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Whoa: Trump Hits 52% in New Harvard/Harris Poll
Hot Air ^
| 12:00 PM | July 30, 2024
| Ed Morrissey
Posted on 08/03/2024 4:56:58 PM PDT by conservative98
Say, whose honeymoon is this, anyway? Supposedly, Kamala Harris has "totally upended" the race with The Anointment and the media's rush to proclaim the advent of "Kamalot." Also, Donald Trump only has a ceiling in the mid-40s and can't possibly win an outright popular-vote majority, especially with such a Historic Candidateā¢ as an opponent.
Or so analysts thought. According to a new Harvard-Harris CAPS poll, Donald Trump leads Kamala Harris 52/48 with leaners, and 48/45 without. Harris has improved Joe Biden's numbers on the latter, but not the former:
[cut]
Even the unsure voters are breaking toward Trump, at least somewhat. The more worrisome data for Democrats are in the charts below, however. Trump holds Republicans to the ticket better than Harris holds her own party in both formulations. In fact, her 87% without leaners should be a red flag for the DNC, suggesting strongly that the party is not as sold on The Anointing as the media claims, even with the full-court press on Kamalot!
Take a look at the indie numbers, too. Trump leads by six points without leaners -- and six points with leaners. One has to wonder whether the sample tilts a bit toward the Dems based on those results plus the party loyalty numbers above. If so, Trump's still scoring an outright majority over Harris, who's attractiveness as a candidate is at its zenith before she's forced to open her mouth about policy.
In the next slide down, we see even more demographic red flags ahead for Harris and the Dems. Trump leads by 12 among men and only trails by four among women 44/48. Trump also wins an astounding 25% of the black vote and 44% of the Hispanic vote, which is slightly lower than in some other polling.
(Excerpt) Read more at hotair.com ...
TOPICS: Chit/Chat
KEYWORDS: debates; kamala; poll; polls; trump
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To: conservative98
Polls not all that useful you can make them any way you want as noticed in the media remember what they were in 2016 Trump can never win rah rah.
21
posted on
08/04/2024 8:09:18 AM PDT
by
Vaduz
To: conservative98
Trump is losing. He is behind in the 7 polls. Behind to a moron. They better get it in gear.
https://www.270towin.com/2024-presidential-election-polls/national
To: conservative98
Right now, the polls are showing that RFK, Jr. is hurting President Trump more than Kamala Harris.
According to polls that ask both the head-to-head and the full-lineup preferences:
- National (CBS News/YouGov 8/4/24)
- Harris: 50 - Trump: 49
- Harris: 49 (-1) - Trump: 47 (-2) - Kennedy: 2 - Stein: 0 - West: 0
- National (Rasmussen Reports 8/1/24)
- Harris: 44 - Trump: 49
- Harris: 45 (+1) - Trump: 46 (-3) - Kennedy: 5 - Stein: 1 - West: 1
- Ohio (Fabrizio/Anzalone 8/1/24)
- Harris: 42 - Trump: 52
- Harris: 39 (-3) - Trump: 48 (-4) - Kennedy: 9 - Stein: 1 - West: N/A
- New Hampshire (WHDH-TV/Emerson 7/31/24)
- Harris: 50 - Trump: 46
- Harris: 48 (-2) - Trump: 41 (-5) - Kennedy: 6 - Stein: 1 - West: 0
- Arizona (Bloomberg/Morning Consult 7/31/24)
- Harris: 49 - Trump: 47
- Harris: 48 (-1) - Trump: 44 (-3) - Kennedy: 5 - Stein: 1 - West: N/A
- Georgia (Bloomberg/Morning Consult 7/31/24)
- Harris: 47 - Trump: 47
- Harris: 45 (-2) - Trump: 45 (-2) - Kennedy: 4 - Stein: 0 - West: N/A
