Posted on 11/04/2024 1:25:31 PM PST by SoConPubbie
With the clock ticking down to Election Day, Democrats are reportedly panicking over abysmally low voter turnout, especially in crucial battleground states. Leaked data reveals a troubling gap in urban voter participation—traditionally a Democrat stronghold—that could spell disaster for Kamala Harris’s campaign and the party at large.
With President Trump’s campaign outpacing Democrat efforts in absentee ballots and early voting, the data paints a troubling picture for Democrats.
According to the leaked memo from Tim Saler, Chief Data Consultant for the Republican National Committee, Democrats are facing a staggering deficit in urban turnout across battleground states.
This is not just a minor blip; it signals a catastrophic decline in support for Harris, or maybe those weren’t real “people” in 2020.
According to the confidential memo:
With Early Voting closed and Election Day on the horizon, Democrats are facing a massive turnout deficit. In every single battleground state, we see President Trump and Republicans outperforming elections past in absentee ballots and early votes cast. As we dive deeper into the data, Democrats are facing a precipitous decline in urban turnout according to their own “data experts” and we are tracking an uptick in rural turnout.
Obama’s former campaign manager, Jim Messina, said on MSNBC that “the early vote numbers are a little scary.” What Mr. Messina is downplaying, is they are a lot scarier for Democrats. According to NBC News, President Donald
Trump has a 16-point lead (56-40) among voters who plan to cast their ballot on Election Day. Obama’s chief campaign strategist and CNN political commentator, David Axelrod, told CNN that there are no guarantees that voters will turn out on Election Day for Vice President Harris.
Democrats are spinning themselves and reporters by claiming that their voters will turn out on Election Day when polls show otherwise and, most importantly, that’s asking Democrat voters to do something they have absolutely no history of doing. If Democrats, who historically vote ahead of Election Day, haven’t been motivated to show up for Kamala yet, why do we expect them to show up tomorrow?
President Donald J. Trump is going into Election Day stronger than he has in any previous election and if patriots across the country keep the momentum and turn out as expected on Election Day, we will be swearing in President Trump in January.
But you don’t need to take our word for it. According to Democrat data expert Tom Bonier of TargetSmart:
Arizona:
Urban turnout is down -385,285 votes compared to this point in 2020
Female turnout is down -170,011 votes compared to this point in 2020
Rural turnout is UP +14,124 votes compared to this point in 2020Georgia:
Urban turnout is down -153,846 votes compared to this point in 2020
Female turnout is down -46,732 votes compared to this point in 2020
Rural turnout is UP +171,837 votes compared to this point in 2020Michigan:
Urban turnout is down -321,523 votes compared to this point in 2020
Female turnout is down -204,856 votes compared to this point in 2020
Rural turnout is UP +55,951 votes compared to this point in 2020North Carolina:
Urban turnout is down -175,470 votes compared to this point in 2020
Female turnout is down -154,459 votes compared to this point in 2020
Rural turnout is UP +26,911 votes compared to this point in 2020Nevada:
Urban turnout is down -191,199 votes compared to this point in 2020
Female turnout is down -126,112 votes compared to this point in 2020Pennsylvania:
Urban turnout is down -381,519 votes compared to this point in 2020
Female turnout is down -450,802 votes compared to this point in 2020Wisconsin:
Urban turnout is down -100,733 votes compared to this point in 2020
Female turnout is down -238,452 votes compared to this point in 2020
BREAKING: New memo confirms that Democrats are facing a huge turnout issue in the battlegrounds.
PA: Urban turnout is down 381K votes, female turnout is down 450K votes.
WI: Urban down 100K, female down 238K. pic.twitter.com/azDBWGHSx4
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) November 4, 2024
The Gateway Pundit reported on Sunday that Kamala Harris will need a record turnout on Election Day in order to overtake President Trump in Pennsylvania.
Former Philadelphia Mayor Michael Nutter warned Democrats that Kamala will need to 600,000 ballot vote margin over Trump in Philadelphia on Election Day to overtake the former President in Pennsylvania.
