————-

Russian President Putin and Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas have begun a meeting in the Kremlin

——— ASSESSMENT AND FUTURE OPERATIONS ————————-

Yesterday’s JPost article claiming the US is about to recognize a Palestinian state appears to have been a fake news report. I’ve noted last week of an apparent effort by news ‘sources’ to try to place a wedge between the US and Israel. The JPost is generally considered to be a liberal rag, much like the Washington Post, and history indicates it wouldn’t be beneath them to try to pull such an overt attack on the US/Israeli alliance in this manner.

The article created shockwaves and push back from Israeli supporting backers of Trump. Karoline Leavitt and Huckabee’s strong rebuke of the allegations seem to have put things back in order.

Plans for the Gaza ops continue with a window of action opening after May 16.

Iran - see below.


Iran –
Threat Level - WARNING Apr 24, 2025
- May 16th - due to Trump visit to the region.

Unless significant progress is registered in Sunday’s round of nuclear talks with Iran, the U.S. will consider putting the military option back on the table, sources close to U.S. envoy Steve Witcoff told i24NEWS.

***
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi said on Saturday that if the United States’ goal is to deprive Iran of its “nuclear rights,” Tehran will never back down over those rights.

Araqchi was speaking in Doha, Qatar, a day ahead of another round of planned nuclear talks between Iran and the U.S. in Oman.

“If the goal of the negotiations is to deprive Iran of its nuclear rights, I state clearly that Iran will not back down from any of its rights,” state media quoted Araqchi as saying.

https://www.newsmax.com/world/globaltalk/iran-nuclear-abbas-araqchi/2025/05/10/id/1210414/

OVERALL OBSERVATIONS - The clock is nearing midnight for Iran. It appears that Trump has given Iran enough rope to hang itself in these ‘negotiations’ and it is as clear as the nose on ones’ face that Iran will not agree to eliminate its nuclear program. This sets up the conditions that Trump can use to justify actions against Iran.

Iran has todays meetings to reverse that trend or the window for military solution to Irans’ program opens wide after May 16 - in less than one week.

Military indicators of impending action by the US would be movements of more forces to the region. The US already has a sizable force in the region, but the case of a potentially large regional war, more is also better.

The redeployment of B2 from Diego Garcia does not rule their use in any attack, it is just that they will have a long haul to get there, rather than much shorter trips (and quicker mission turn around).



508 posted on 05/11/2025 6:30:15 AM PDT by Godzilla (“When tyranny becomes law, rebellion becomes duty” - Thomas Jefferson)
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To: Godzilla

THANK YOU! *BUMP*


509 posted on 05/11/2025 7:01:21 AM PDT by Diana in Wisconsin (I don't have, 'Hobbies.' I'm developing a robust Post-Apocalyptic skill set.)
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To: Godzilla
The ice appears to be cracking under putin’s resistance to peace talks and there seems to be some glacial advancement towards such. What factors are affecting his gradually changing view are not known, but perhaps a combination of growing economic woes and a stagnated and costly war that is draining massive amounts of resources. However, I think Putin is still convinced that he will win via military and not diplomatic means. Europe is gradually gelling into bringing greater support to Ukraine, reversing a trend of separation... A second point is the impatience of Trump, who wields a serous capability to muster far more significant economic sanctions that would seriously threaten putin’s power base.

Putin's in a sweet spot right now - if he waits much longer he's united Europe against him - giving the Z man a gift he doesn't deserve. And yeah, this war can be drawn out and horrible. Horrible for all sides - with Russia and Ukraine losing the most. Make the deal - or live with the meat grinder and ill will for decades.

510 posted on 05/11/2025 8:34:16 AM PDT by GOPJ (Judicial robes aren't invisibility cloaks that allows judges to engage in criminal acts. J Turley)
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To: Godzilla
Three congressional Democrats who scuffled with law enforcement officials at a New Jersey ICE facility may face arrests and criminal charges, according to the Department of Homeland Security.

They need to. They MUST.

Otherwise, we get more and worse and anarchy is the word of the day from the government officials.

What you allow, you get more of. It MUST BE stopped. Now.