- Michigan (Bloomberg/Morning Consult 7/31/24)
- Harris: 53 - Trump: 42
- Harris: 51 (-2) - Trump: 39 (-3) - Kennedy: 5 - Stein: 1 - West: N/A
- Nevada (Bloomberg/Morning Consult 7/31/24)
- Harris: 47 - Trump: 45
- Harris: 43 (-4) - Trump: 43 (-2) - Kennedy: 7 - Stein: 1 - West: N/A
- North Carolina (Bloomberg/Morning Consult 7/31/24)
- Harris: 46 - Trump: 48
- Harris: 44 (-2) - Trump: 45 (-3) - Kennedy: 5 - Stein: 0 - West: N/A
- Pennsylvania (Bloomberg/Morning Consult 7/31/24)
- Harris: 46 - Trump: 50
- Harris: 44 (-2) - Trump: 46 (-4) - Kennedy: 3 - Stein: 1 - West: N/A
- Wisconsin (Bloomberg/Morning Consult 7/31/24)
- Harris: 49 - Trump: 47
- Harris: 44 (-5) - Trump: 45 (-2) - Kennedy: 6 - Stein: 0 - West: N/A
- Oregon (Hoffman Research 7/31/24)
- Harris: 49 - Trump: 44
- Harris: 45 (-4) - Trump: 40 (-4) - Kennedy: 7 - Stein: 1 - West: N/A
- National (Harvard-Harris 7/30/24)
- Harris: 48 - Trump: 52
- Harris: 43 (-5) - Trump: 47 (-5) - Kennedy: 8 - Stein: 1 - West: 1
- Wisconsin (Fox News 7/27/24)
- Harris: 49 - Trump: 50
- Harris: 46 (-3) - Trump: 46 (-4) - Kennedy: 5 - Stein: 1 - West: 1
- Michigan (Fox News 7/27/24)
- Harris: 49 - Trump: 49
- Harris: 43 (-6) - Trump: 45 (-4) - Kennedy: 7 - Stein: 1 - West: 1
- Pennsylvania (Fox News 7/27/24)
- Harris: 49 - Trump: 49
- Harris: 45 (-4) - Trump: 43 (-6) - Kennedy: 7 - Stein: 1 - West: 1
- Minnesota (Fox News 7/27/24)
- Harris: 52 - Trump: 46
- Harris: 47 (-4) - Trump: 41 (-5) - Kennedy: 4 - Stein: 1 - West: 1
- National (Wall Street Journal 7/27/24)
- Harris: 47 - Trump: 49
- Harris: 45 (-2) - Trump: 44 (-5) - Kennedy: 4 - Stein: 1 - West: 1
- National (Forbes/HarrisX 7/26/24)
- Harris: 49 - Trump: 51
- Harris: 44 (-5) - Trump: 44 (-7) - Kennedy: 10 - Stein: 1 - West: 1
- National (New York Times/Siena 7/25/24)
- Harris: 47 - Trump: 48
- Harris: 44 (-3) - Trump: 43 (-5) - Kennedy: 5 - Stein: 1 - West: 0
- Arizona (The Hill/Emerson 7/25/24)
- Harris: 44 - Trump: 49
- Harris: 40 (-4) - Trump: 48 (-1) - Kennedy: 5 - Stein: 1 - West: 1
- Georgia (The Hill/Emerson 7/25/24)
- Harris: 46 - Trump: 48
- Harris: 43 (-3) - Trump: 46 (-2) - Kennedy: 4 - Stein: 1 - West: 1
- Michigan (The Hill/Emerson 7/25/24)
- Harris: 45 - Trump: 46
- Harris: 44 (-1) - Trump: 44 (-2) - Kennedy: 5 - Stein: 1 - West: 1
- Pennsylvania (The Hill/Emerson 7/25/24)
- Harris: 46 - Trump: 48
- Harris: 44 (-2) - Trump: 46 (-2) - Kennedy: 3 - Stein: 1 - West: 1
- Wisconsin (The Hill/Emerson 7/25/24)
- Harris: 47 - Trump: 47
- Harris: 45 (-2) - Trump: 45 (-2) - Kennedy: 3 - Stein: 1 - West: N/A
- New Hampshire (Univ New Hampshire 7/25/24)
- Harris: 53 - Trump: 46
- Harris: 49 (-4) - Trump: 43 (-3) - Kennedy: 4 - Stein: 0 - West: 0
- Maine (The Hill/Emerson 7/25/24)
- Harris: 54 - Trump: 45
- Harris: 48 (-4) - Trump: 40 (-5) - Kennedy: 4 - Stein: 1 - West: 1
- National (Rasmussen Reports 7/25/24)
- Harris: 43 - Trump: 50
- Harris: 42 (-1) - Trump: 49 (-1) - Kennedy: 4 - Stein: 1 - West: 0
Based on this data, President Trump's campaign should be reaching out to RFK, Jr. to ask him to withdraw from the election and endorse President Trump. That would make an enormous shift in the polls on the order of Harris replacing Biden as the Democrat candidate.
-PJ
23
posted on
08/04/2024 11:30:28 AM PDT
by
Political Junkie Too
( * LAAP = Left-wing Activist Agitprop Press (formerly known as the MSM))
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