Threat Matrix 2024

Established in 2001, after the 9/11 attack on America and now in its 23nd year, this thread is designed to identify threats to America, both internal and external, and evaluate the probability of those threats occurring and the extent of potential damage. Discussions may stray into ‘tinfoil’ territory, but the goal is to peel back and confirm information so we can make informed decisions and actions. Incredible as it seems, “tinfoil” conspiracy theories have fast become realities so they can no longer be ignored outright, but must be evaluated and compared to current events.

2023 has been “historic”: Continued inflation Record illegal immigration Record crime Record housing prices and Unprecedented prime lending rate increases. Push to globalize the economy, food production and energy

- 2024 is a political year with all the deep divisions and turmoils that brings. - Political assassinations - The potential for a serious and deep recession - CBDC stripping Americans of their free use of money - Race and other ethnic wars in the US as illegals mark out territory - Continued massive increase in crime - Further movement towards implementing the goals of the WEF via its “global reset” - - Continued combat in Ukraine that could spill out into other parts of Europe - Potential Chinese move on Taiwan – breaking analysis - Israel and Hezbollah/Iran finally directly going at it. - Other political turmoil growing globally over a wide range of issues. - Potential for a wide variety of Black Swan events to create even greater problems. . And this is just a short list.

It has been my pleasure to continue this thread over the past few years. This thread hopefully is continuing the goals of when it started.

For those who care, my posts reflect my scanning of the interwebs to provide me with early warning concerning factors that can endanger my life and family. Yes, I’m what many would call a “prepper”, and proudly accept that characterization.

How can something happening half way around the world affect me personally? Wuhan virus, my friend is but one recent example. I noted it in TM Dec 2019 and was prepared when chaos hit in 2020.

Other events have secondary and tertiary affects that reach us via shortages and inflation – fossil fuel prices are the most common, as well as economic impacts. I simply share news items and often my opinions that shape my actions and preparations.

My posts are broken down into specific topics and regions. I highlight and evaluative opensource reports in those areas in regard to how it will affect the US. Sometimes it feels like trying to drink from a fire hose and I don’t expect this to let up, only increase as the year progresses.

Will we even make it to the 2024 elections without things flying apart? Will the democrats / leftist manage a way to steal the election? Will the US find itself in the early stages of a civil war / national split up? The year promises to be very bumpy, so buckle up and prepare yourselves for what is to come.

Globalism / Great Reset –

Biden called on Congress Tuesday to pass legislation that would compel corporate owners of rental housing units to cap annual rent increases at 5% or lose some tax benefits.

OBSERVATION - Create a crisis then propose a solution that would not be acceptable before the crisis - to expand govt controls. This is part of the globalist game plan, this component rising to the surface here in the US.

CW2 / Domestic violence - Moderate to High THREAT - up dated July 14, 2024
— Attempted assassination of Trump.

July 15 RNC convention in Milwaukee, WI
July 25 - Protest of Netanyahu’s appearance before congress.
August 19 - DNC convention in Chicago, IL

ALERT all week for protests/riots at the RNC convention in Milwaukee

***

Day one of the RNC saw large protests and the setting up of a CHAZ by Pro-Hamas and Antifa paid agitators.

Leftist protesters shut down the roads outside the RNC Convention as they chant, “No Trump, no KKK, no fascist USA.” Many of them advocate for Trump to be killed believing that he will repeat Hitler’s genocidal agenda.

OBSERVATION - No reports of violence. I still hold that the greatest potential for such a violent assault will be on Thursday when Trump gives his acceptance speech.

Terrorism - Heightened THREAT as of May 6, 2024

Transitioning the PA assassination attempt here as investigation has shifted and classified it as a potential domestic terror incident. NOTE - Signifiant components also fall under CW2.

Fog of war impacts event reporting in the first 48 hours, generally. This is becoming more evident as better information surrounding the assassination attempt on Trump comes forward. Todays information, released over the course of yesterday, is excessively concerning to me. Either this was the greatest Charlie Foxtrot of all time, or it was set-up for a deliberate deep state strike on Trump. Evidence of both in the forefront today. So unbelievable, I had to check for independent confirmation.

First, persistent evidence that the regime deliberately set security up for failure. In my initial posts, I noted it was being reported that Trump’s normal SS detachment was not on site that day, getting a breather from the tempo of Trumps campaign.

THIS WAS NOT THE CASE. It was revealed yesterday that Trump’s Secret Service permanent detail were stood down for the Butler, Pennsylvania rally on Saturday, according to an admission by Secret Service spokesman Anthony Guglielmi. They were pulled for a Jill Biden Party in Pittsburg 40 miles away. Reports are they were backfilled with other, less experienced agents & possible contractors. The site agent, who was in charge of putting all security measures for a particular event in place, was a “relatively new agent” from the Pittsburgh office with “limited experience,” Hence the incredibly poor coordination with local law enforcement (to be discussed next) and the gaggle of DEI hires who from videos showed they did’t know their heads from a hole in the ground.

ON THE WORST CASE EVIL SCENARIO - Throwing together a gaggle of poorly trained agents into a situation where there is still a raging concern that the shooting was arranged - actions Trumps permanent detail would have caught and prevented - are still in the forefront.

Which brings us to the local LEO responses and actions. Yesterday, it was revealed that local law enforcements had eyes on Crooks for nearly 30 minutes before he opened fire on Trump. One officer at the rally took a photo of Crooks at 5:45 p.m. and called it in as a suspicious person, according to WPXI-TV. If Crooks’ actions were suspicious, why in the heck didn’t they detain him.

Unconfirmed reports that a police (SWAT) unit was supposed to be on the roof but stayed inside the building Crookes fired from because it was hot outside. Was this a deliberate disregard for their orders or just stupid, lazy cops.

The potential belief / understanding that a local SWAT unit had charge of that roof top may be the reason for the report that counter sniper team behind Trump tried to get permission or deconflict since the may have expected swat up there. NEVER THE LESS, the order to hold fire until Crooks opened fire is still diabolical and completely out of order.

So basically law enforcement let the shooter get on the roof, knew about him being there before Trump got on stage, and then they let him open fire on President Trump and his supporters. (Ny post )

More information on the shooter continues to trickle out. He reportedly was featured on an investment ad made by the nefarious BlackRock - WEF’s investment arm of enforcement.
FBI apparently cannot crack the code on Crooks phone and this 20 year old apparently has no social media footprint.
The day of the shooting, he apparently bought 50 rounds of 5.56 and a ladder. According to a report from CNN citing law enforcement officials, Crooks bought the ladder from Home Depot on the day he tried to assassinate Trump from the roof of a nearby building.
If the reports are correct, law enforcement saw him observe the building, take out a range-finder to get the distance of his shot, come back with a backpack and a ladder, climb the building with a rifle - AND DID NOTHING.