511 posted on 05/11/2025 9:07:10 AM PDT by metmom (He who testifies to these things says, “Surely I am coming soon." Amen. Come, Lord Jesu)
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To: Godzilla
“However, if illegal aliens choose to remain in America they are remaining illegally and they will face severe consequences. Illegal aliens who stay in America face punishments including significant jail time, enormous financial penalties, confiscation of all property, garnishment of all wages, imprisonment, incarceration, and sudden deportation in a place and manner solely of our discretion.”

OBSERVATION - Self deportation is a wonderful and in the end a less expensive way to get them out of the country - even with paying for the one way ticket.

Excellent and absolutely!

512 posted on 05/11/2025 9:09:19 AM PDT by metmom (He who testifies to these things says, “Surely I am coming soon." Amen. Come, Lord Jesu)
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To: Godzilla
Trump will not recognise a Palestinian state says Huckabee He rejected claims that the US President is distancing himself from Benjamin Netanyahu The US Ambassador to Israel Mike Huckabee has rejected a report by the Jerusalem Post citing a “Gulf diplomatic source” saying that President Donald Trump is set to declare US recognition of a Palestinian state “without the presence of Hamas.”

The Jerusalem-based outlet “needs better sources than this unidentified ‘source,’” Huckabee tweeted. “My 4 year old grandson Teddy is more reliable. And take it from Teddy. This report is nonsense. Israel doesn’t have a better friend” than Trump, the American diplomat said.

OUCH!!!!!

513 posted on 05/11/2025 9:16:51 AM PDT by metmom (He who testifies to these things says, “Surely I am coming soon." Amen. Come, Lord Jesu)
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To: Godzilla
That the spike protein created doesn’t shut off and may now be spreading through the world’s blood supply

I never got vaxxed, and would like to remain 'pure blood'. Your statement made me think about emergency blood transfusions. I suppose they don't separate vaxxed/unvaxxed blood.

Guess I'll just have to hope I never need one.
514 posted on 05/11/2025 1:07:05 PM PDT by Chani (Drive By poster)
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To: Godzilla
We want to see, for the good of both China and the U.S., an opening up of China to American business

Why? so China can continue stealing our tech, and setting up Americans for blackmail? No thank you.
515 posted on 05/11/2025 1:22:15 PM PDT by Chani (Drive By poster)
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To: Godzilla
The JPost is generally considered to be a liberal rag, much like the Washington Post

Duly noted. Thank you for pulling me back from the ledge. ;)
516 posted on 05/11/2025 1:35:52 PM PDT by Chani (Drive By poster)
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To: Chani

There have been discussions on separating jabbed from unjabbed blood supplies. This move will likely grow as transfusion transfer of these spiked proteins gets further documented along with the resulting medical hazards


517 posted on 05/11/2025 5:03:48 PM PDT by Godzilla (“When tyranny becomes law, rebellion becomes duty” - Thomas Jefferson)
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To: Godzilla
There have been discussions on separating jabbed from unjabbed blood supplies.

Sounds good, but....maybe the Medical Industry should first "discuss" a process that will enable The People Formerly Called Patient to establish a level of trust in any of their pronouncements.

Covid killed far more than people.

518 posted on 05/11/2025 8:00:54 PM PDT by Unrepentant VN Vet (Fight me if you wish, but remember I am old for a reason)
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To: Unrepentant VN Vet
Covid killed far more than people.

You got that right! I now have a deep distrust of the medical/govt institution, the Judicial system and any Federal officer (FIB, ATF, etc)
519 posted on 05/11/2025 8:11:13 PM PDT by Chani (Drive By poster)
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To: Godzilla
Your work is incredible. Given the lack of credible evidence for a nuclear test (e.g., radioactive isotope detection, unusual seismic signals), the most plausible explanation is that this was a natural earthquake caused by tectonic stress release along a fault line.

The consistency of depth and magnitude with other regional quakes reinforces this conclusion. If you have specific data (e.g., seismic waveforms, news reports) or want me to analyze related X posts or web content, I can dig deeper.

......................................

my question below<

If it was a nuclear attack, not a test, which after seeing your analysis looks unlikely, how would it have even happened?