Now is not the time to sit back. Make sure your voice is heard—get out and vote!
When looking at these numbers, do not forget that it is 4 years later and the population has changed.
per GPT
Philly’s population has declined 50K people, with some of them moving to suburbs (Montgomery and Chester counties) saw gains of 11.7K and 15K respectively. (this is population, some are children)
Pennsylvania overall has lost population. Over 1/2 of its counties have lost population. Overall a loss of 41K residents since 2020.
The problem is that Democrat turnout spikes at 2:00 AM on election night.
There are no ballots to stuff this year in PA and most swing states.
They have been sent out and almost all have been returned.
In 2020 everybody got a ballot due to Covid which meant there were hundreds of thousands of blank ballots available to stuff.
I guess you think this is witty. Their fraud is not limitless. They cannot produce more than the population. That is what is being argued here. So many on FR -- even if there were an unsurmountable R lead in early voting, are so quick to say "oh fraud will beat us" -- yes there is fraud, but there is a limit to what they can do.
I hope those are accurate, reliable stats- GP isn’t a consistently trustworthy source.
Ok, Mr. Spock, here comes Henny Penny, getting wobbly!
https://share.newsbreak.com/9onjq2zk
If the Dems dont turn out tomorrow I expect the govs of Pa , Wi. Az,.and Mi tp petition to keep the polls open until all Dems have either voted or submitted a signed certificate that they are not voting this year.
The margin in PA is so large that there are not enough registered voter adults in Philly (who have not yet voted) and other cities to overcome it.
I am not kidding.
This is what the Trump campaign meant by “too big to rig”.
They meant it. They did it.
It will be interesting to see what type of turnout there is in the big blue rust belt cities. The reports I’ve seen suggest citizens are pissed about the dumping of illegal aliens in their neighborhoods. Citizens in these cities may not switch sides, but may stay at home on election day. We shall see..
It looks like many of the Democratic voters from 2020 did not exist at all—total fraudulent mail in ballots.
You saw that Michigan thread about registered voters at addresses like a church, a Catholic charity etc. Those were phonies—no people lived there.
It is kinda hard to get nonexistent people to show up at the polls.
Lol.
It is over. The Dems lost this time.
They will regroup with new evil schemes for the next election.
Bookmark
ha ha ha ha Wipe-Out!
No there isn’t! I remember in 2020 there were reports in Phila PA of more votes counted than registered voters.
“ It is kinda hard to get nonexistent people to show up at the polls.” That’s why the demoncrats stuff the ballot box with fraudulent ballots, and dead people rise up out of their graves to push dem politicians over the top.
In 2020 they had actual mail blank ballots issued due to Covid.
Those ballots do not exist today.
(except of course they may have some old Biden ballots lying around...lol.)
After the 2000 election, I remember reading a piece about the Dem’s “Knock and Drag” operations, where they would send out squads in vans and literally knock on your door and take you to the polls if you hadn’t voted yet. This was especially effective in dense, urban, minority neighborhoods; these squads would check the rosters to see who had not voted, and when they knocked on your door, you did not say “no thank you”. You got into the van and went to vote. A lot of the Dem’s famous “walking around money” went to these operations.
Haven’t heard if these coercion crews are still operating...anybody know?
A number of dem places even in Obama years had more votes cast than eligible voter total.
“Trump has a 16-point lead (56-40) among voters who plan to cast their ballot on Election Day.”
“There aren’t enough of them to overcome the enormous army of Trump election day voters. The magnificent correction starts in 24 hours.”
You can count on Wisconsin. We’re heading out in the AM to vote in our Cow Town of about 400 eligible voters. Usually we are Voters in the 30-ish numbers. It will be interesting to see what our Voter Numbers are, tomorrow...and if there is an actual ‘line’ to wait in!
And, then? Pancakes! Yay! Election Day Tradition. :)
But not by a million.
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