Finally, yesterday Kimberly Cheatle head of the United States Secret Service was put in the spotlight over her actions (inactions) surrounding the whole debacle in PA. The NY Post is reporting that she got her job due to insider connections with Jill Biden.
Cheatle is a strong supporter of DEI, having pledged for the Secret Service to be 30 percent female by 2030 as part of a “diversity” push. The results of DEI being very evident in the three female agents and their actions on video during and after the shooting. In spite of accepting responsibility for the fiasco, she refused to step down. Cheatle even hinted that the Secret Service’s excuse is “it’s THEIR fault,” pointing to local police.
She is slated to testify before the House Oversight Committee on July 22.

OBSERVATION - Many, many opinions running rampant out there. The revelations yesterday have done little to narrow the gap between conspiracy and morbidly gross incompetence by the SS. While the police may have screwed up royally, the SS still had operational control and over sight and that failed. The removal of Trumps permanent detachment and replacement with a bunch of rookies and DEI hires is more diabolical. Those rookies could well have been assigned to Jill Biden’s party instead. That shifting of protection alone - still raises red flags of a potential conspiracy. The wild card continues to be Crooks. Was he identified by groomers several years ago from the black rock video? If so, are there others out there since who’d have imagined the campaign schedule that would have brought trump to that corner of PA where Crooks could have access. What was his motivation for shooting Trump if not groomed? Mental problems from being a bullied and geeky teen? Why/ how did he get away with nearly 30 minutes of open preparation to shoot without being seriously questioned or detained?

My conspiracy red flags are still flying, and I really don’t like that.

POLITICAL FRONT –

July 15 RNC convention in Milwaukee, WI
August 19 DNC convention in Chicago, IL

***
Trump’s arrival at the RNC convention was welcomed with thunderous ovations. This follows his announcement of JD Vance to be his VP.

The selection of Vance has caused all kinds of reactions. The RINOS like Romney detested Vance, the democrat dropped their ‘play nice’ efforts (announced by biden just the night before) with vitriol and hate. Many more view the selection as the right one - a fighter who openly supports an America First agenda and is setting up to carry the Trump agenda into 2028 (or as insurance should the left wage anther attempt on his life).

***
A Florida judge has dismissed the US justice department’s classified documents case against Donald Trump in a huge victory for the former president just days after a gunman attempted to assassinate him.
Judge Aileen Cannon granted Mr Trump’s motion to dismiss the federal case on the basis that the justice department’s appointment of special prosecutor Jack Smith violates the Appointments Clause of the US Constitution.

Judge Cannon cited three times in her decision a concurring opinion by Justice Thomas in the Supreme Court ruling in which he questioned whether there was a legal basis for naming special counsel.

DoJ/Smith have reportedly appealed the decision to the 11th Circuit - a court overseen by USSC Justice Thomas.

***
biden has extended Secret Service protection to Robert F. Kennedy Jr., the independent running for the White House in 2024.
Kennedy, who previously mounted a Democratic primary challenge of Biden before filing as an independent, and his supporters have repeatedly called for a Secret Service detail for the candidate, a call echoed by former President Donald Trump following the attempt on his life on Saturday.

Biden / Harris Watch –

biden is already violating his talk nicely decree with the selection of Vance.

Russia -

*****
As of July 15, Russia withdrew the last patrol ship of its Black Sea Fleet from the occupied Crimea, as stated by Dmytro Pletenchuk, spokesman for the Naval Forces.

At the beginning of the full-scale invasion, the Black Sea Fleet of the Russian Federation had 74 warships. During almost 2.5 years of invasion, Ukraine destroyed or disabled at least a third of the Black Sea Fleet of the Russian Federation.

Logistics –

Russia has been employing more and more glide bombs across the eastern and southern fronts. Along with this they are increasing their size. These bombs are quick and cheap to build and virtually unstoppable by Ukrainian air defenses. Russian bombers release the bombs outside the general Ukraine air defense envelope and the simple guidance system for the bomb leads it the rest of the way.

Ukraine –

WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures continue in the 90s with some 100s and fair.

24 HOUR ROUND UP –

Ukrainian air defense shot down 2 Shahed attack drones, 4 Orlan-10, 2 Zala, 1 Supercam and 1 unidentified reconnaissance drones since last night. Also tracking of 2 Shahed drones were lost in the airspace of Belarus.

Outlook —

More of the same. The removal of the last surface combatant Russian naval vessel from Crimea is a huge embarrassment to Russia and putin.

Belarus -

Russian Shahed drones entered Belarusian airspace reached Mahilou. Belarusian air forces Su-30 and Mi-24 took off to intercept them

ISRAEL –

July 25 - Netanyahu’s appearance before congress.

——— GENERAL ——————————-

Lest we forget - there are still hostages being held in Gaza.

***
Major General Ghassan Alian, head of the Coordinator of Government Activities in the Territories (COGAT) tweeted on Monday to express harsh criticism of the head of UNRWA, Philippe Lazzarini, who professed himself shocked by the IDF attacks on the agency’s compounds in the Gaza Strip.

“These are the things that should shock you,” Alian began. “You allowed Hamas to develop a terrorist infrastructure almost in all the agency’s facilities, and paid for years to Hamas terrorists who are employed in the UNRWA agency.”
“Hamas stole your fuel and equipment over the years, and worst of all, even after we informed you of Hamas’s deep involvement in UNRWA prior to October 7th, you did nothing with all that information,” he accused.

“That is what is shocking. All your other statements are just an attempt to evade your own and the organization’s responsibility,” Alian concluded.

https://harbingersdaily.com/israel-at-war-week-38/

——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-

Three rockets were fired from the Gaza Strip at Sderot and nearby towns. According to local authorities, two struck open areas, and the third was intercepted. There are no reports of damage or injuries.

——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-

Overnight, Israeli fighter jets struck Hezbollah sites in southern Lebanon’s Houla, Kafr Kila, and Bani Haiyyan, the Israeli army says. Troops also shelled areas near Blida, Deir Mismas, and Rmeish with artillery to “remove threats,” the military adds.

Overnight, Hezbollah launched some 20 rockets at the northern city of Kiryat Shmona. There were no injuries

——— SYRIA / HEZBOLLAH / IRAN———————————-

A businessman with close ties to the Syrian regime was killed in an alleged Israeli airstrike targeting a vehicle on the Damascus-Beirut Highway on Monday afternoon, according to Syrian opposition sources.

———WEST BANK——————————-

An armed clash between Palestinian militants and Israeli security forces in Balata camp, east of Nablus.

———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————

U.S. Central Command: In the past 24 hours, U.S. Central Command (USCENTCOM) forces successfully destroyed five Iranian-backed Houthi uncrewed aerial vehicles (UAV), three over the Red Sea and two over Houthi-controlled areas of Yemen.