A nuclear attack, as opposed to a test, would involve the deliberate use of a nuclear weapon to cause destruction, typically targeting a specific area or population. Given the context of the 4.6 magnitude earthquake in Iran at a depth of 10 km, the likelihood of this being a nuclear attack is extremely low, as my prior analysis suggests. However, to address your question about how a nuclear attack could theoretically produce such an event, here's a breakdown of the mechanisms, challenges, and why it remains implausible:

How a Nuclear Attack Could Theoretically Cause a 4.6 Magnitude Event

Underground Nuclear Explosion:

A nuclear weapon detonated underground could generate seismic waves mimicking an earthquake. The magnitude of the seismic event depends on the weapon's yield. A 4.6 magnitude quake corresponds to an explosion energy of roughly 1–5 kilotons of TNT, comparable to a small tactical nuclear warhead.

The 10 km depth aligns with the upper range of depths for underground nuclear tests (historically 0.1–2 km), but delivering a warhead to such a depth for an attack is a significant hurdle.

Delivery Mechanisms:

Borehole or Tunnel Delivery: A nuclear device could theoretically be placed in a deep borehole or tunnel. However, drilling to 10 km is beyond current engineering capabilities for rapid, covert operations. The deepest boreholes (e.g., Kola Superdeep Borehole) took years to drill and were narrow, unsuitable for deploying a warhead. Missile Penetration: Some bunker-buster munitions can penetrate tens of meters underground, but none can reach 10 km. A nuclear-tipped missile could detonate at shallow depths, but the seismic signature would differ from a deep quake, and surface damage (cratering, radiation) would be evident.

Subterranean Drone or Device: A hypothetical advanced, covert delivery system (e.g., a tunneling drone) could place a device deep underground, but no such technology is known to exist, and the logistical challenges would be immense. Seismic and Environmental Effects:

A nuclear explosion at 10 km would produce a sharp seismic P-wave, distinct from the more complex waveforms of a natural quake. Global seismic networks (e.g., CTBTO, USGS) would likely detect this anomaly.

Radioactive isotopes (e.g., xenon-133) could vent through fissures, detectable by monitoring stations. No reports of such isotopes have been linked to this event.

Surface damage would be minimal at such depth, but the attack's strategic purpose would be unclear unless targeting a deeply buried facility (e.g., a military bunker), which Iran is known to have.

Challenges and Implausibility

Engineering Feasibility: Delivering a nuclear warhead to 10 km depth is practically impossible with current technology. Even shallow underground tests require extensive preparation, and an attack would need to be covert to avoid preemptive detection, multiplying the complexity.

Strategic Rationale:

A nuclear attack would aim to maximize destruction or send a clear geopolitical message. A 4.6 magnitude event at 10 km depth would cause negligible surface damage, making it an ineffective attack unless targeting a specific underground asset. However, no known Iranian facilities at such depths are publicly documented as critical targets.

Seismic Monitoring:

The Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty Organization (CTBTO) and other networks continuously monitor for nuclear explosions. A nuclear attack would trigger global alerts, especially in a geopolitically sensitive region like Iran. No such alerts were reported. Regional Context: Iran's seismic activity makes it a poor choice for disguising a nuclear attack as a natural quake. The recurrence of a similar 4.6 quake in November at the same depth strongly suggests tectonic activity, not a repeated attack.

Geopolitical Fallout: A nuclear attack would provoke severe international consequences, including retaliation and condemnation. No actor has claimed responsibility, and no evidence of heightened tensions (e.g., military mobilization) supports this scenario.

Most Likely Scenario:

The 4.6 magnitude earthquake was almost certainly a natural tectonic event, consistent with Iran's seismically active geology. A nuclear attack at 10 km depth is not only technologically infeasible but also strategically nonsensical, given the lack of detectable signatures (radiation, anomalous seismic waves) and the absence of geopolitical indicators. If you have additional details (e.g., specific claims from X posts, news reports, or seismic data) or want me to investigate further, let me know, and I can analyze relevant sources or content.

520 posted on 05/12/2025 4:15:18 AM PDT by rodguy911 (Home of the Free Because of the Brave!! ITS ALL A CONSPIRACY:UNTIL ITS NOT!!)
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