Posted on 05/30/2024 9:10:06 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
It's official, the verdict is in, and the deed is done; as RedState's own Susie Moore reported only moments ago, former President Donald John Trump has been found guilty of all counts by a Manhattan jury. The next few days will be filled with discussion of this result and what will happen next. As a certain character in a certain film franchise involving gene-engineered dinosaurs famously repeated: "Hold on to your butts."
One of the biggest questions is this: "How will this affect the 2024 election?" The nominations on both sides are effectively decided. Donald Trump has the delegates sewn up to win the nomination, he has been endorsed (tepidly, in a couple of cases) by his primary GOP primary election challengers. He's the candidate, guilty verdict or not. As it happens, a new poll released Thursday, prior to the verdict being decided, would appear to indicate that there won't be any significant effect:
A new national poll is the latest to indicate that regardless of whether former President Trump is found guilty or acquitted in his criminal trial, the verdict will not have a large impact on voters' perceptions in his 2024 election rematch with President Biden.
Two-thirds of registered voters nationwide questioned in a NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist National Poll released on Thursday said a guilty verdict in the trial would make no difference to their vote in the presidential election. Seventeen percent said a conviction of Trump would make them less likely to vote for him and 15% said they'd be more inclined to support the former president at the ballot box.
If Trump is acquitted, three-quarters of those surveyed said it wouldn't impact their vote. Fourteen percent said a not guilty verdict would make them more likely to back Trump, and 9% said they'd be less likely to vote for the former president.
To sum this up:
A guilty verdict - which, as we see, is the case - 67 percent of registered voters say it will make no impact, while 17 percent say they will be less likely to vote for Trump; fifteen percent say they will be more likely to vote for him. This is a statistical wash; although we should note that this poll was taken before the verdict, when all this was hypothetical. At the moment, though, the only indicator we have is that this verdict won't have much effect.
As for the impact of a not-guilty verdict - well, there's little point in discussing that now.
There are a few likely outcomes of all this that we can predict right away, though:
Joe Biden - or rather, his handlers - have the reason they need to pull out of any presidential debates now. Biden can swell up and pontificate that he's not going to debate a "convicted felon," and Democrats will line up to bark and clap like trained seals; this works to the Democrats' advantage, as any debate performance by the clearly-impaired president was bound to be a disaster.
Donald Trump (and this is a guess, but I think it's a pretty good one) will suffer some see-sawing in the polls for a few days, but will continue slowly gaining ground, as he has been doing in recent weeks.
If Donald Trump does win the election, which is perfectly possible as there is nothing in the Constitution prohibiting a convicted felon from running for or being elected president, the left will use this verdict as a reason to screech "Illegitimate President" for four years.
The Trump team, as Susie Moore pointed out in her breaking piece above, will almost certainly file a motion to set aside, followed by an appeal. What's not clear is if any of this will be resolved before the election.
This is the inflection point, as I said in a VIP piece I wrote on Thursday morning. This is where things get interesting. This is the moment where everything has changed.
Only minutes ago, the former President gave his brief and emphatic reply to the verdict:
See Related: WATCH: Donald Trump Reacts to 34-Count Guilty Verdict in NY Case
We are in uncharted territory now, friends. It's anybody's guess what will happen next.
I used them 2 times. First time was a mess with lots of after nag nag nag
Yesterday, I used a different URL to place it, it worked, but I also told them I would pay for the transfer fee.
There needs to be a better system, without BS.
They are not a scam, have not had issues with my bank account over it.
That is a very good comparison.
Sure it’s going to effect the election. They are going to put him in jail until after the election, when this is overturned on appeal.
[He does. Also, he seems to have had a miraculous mental healing just before one of these events. That’s why I’ve become suspicious about his alleged demented state, and that it’s all an act.
Hubby and I call him “Donnie” after an episode of “Just Shoot Me!”
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c7dkaU_qP8k]
I’m impervious to superior presentation, but people who otherwise prefer Trump to Biden have said Trump is a lousy debater. Debates are essentially a duel between rival sales pitches. Biden might be selling hemlock, but he sells it better.
Another thing about Czechoslovakia.
Gustav Husak, was considered during Prague Spring to be on the side of Dubcek, he had himself at one time been imprisoned by the Stalinists.
He turned out to be the one installed by the Soviets, and went on to run Czechoslovakia for the next 20 years.
Who is our “Husak”?
The overwhelming majority of those on the Left are Godless. As such, anything goes. There are no absolutes, no lines that can't be crossed. The end always justifies the means. Put on the full armor of God and prepare for battle. The Left wants it, they'll get it.
Government is their God.
The peaceful transition of power, equality under the law, and the ordered civilization of the Republic is what used to make America different from any other nation on earth.
I was driving past a field of flags last night, a leftover from Memorial Day. The thought struck me, that all of those who sacrificed, fought, died for those ideals - as of this day they have died for nothing. By even indicting Trump, let alone convicting and sentencing, the current regime have utterly squandered the full endowment of American Exceptionalism as Reagan’s shining city on the hill.
The times when the world could be roiled in strife, corruption, and evil but could still look to the United States as the light of humanity - that’s done.
That’s not the point with them though. They were never going to help. The point is that the left couldn’t even convince Trump hating Republicans that their show trial was legit.
They were more than a pain in 2020. I donated $500 in several payments in the fall of 2020. Then I donated another hundred to their Stop the Steal campaign. Six weeks later I turned around and my CC statement showed repeated donations from the same CC for a total of $1500! To top it off, they literally abandoned Trump after the election, so I’m not real excited that I have to use their platform to donate to Trump’s campaign. 🤬
180 million is way overestimated. Count more on 30 million brave citizens and 72,000 rebels will run like rabbits when they see a tank pointing its gun at them and that .50 caliber machine gun chattering at them. It is one thing marching behind a Palestinian rag, fighting outnumbered NY cops and Jewish students who do not fire arms, but they lack the courage to fight tanks or armed soldiers. The US will definitely not need all 2509 tanks. All they need is to rev their engines and rotate their turrets a few degrees and the rebels have met their Waterloo. skewer one rebel on a bayonet and the rest disappears, instantly.
>>“We are in uncharted territory now, friends. It’s anybody’s guess what will happen next.”<<
A statement that makes a lot of sense.
PS I'd say at leadt 20 states secede when the economy and govt collapses. 180 million is too low an estimate.
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