Houthis: We carried out 3 specific operations in the Red and Mediterranean Seas in response to the Israeli’s attack in Mawasi Khan Yunis

The Panama-flagged tanker Bentley I was moving from Russia to China when it was attacked in the Red Sea. The Liberia-flagged Chios Lion crude oil tanker had also departed Russia before being hit by explosives-laden boats in the Red Sea, MarineTraffic data shows.
The rebels say they also attacked the Cyprus-flagged Olvia vessel in the Mediterranean in a joint operation with fellow Iran-backed militants Islamic Resistance in Iraq.

——— FORECAST ————————-

Fighting locations and levels are pretty much the same across the board. IDF continues to identify and quickly target key Hamas and Hezbollah leaders. Some ground combat is declining in Gaza with increasing emphasis being directed towards Hezbollah and the impending fight there. We are half way thru July and are entering a potential window for call up of reserver forces to give them the necessary ramp up time for the fight in Lebanon. IDF leaders are discussing the need to increase force strength, so such reserver callups may soon come.

CW2 / Domestic violence - Moderate to High THREAT - up dated July 14, 2024
— Attempted assassination of Trump.

July 15 RNC convention in Milwaukee, WI
July 25 - Protest of Netanyahu’s appearance before congress.
August 19 - DNC convention in Chicago, IL

ALERT all week for protests/riots at the RNC convention in Milwaukee

***
After police officers assisting with security at the Republican National Convention in Milwaukee responded to a reported fight roughly one mile from the main RNC venue, ultimately shooting and killing a suspect who drew a knife, additional security incidents more directly impacting the convention were reported that raised concerns about what, exactly, is going on at the margins of the convention’s secure perimeter.

On Tuesday evening, Fox News Channel’s Bill Melugin reported that authorities tasked with monitoring the secure perimeter around several blocks of the downtown area “stopped a suspicious man wearing a ski mask” a few blocks away from the venue containing the convention stage. The 21-year-old man was arrested and found to be carrying an “AK47 pistol, a full magazine, & a Scream mask in a large backpack.” The individual’s plans remain unknown as of now, but local authorities told Melugin that the arrestee “did not have a legal CCW permit.”

OBSERVATION - This is largely good news, Milwaukee police doing their job to keep the convention safe.

ADDITIONAL - Protests around the convention center continue to be largely peaceful. Still concerned for Thursday nite and possible efforts to disrupt Trump’s acceptance speech.

Terrorism - Heightened THREAT as of May 6, 2024

Transitioning the PA assassination attempt here as investigation has shifted and classified it as a potential domestic terror incident. NOTE - Signifiant components also fall under CW2.

Folks, IMHO, when they can’t keep their story straight, it creates a pungent aroma of a cover up.

In the last post, the reasoning given - reportedly by the local police force charged with security of the buildings from which Crooks fired from - stated it was too “hot” to place a team on the roof.

Yesterday, Secret Service director Kim Cheatle upended this reason claiming snipers couldn’t be on the roof because it was sloped and they might fall and hurt themselves).

Cheatle: “That building in particular has a sloped roof at its highest point. And so, you know, there’s a safety factor that would be considered there that we wouldn’t want to put somebody up on a sloped roof. And so, you know, the decision was made to secure the building, from inside.”

OMG, secret service personnel are supposed to be selected for a willingness to sacrifice their lives for their protectee. And this half-baked numbskull thinks an essentially flat roof is too sloped to place forces on it!!!!????!!!!.

Now, on Tuesday, the Secret Service had agreed to brief the House Oversight Committee.
Now, Homeland Security has stepped in, superseded all communications with the Oversight Committee and has refused to confirm a briefing will occur.

More secret service issues are popping up. The United States received intelligence from a human source in recent weeks about an Iranian plot to try to assassinate former President Donald Trump, CNN reported Tuesday, citing people briefed on the matter.

The U.S. Secret Service and the Trump campaign were made aware of the plot before Saturday’s rally, a CNN reporter posted on X, citing a U.S. national security official.

Secret Service spokesperson Anthony Guglielmi told the network that the agency recently “added protective resources and capabilities to the former President’s security detail.”

The fact that the Biden administration knew of an Iranian plot to assassinate President Trump WEEKS AGO makes its staggering failures on Saturday even more egregious.

Were there additional resources added. The answer is clearly NO, Trump’s security detail had for many months been requesting more assets - only to be rejected time and again.

Secondly, USSS Director Cheatle admits to replacing Trump’s permanent detail with ‘Temporary Agents’ For Butler rally. Makes the “no manpower” excuse pretty hollow.

I almost hate to do this, it hurts, but I has to be done.

- How was an individual designated by police as ‘suspicious’ allowed to wander around with an AR15, taking laser rangefinder measurements.
- More importantly, he got to a ‘known, high priority vulnerability’ location unchallenged.
- How / why was there a ladder located in a partially hidden alcove for that he used.

Pretty wild how he just happened to pick the one event with the one spot that Biden’s Secret Service deliberately kept unguarded.

FIrst, initial discussions were how a ‘math geek’ could have any chance shooting trump as he did - yielding a second gunman theory. Reality is he was a member of a gun club and spent part of Friday prior to the assassination attempt there shooting. The fact that several years prior he shot poorly and did’t make the school shooting team is secondary at this point. That is plenty of time to make up for poor shooting skills.

Second goes back to the absence of any social media footprint - for 20 yr old not to have a facebook, twitter, etc account is almost unheard of. Reports are that his phone has been cracked - nothing inside it to provide information on his actions/motives prior. No word yet on his laptop.

Third - I’ve mentioned this earlier - why in the world was he allowed to wander around this sensitive portion of the perimeter AND NOT BE CHALLENGED BY ANY LAW ENFORCEMENT?

Fourth - understated even by me, but that he had a remote controlled IED in his car and a remote detonator was found on his body. More bombs at his home. Where did he get the info on how to construct these devices?

This causes me to circle back and relook the conspiracy theory that Crooks received help - from US govt agents. This is in part because when you look at the entire picture, what you see better resembles a deliberate plan to make Trump vulnerable but to appear at first glance to be just a couple of innocent mistakes. With some ‘guidance’ from an insider, some of the above questions start to jell.

We know this can happen because the FBI did it with Gretchen Whitmer: It recruited and urged disturbed individuals to buy weapons and put together a plan to kidnap her. In that case, the FBI wanted a story it could use to slime right-wingers. So it created the story itself.

So who was the shooter talking to in the hours, days, and weeks ahead of the event? Who was he meeting with? Did anyone suggest or nudge or urge him to go to the Trump rally in Butler? Did anyone suggest or point out to him the building he eventually used? Was he told at any time not to worry about security?

This is enough to make it hard to sleep at night. Sadly, the scenario is very plausible, given the clear knowledge that the FBI lied about surveilling Trump, lied about the hunter laptop, lied about so many other things. Tied tightly into this is a corrupt CIA that coughed up 51 intelligence ‘experts’ to openly declare the biden laptop to be fake and a Russian hoax - which we now know to be completely opposite.

Was this a set-up to look like gross incompetence on the part of security which allowed a suspicious individual to wander around a high threat location for nearly 30 minutes carrying an AR15 without being stopped or challenged? If conspiracy, did it spread downward to local law enforcement too?
Now DHS has forbidden SS from following up with appearances before congress and for members to shut up. That reeks of a cover up folks - big time.

Before I forget, one more point. Timing of the assassination attempt was critical - prior to the RNC convention . Trump had not announced a running mate yet, so if he was killed, it would have likely thrown the convention into chaos as a new candidate would need to be selected, a floor fight that could have fractured the party and allowed biden to overcome the plethora of problems he is facing. If the hit was planned/supported by deep state assets, this component may or may not have been a factor. We may never know.

Economy- MODERATE Threat - as of June 26, 2024

Japan is on the verge of a fire sale of hundreds of billions of dollars in U.S. debt that could crash Treasury markets already teetering on the edge.
The news comes from The Wall Street Journal, which reported that Japan’s state-owned Government Pension Investment Fund, which holds Social Security reserves of nearly every Japanese worker, is poised to sell down its $400 billion of U.S. dollar assets and direct the money to Japanese domestic bonds and equities to prop up Japan’s asset markets long enough to limp through the next crisis.

As for the dollar, if Japan is about to flip to mass seller, that knocks out the single biggest overseas holder of U.S. debt.

And what if there are not enough buyers for U.S. debt?

Easy: Prices crash and interest rates soar. We’d be back to crashing banks here in America, with Washington’s debt service driving toward $2 trillion per year—in interest alone.

https://www.prophecynewswatch.com/article.cfm?recent_news_id=7102#google_vignette

OBSERVATION - Sales by Japan as well as China also weaken the dollar, making imports more expensive. With so much of our debt financed by asia, losing that funding is going to hurt and hurt hard.

Wuhan and other “new” Plandemics –

Fearmongering of a new version of wuhan.

POLITICAL FRONT –

July 15 RNC convention in Milwaukee, WI
August 19 DNC convention in Chicago, IL

***
President Trump’s hearing to disqualify Fani Willis has been rescheduled for December 5, 2024, causing the lawfare RICO case to be delayed until after the 2024 election.

The hearing was originally planned for October 4 but has now been shifted to December, pushing the RICO case beyond the upcoming election.

“The Georgia Appeals Court agreed to pause proceedings in the case in June while it reviews McAfee’s ruling, and the Dec. 5 argument date means the prosecution will remain on hold into the new year. State law requires the appeals court to hand down a ruling by March 14, 2025, as the case was docketed for its August term.” CBS News reported.

***
Secret Service problems were already present many months prior to last weeks assassination attempt.

Back in May, Congress requested a briefing with the Secret Service, after several incidents allegedly raised internal concerns over the quality of its trainings.

A petition within the Secret Service has reportedly been circulating because of the incidents and called for a congressional investigation into the agency, according to Comer.

One incident saw a Secret Service agent assigned to Vice President Kamala Harris allegedly attack her superior and other agents. The unnamed agent also exhibited other “concerning” behavior, according to her colleagues.
Comer mentioned the incident in a letter to Secret Service Director Kimberly Cheatle and asked for a briefing on how the Secret Service is responding to the allegations of “inadequate training.”

“This incident raised concerns within the agency about the hiring and screening process for this agent,” Comer wrote in his letter. “Specifically [concerns] whether previous incidents in her work history were overlooked during the hiring process as years of staff shortages had led the agency to lower once stricter standards as part of a diversity, equity and inclusion effort.”
Comer also flagged concerns from the petition related to a “double standard in disciplinary actions, and a vulnerability ‘to potential insider threats’ that could pose a risk to U.S. national security.”

The letter requests the briefing by June 13, and cites “potential vulnerabilities” that could keep the Secret Service from “fulfilling its mission to ensure the safety and security of its protectees,” including the president, vice president, and their families

https://justthenews.com/government/security/congress-launches-instant-probe-trump-assassination-attempt-demands-answers

OBSERVATION - Like the military, FBI, and multiple other alphabet agencies, the filth and corruption brought by DEI policies have infected another priority agency. However, the rapid fall of the Secret Service to the ranks of a clown cop car is unbelievable.

Biden / Harris Watch –

Biden is finalizing plans to endorse major changes to the Supreme Court in the coming weeks, including proposals for legislation to establish term limits for the justices and an enforceable ethics code.
He is also weighing whether to call for a constitutional amendment to eliminate broad immunity for presidents and other constitutional officeholders.

OBSERVATION - He’ll bloviate about this, but congress has essentially zero time to attempt to pass any such laws. This may be raw meat to some of his constituents, but not the public at large.

***
With the after shocks from the attempted assassination of Trump slowing down, efforts have resumed to try to get biden removed from the ticket. A conference call expected later this month to ‘formally’ nominate him, in order to meet filling deadlines in Ohio, may be thwarted and there is a renewed push for an open convention in August. Watch the action among/towards democrat ‘super delegates’ to see if such a shift is going to happen.

Illegal Immigration –

The New York Post has uncovered yet another “unannounced” White House program related to the Biden border crisis. Ever since Texas Governor Greg Abbott effectively shut down his state’s southern border, the cartels have been forced to move their human smuggling cargo further to the west. Much of the traffic has been showing up in California, particularly in the San Diego area. Despite Gavin Newsom’s claims that California was still a “welcoming” state for migrants, in reality, the San Diego area was simply becoming “overrun.” Since we clearly can’t have that happening to a blue state in an election year, Joe Biden rushed to the rescue. The White House has been operating weekly charter flights out of San Diego to take the migrants elsewhere. Their destination? Texas, of course. They are being flown in and released in the Rio Grande Valley.

https://hotair.com/jazz-shaw/2024/07/16/now-biden-is-flying-migrants-back-to-texas-n3791860

OBSERVATION - TX has been successful at securing the border, now biden is beginning to back door the placement of illegals into the state.

China –

China and the Philippines have set up a military ‘hot line’ for future use to diffuse conflict.

Russia -

Logistics –
Observers are noting that the majority of tanks being shipped to the Ukraine war zone are T54/55 vintage. Russia’s supply of its T90 (their reportedly best tank) is quickly running out with the 100th confirmed destruction by Ukraine forces.

Economic Impact –
See Europe / NATO General below on another hit to the Russian economy.

Ukraine –

WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures continue in the 90s with some 100s and fair.

24 HOUR ROUND UP –

Ukrainian defense forces have been withdrawn from Urozhayne of Donetsk region and Krynky of Kherson region. This is the left bank bridgehead Ukraine established last year and that Russian lost a lot of troops trying to retake.

Ukrainian military conducted an ATACMS cluster munition strike at S-300 SAM at occupied part of Donetsk region. Took out the radar and several launchers.

Russian ground offensive has narrowed down to the Ocheretyne axis with minimal action along the rest of the eastern front. Axis has the greatest concentration of reported Russian attacks.

Outlook —

Status quo prevails. Russia driving in the Ocheretyne axis indicates a broader change in strategic tactics. With the Kharkiv offensive failing, Russia has to redetermine who gets priority for replacement forces. That appears to be Ocheretyne where Russia has had some of the best success so far in this year’s offensive. But even at that Russian forces are increasingly becoming lighter - lacking armor and tanks to support the attacks.

Europe / NATO General –

Lithuania, Estonia, and Latvia announced they will disconnect from the Soviet-era BRELL (Belarus, Russia, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania) power grid on 08 February 2025, which connects them to the Russian and Belarusian power grids. The Baltic countries are still under contract with the European Union (EU) to be on the EU power grid by 2025.

OBSERVATION - Russia’s golden goose has been in the supply of energy to Europe and other parts of the world. Ukraine has seriously damaged Russia’s oil sector, bringing down at least 25% of Russia’s capabilities. Europe has also cut off virtually all natural gas supplies from Russia, switching to US and others. Now electrical power from Russia is being cut off. putin has relied on these income streams to support the war, and with them being cut down has seriously put a pinch in the war coffers.

ISRAEL –

July 25 - Netanyahu’s appearance before congress.

——— GENERAL ——————————-

Lest we forget - there are still hostages being held in Gaza.

***
Defense Minister Yoav Gallant tells his American counterpart, Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin, that Israeli army operations in the Gaza Strip have “led to the conditions necessary” for a hostage deal with the Hamas terror group. In their overnight call, Gallant provided Austin with an assessment of the Israeli army’s ongoing operations in the Gaza Strip. “Gallant detailed the precise operation targeting Hamas military leader Muhammed Deif, referred to as the “Osama bin Laden of Gaza,” - his office says

——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-

The Israeli army: The search for Hamas smuggling tunnels across the border between Gaza and Egypt will take months

Bulk of the air /artillery strikes have been in the central Gaza area overnight.

——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-

Hezbollah leader Nasrallah warns they will target new Israeli towns if Israel continues to “target civilians” in Lebanon

Overnight, Israeli fighter jets struck Hezbollah sites in Yarine, Ayta ash-Shab and Aalma ash-Shab, the Israeli army says. Also overnight, a barrage of some 15 rockets was fired from Lebanon at the Nahariya area. The Israeli army says some were shot down by the Iron Dome, while the rest struck open fields.

An additional 80 rockets were fired by Hezbollah from Lebanon at northern Israel overnight.

———WEST BANK——————————-

The Israeli arrested 15 Palestinians in the West Bank overnight.

——— FORECAST ————————-

Fighting will continue to surge and ebb in Gaza as hit has over the past month. The attention is now focusing more on the inevitable fight with Hezbollah. Israel keeps taking out key leaders and facilities and Hezbollah fires rockets in retaliation. Hezbollah fails to to realize that Israel wants them to fire rocket as it

1) identifies launching facilities and
2) identifies rocket storage areas an movements to restock supplies after an attack.

Thus when Israel finally decides to go, many of its initial target sets will be these rocket launcher positions - to take them out before they can fire as well as storage sites to prevent rearming.

As warned, life is flowing full speed, so today is a mix of two days. There will be no post tomorrow and likely nothing on Sunday either. Unfortunately, if the new cycle is correct, big changes in the presidential campaign are afoot.

CW2 / Domestic violence - Moderate to High THREAT - up dated July 14, 2024
— Attempted assassination of Trump.

July 15 RNC convention in Milwaukee, WI
July 25 - Protest of Netanyahu’s appearance before congress.
August 19 - DNC convention in Chicago, IL

ALERT all week for protests/riots at the RNC convention in Milwaukee

***
Protests have been relatively subdued at the RNC convention. Apart from a large march on Day 1, nothing significant to report.

***
But 80% of voters - including similar shares of Democrats and Republicans - said they agreed with a statement that “the country is spiraling out of the control.” The poll, which was conducted online, surveyed 1,202 U.S. adults nationwide, including 992 registered voters.

Some 84% of voters in the poll said they were concerned that extremists will commit acts of violence after the election, an increase from the results of a Reuters/Ipsos poll conducted in May that showed 74% of voters having that fear.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/ar-BB1q67uH

Terrorism - Heightened THREAT as of May 6, 2024

Holding the PA assassination attempt here as investigation has shifted and classified it as a potential domestic terror incident. NOTE - Signifiant components also fall under CW2.

DHS and SS faced a closed congressional hearing on the assassination attempt. Reported highlights include -

—The shooter visited the rally site a few days in advance to scope it out —62 mins elapsed between the time the shooter was photographed as being suspicious and when he fired the shots —20 mins elapsed between the time he was spotted by snipers & when he fired the shots —FBI Director Wray said there’s no known foreign nexus but no established motive as of now.
- Crooks had two cell phones and used three encrypted accounts overseas to communicate. The FBI found Crooks’ second cell phone at his home with only 27 contacts, The Daily Mail reported.

Investigators reportedly found searches on Crooks’ laptop including, “Trump, Biden, when is DNC convention, and July 13 Trump rally.”

FBI says they still have found no evidence of a particular ideology.

Lets focus first on the shooter behavior. This indicates more planning that previously indicated. Wray’s reported statement raises more red flags - who was he communicating with via ‘secure’ coms? If they managed to break into his phone, as now claimed, and Crooks had an app like “Signal”, they would have access to the messages.

Not included in the above list, SS / LEOs were aware of Crooks suspicious presence for about 3 HOURS prior to the shooting.

More from his parents - According to Fox News. Thomas Crook’s parents called police to report their son was missing a few hours before he attempted to assassinate Trump. He was 20. Why would they report him missing for being gone a part of a day. Sounds like they are trying to fake an alibi. Did the parents know something was up?

Secret Service screwups - If i understand correctly, standard protocol is that if a suspicious character is reported or a potential lethal action is imminent, SS is NOT to allow their protectorate into public view/exposure. Besides the 3 hour ‘warning, the local officer that confronted the Trump rally shooter radioed in to a shared police channel that there was an armed gunman on the roof prior to former President Trump being shot. Yet Trump was not warned and taken off stage before the assassination attempt.

Further, it is reported that the Secret Service Special Agent In Charge (i.e. the on the ground commander) was aware of the threat, yet allowed President Trump to take the (and remain on ) stage.

***
A more disturbing news item floating around the interwebs is the report suggesting that the assassination attempt may have been planned and elements took steps to profit from it.

It was noted that a considerable short sale of Trump Truth Social occurred just before the assassination attempt. It is being reported that the firm that took the suspicious and enormous bet against President Trump’s Truth Social stock ($DJT) ONE DAY before the assassination attempt is Austin Private Wealth LLC, majority held by George Soros’ Vanguard and BlackRock. The Bush clan is also heavily invested Austin.

Coincidentally, BlackRock, the party that would have greatly profited from President Trump’s death, included the shooter, Thomas Matthew Crooks, in a 2022 promotional video.

Alex Soros infamously shared an Atlantic Magazine cover image which featured a bullet hole in glass, followed by a picture of cash which added up to the number 47, a message some interpreted as a cryptic death threat against President Trump.

Shorts against the Truth Social stock more than doubled from July 1 -July 12, meaning, people or large organizations were predicting that by Monday the stock would plummet, something that undoubtedly would have occurred had President Trump died in Pennsylvania.

This could mean some had foreknowledge of the plot against President Trump’s life and tried to profit off the coming calamity.

Investment firm Austin Private Wealth LLC has denied claims that it placed a massive put option on Trump Media & Technology Group stock the day before the assassination attempt, asserting that the filing was a “clerical error” by the SEC.

OBSERVATION - This is in tinfoil hat territory - but the timing is suspect to say the very least.
At this stage, it is a pretty solid assumption that Crooks had help and encouragement from someone(s) else. The biggest question is whether or not some or all of that help came from the US govt / Secret Service. Looking into the chasm of that black hole should strike fear into us all.

POLITICAL FRONT –

July 15 RNC convention in Milwaukee, WI
August 19 DNC convention in Chicago, IL

***
Republican senators, including a member of the Senate’s leadership, accosted the director of the Secret Service in a suite at the Republican National Convention on Wednesday night, demanding that she resign or provide a full explanation for the security lapses that led to the near-miss assassination attempt against former President Donald J. Trump.

Senators John Barrasso of Wyoming, the third-ranking Senate Republican, and Marsha Blackburn of Tennessee aggressively confronted the agency’s director, Kimberly A. Cheatle, at Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee. A staff member for one of the senators videotaped the confrontation and sent it to a reporter.
The video, which Ms. Blackburn also posted on X, shows Mr. Barrasso berating Ms. Cheatle over why Mr. Trump was allowed to go onstage for his Saturday evening rally in Butler, Pa., when authorities had already identified as suspicious a man who turned out to be the shooter, Thomas Matthew Crooks.
“You put him within less than an inch of his life,” Mr. Barrasso said to Ms. Cheatle, almost yelling. “So resignation or full explanation.”

https://townhall.com/tipsheet/mattvespa/2024/07/18/watch-the-secret-service-director-flee-the-rnc-n2642114

OBSERVATION - My question is just WHY is this witch attending the RNC? Just to meet with Trump?

Former President Donald Trump met with Secret Service Director Kim Cheatle on Tuesday, ABC News reported on Thursday citing a source, with the meeting coming amid intense scrutiny of the Secret Service’s handling of the rally at which Trump was shot.

The meeting took place at the Republican presidential candidate’s hotel in Milwaukee three days after the shooting at his rally in Pennsylvania which left Trump with a bleeding ear. It was not clear what was discussed.

Biden / Harris Watch –

Potentially BREAKING news - strong rumors that biden may be stepping down from the campaign this weekend as senior democrat leaders like 0bama, schumer, Jeffries, pelosi, etc all pile on.

***
No sooner did President Biden say in an interview released on Wednesday that he would re-evaluate whether to stay in the presidential race if a doctor told him directly that he had a medical condition that made that necessary than we learned that President Biden had Covid.

Following the announcement, video showed him very slowly going up the short steps into AF1, wearing no mask, nor were anyone around him wearing a mask either.

***
Rumors of loud arguments in the WH between senior staff for both biden and harris. Is a melt down in progress going towards a 25th Amendment crisis?

More rumors of a serious lack of love between the biden and harris camps, as unconfirmed reports that should biden step down, he will not be issuing an endorsement of harris, probably deferring to the DNC convention for their selection for president - creating an ever growing chance of an open convention and vicious floor fight.

Cyber attacks/warfare – HEIGHTENED ALERT as of April 20, 2024

Businesses including banks, airlines, telecommunications companies, TV and radio broadcasters, and supermarkets have been taken offline following a mass global outage.

Major US airlines have been grounded.

Issues reported in Australia, India, the United States and New Zealand.

The outage appears to be affecting Windows PCs globally

China –

RUMINT. According to reporter Jennifer Zhang, President of China Xi Jinping reportedly suffered a stroke. Zhang is a defected former Chinese Communist Party (CCP) State Council Researcher, reports that people close to Chinese President Xi Jinping and the State Council are saying Xi had a stroke during China’s Third Plenary Session.

To add to the speculation, the Third Plenary Session of the Chinese Communist Party Congress has been repeatedly delayed and is, so far, untelevised.

Earlier in 2021, Xi suffered from a cerebral aneurysm and was hospitalized, ANI reported citing foreign media reports.
“It is learnt that he preferred to be treated with traditional Chinese medicines rather than going for surgery, which softens the blood vessels and shrinks aneurysm,” it said.

OBSERVATION - Tight news control out of China makes it difficult to tell if this is valid or not. As such, still heavily RUMINT, but if fact, things have just become more interesting in 2024.

Xi has no clear successor, so should he die or become incapacitated, there is likely to be a succession crisis as reform and Maoist factions within the CCP vie for power. This in turn would affect the situation in the western Pacific.

Japan –

Japan and 18 Pacific Island Nations signed an agreement to oppose any “unilateral attempts change to the status quo by the threat or use of force or coercion anywhere in the world” in the 10th Pacific Island Leaders’ Meeting (PALM10) declaration. This declaration effectively sets the Pacific Island leaders against any Chinese military reunification with Taiwan and the neighboring Senkaku/Diaoyu islands. (FO)

Phillipines –

Philippine Navy announced it is exploring options for a joint resupply mission to Second Thomas Shoal with a regional ally (U.S., Australia, or Japan) as an “exercise” under the Multilateral Maritime Cooperative Activity agreement.

OBSERVATION - China’s continuing aggressive blockade of the Second Thomas Shoes could trigger a more serious incident if Chinese Coast Guard challenges a regional ally vessel.

Russia -

Logistics –

Russia: UralTransMash defense contractor factory is on fire in Yekaterinburg. It is the sole enterprise that produces 2S-series self-propelled howitzers (SPG) in Russia.

Economic Impact –

Ukraine is cutting off Russian pipelines currently traversing the nation to Hungary.

Ukraine –

WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures continue in the 90s with some 100s and fair.

24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Ukrainian air defense shot down 16 Shahed drones and 2 Kh-59/69 missiles overnight

At night, drones of Security Service of Ukraine hit the Russian coast guard base on Lake Donuzlav in Crimea

Outlook —

Action on the ground is in a state of status quo. Russia continues to throw troops and equipment against Ukraine defenses and gaining very, very little ground.

ISRAEL –

July 25 - Netanyahu’s appearance before congress.

Key overnight developments -

- Tel Aviv hit by a suspected Houthi drone, one dead

——— GENERAL ——————————-

Lest we forget - there are still hostages being held in Gaza.

***
In his acceptance speech last night, Trump directly threatened Hamas, demanding they release American hostages - or else.

The Israeli Knesset passed a resolution opposing the two state solution. 68 members of Knesset (including Benny Gantz and his party) voted in favor. Only 9 members of Knesset voted against. This is the first time in history that the Knesset passes such a resolution

——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-

The commander of the Palestinian Islamic Jihad’s naval forces in the Gaza City region, Anas Murad, was killed in a recent drone strike, the Israeli army says, In a separate drone strike, the Israeli army says it killed Ahmed al-Masri, an Islamic Jihad member who participated in the October 7 onslaught. The Israeli army says Al-Masri was also responsible for the firing of a large number of rockets from Gaza City’s Shejaiya neighborhood at communities in southern Israel

***
Israeli forces have killed half of Hamas’ military leadership in Gaza and killed or arrested around 14,000 of its fighters since the start of the war over nine months ago, the Israel Defense Forces said on Tuesday.
Among Hamas’ losses are six brigade commanders, over 20 battalion commanders, and roughly 150 company commanders, according to the IDF.

——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-

Lebanese media report that a senior commander in al-Jama’a al-Islamiyya, or Islamic Group, was killed in an Israeli airstrike this morning in the Western Beqaa District. He is named as Muhammed Jabara. The strike against Jabara takes place in the village of Ghazzeh, around 40 kilometers (24 miles) from the Israeli border

Israeli fighter jets struck Hezbollah infrastructure in southern Lebanon’s Aitaroun and a rocket launcher in Rab al-Thalathine a short while ago, the Israeli army says

Israeli army chief presents Lebanon invasion plan to US CENTCOM Commander Kurilla, kann news reports; Israeli army shares maps of planned maneuvers, signals that Israel is serious about stepping up operations vs Hezbollah

Defense Minister Yoav Gallant in a fresh warning to Hezbollah says the Israeli military can “in an instant” begin an offensive in Lebanon. He says it will be “fast, surprising and sharp,” while adding that Israel is “approaching a decision-making crossroad.” “We are waging a limited war in the northern region. We are using a small part of the Israeli army’s power, but things can change in a second, from a main effort in the south to a main effort in the north, and it will be quick, surprising and very sharp, it can also happen as a result of [Hezbollah’s] action,” Gallant tells reservists of the Oded Brigade in northern Israel

———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————

A drone attack was carried out on Ben Yehuda Street on the corner of Shalom Aleichem near the US Consulate after loud explosions were heard in Tel Aviv early Friday morning. Yemen’s Houthis subsequently claimed responsibility for the attack.

Israeli army Spokesman Rear Adm. Daniel Hagari says the military estimates that the drone that struck Tel Aviv overnight was launched from Yemen. The drone made its way into Tel Aviv from the sea.

***
U.S. Defense Officials have now confirmed that American troops at Al-Asad Airbase in the Anbar Governorate of Western Iraq were targeted today by Iranian-backed forces for the first time since April; with a pair of one-way aerial attack drones approaching Al-Asad . They were downed by counter-UAS Systems at the base causing no casualties.

——— FORECAST ————————-

Drone attack on Tel Aviv carries more psychological effects than actual damage, Houthis with Hezbollah/Iran help managed to find a flight path and profile that prevented detection Initial reports that it made its approach from the sea suggests either a very long range drone, or one launched closer to Israel, possibly from Syria.

Norther Israeli cities are making preparations for the war with Hezbollah by building more bomb shelters, running drills, hardening hospitals etc. Now more than half way through July, the potential opening of an operational window in August, as suggested by many, is fast approaching and civil authorities are ramping up their preparations.

Buckle up sports fans, the past week have been quite a roller coaster ride and its only just begun.

CW2 / Domestic violence - Moderate to High THREAT - up dated July 14, 2024
— Attempted assassination of Trump.
July 25 - Protest of Netanyahu’s appearance before congress.
August 19 - DNC convention in Chicago, IL

RNC was surprisingly riot free. Not sure the DNC will be so fortunate.

Terrorism - Heightened THREAT as of May 6, 2024

Now over a week since the assassination attempt on Trump and the shooter Crooks is still a black hole. Over the weekend it was revealed Crooks flew a drone over the event site. Even more questions about his other activities at the site.
His school and some HS classmates state that he was NOT bullied.

No further info on just who these overseas encrypted contacts were.

New questions over the identity of a man in a gray suit who reportedly was an ATF agent who has now disappeared.

This whole package smells more and more like a deliberate attack was set up with a cover of gross incompetence by the SS as a cover story.

However, I don’t hold much credence of the claims of acoustic evidence of at least two other shooters. There is no other reports of bullet impacts on any others in the crowd, let alone any others towards trump.

***
A massive fire has broken out at First Baptist Church of Dallas which is led by Pastor Robert Jeffress, a Trump supporter.

A cause of the fire has not been reported. If started by illegals in opposition to Jefferies, then appearrs a potential act of political trerrorism.

POLITICAL FRONT –

August 19 DNC convention in Chicago, IL

***
Massive aftershocks from biden’s withdrawal from the 2024 campaign continue to reverberate around the nation and world.

Calls now for biden to completely resign as president. The logic being if he isn’t physically and mentally capable of continuing his campaign, how can he remain on as president?

The FEC states that if harris is not the nominee, money raised directly for biden / harris will have to be refunded and cannot be transferred to another candidate.

Initial polls show Trump by 6 over harris. harris may get a slight sympathy bump in the polls, but those are guaranteed to be small and short lived.

Obama acknowledging biden’s resignation from the campaign did not back harris — but favors an “open” process to replace Biden. However, the Clintons have endorsed Harris.

Open political warfare at the DNC convention if the selection isn’t firmed up and quickly.

Harris garnering support for her run for the presidency, but the shock of biden’s resignation may result in further depressing voter turn out as harris consistently has polled below biden. I also think such statements of support are shallow and done to provided some stability as the transition of power begins.

Not only has an open fight for the candidacy begun, but mixed in there is the fight to get someone as VP candidate that won’t outshine harris, with those VP candidates likely to lose any further national hopes due to being tied to harris.

Biden / Harris Watch –

biden’s announcement of dropping out of the election race has raised new questions / observations that are critical to consider -

- White House staff find out of the action via ‘X” with X being the vehicle used to announce his resignation from the campaign.
- “resignation” letter not on official letterhead with some questioning the authenticity of the signature.
- Steve Richetti reportedly helped write letter
- White House *WIPES* Biden’s schedule for this week
- WH Chief of Staff calls Cabinet, manages Comms
- Frank Biden confirms health a factor
- Biden holds no LIVE Press Conference
- bottom line - where is he and who’s running the country? Does he even know if he has dropped out of the race for president?

Conspiracy theories are running rampant from both democrats and republicans. Some even raising a flag that biden has a terminal illness of some sort. Right now, there is the appearance that biden is no longer even running the country, potentially raising issues of a developing constitutional crisis.

Further bad news for democrats - how long have you noticed biden’s mental breakdown ?

Cyber attacks/warfare – HEIGHTENED ALERT as of April 20, 2024

Illegal Immigration –

There are growing reports that illegals are beginning to mass again for another mega-border push in an attempt to cross the border before Trump can be elected and the border sealed.

Ukraine –

WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures continue in the 90s with some 100s and fair.

24 HOUR ROUND UP –

Ukraine drones hit the refinery in Tuapse Russia and set it on fire.

Russian forces gained ground in the Avdiivka area.

Outlook —

There are no real changes to the battle. However, the dropping out of biden may hit approbated military supply from the US to Ukraine. Puts a whole new degree of uncertainty on Ukraine’s military supply sources and will spur them to seek greater EU support.

ISRAEL –

July 25 - Netanyahu’s appearance before congress.

Key overnight developments -

- Expanded operation in Khan Yunis announced.

- Two hostages found dead.

——— GENERAL ——————————-

Lest we forget - there are still hostages being held in Gaza.

Israel army confirms the death of two more hostages in Gaza

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is set to leave on Monday morning for his first visit to Washington since returning to office late in 2022. He is scheduled to meet with U.S. President Joe Biden, who announced on Sunday that he was withdrawing from the presidential race. However, that meeting is now in question as Biden has cleared his calendar of all official meetings and activities for the next week.

——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-

Israeli army calls residents to evacuate the eastern areas of the city of Khan Yunis in southern Gaza strip before a major operation
“Due to significant terrorist activity and rocket fire toward the State of Israel from the eastern part of the Humanitarian Area in the Gaza Strip, remaining in this area has become dangerous. Accordingly, at this time, the Humanitarian Area will be adjusted. The adjustment is being carried out in accordance with precise intelligence indicating that Hamas has embedded terrorist infrastructure in the area defined as the Humanitarian Area.”.

———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————

The Houthi drone attack that hit Tel Aviv was responded to by Israel over the weekend with massive air strike taking out much of the port facilities in ç, Yemen. The most specular part of the strike was the destruction of at least 70% of the oil facilities. Dock facilities for cargo traffic were also hit, crippling operations. It has been estimated that the houthis receive 80% of their arms from Iran thru these port facilities.

Houthi missiles were fired towards Israel in response to the strike on Hodeidah, with one taken out by an Arrow missile.

——— FORECAST ————————-

Israel’s strike on Hodeidah demonstrates what I’ve said here for a number of years - the moslem world, and especially the jihad factions respect only strength. Israel’s strike was one of strength. Some whining that the attack was overkilll. For practical purposes the Houthi were warned not to FA or their will FO.

Looks like IAF is focusing on a new clustering of Hamas in the Khan Yunis region. Hamas was able to get a few rocket launchers up and running, firing rockets from within the refugee safe zone area.

Israel will continue to prepare for the attack against Hezbollah, varying intensity of conflicts against IDF by Hamas and Houthi.

Just when you thought you’ve shot the final rapids, a larger more dangerous one appears. Uncertainty about biden’s health could drive a further constitutional crisis if he is not fit for office. Evidence point to, at a minimum, a biden effort to retain power. The country really needs to hear just what is happening. America’s enemies are watching and may quickly jump on a breakdown in leadership to do bad things.

News from anti-Israeli groups organizing protests against netanyahu have grown quiet, but I can’t see them not taking the opportunity to try to strike at him in some manner.

Terrorism - Heightened THREAT as of May 6, 2024

Maintaining the Trump assassination attempt here under terrorism, and with good reason because the situation surrounding Crooks keeps getting deeper and deeper.

Latest continues to be the massive cluster regarding LEO/SS control of the roof top Crooks fired from. The “too hot” excuse has come back out from local police responsible for the security of that area.

More intriguing continues to be virtual clean slate Crooks has on the internet. FBI reportedly is having difficulty penetrating the foreign based encrypted files.

Gaining additional traction is the reports that at least one cell phone with regular ‘contact’ at Crooks home and work has been tracked to an office in DC near the FBI office.

The Heritage Foundation’s Oversight Project says it has tracked cell phones that had visited the home of Trump shooter Thomas Crooks in the months preceding the attempt on the former president’s life at the Butler, Pennsylvania, rally on July 13.

The device linked to the Crooks home had visited Butler twice in the week or so before the shooting.

Staring down a possible govt agent / handler rabbit hole causes things to get sticky really fast. There is already enough irregularities surrounding the SS security but direct contact with some kind of handler may account for the lack of internet footprint of Crooks.

POLITICAL FRONT –

August 19 DNC convention in Chicago, IL

***

The chairman and ranking member of the House Oversight Committee called on Secret Service Director Kimberly Cheatle to resign in a rare bipartisan joint statement on Monday, following hours of questioning the agency director.

OBSERVATION - Under any other leadership, Cheatle would be out the door. What was stark was that leftist democrats sounded like republicans in slamming her - topped off by the joint condemnation. Rumors continue to abound that she will be stepping down this week, but I’ll believe it when I see it, She is ‘secure’ in her position until the election, and being the typical, smug liberal elite she won’t go because no one higher up will hold her accountable.

***
Caution on some of the polling now that harris is the lead. I’ve seen numbers all over the board, some indicating a crash worse than with biden to others suggesting she’s gotten a sympathetic ‘bounce’. The regime has managed to keep her out of the limelight for most of the term, but will have to put her on the world stage - cackle and all - and that’s when public opinion will start to hit home.

***
biden’s withdrawal was likely designed to soften losses in the house and senate. That now appears to be in question if biden is terminally ill in addition to the dementia. Democrats should be forced to answer up for the conspiracy of keeping his true health condition under wraps.

Biden / Harris Watch –

harris reportedly has garnered enough votes to become the democrat flag bearer going into the 2024 general election. Standard endorsements from the routine player - except from 0bama who stated the best candidate would be selected at the DNC convention.

***
Name game ongoing for her VP pick. Normally it would be for someone that won’t overshadow the president pick. That will be hard in harris’ case as she is about as shiny as a cow turd.

***
The mystery surrounding biden and strongly suspected serious health conditions continues to grow. Biden has not been seen in public in five days. His last appearance was when he slowly and painfully exited Air Force One on Wednesday night.

His calendar has been cleared of all meetings for the next couple weeks. We had to hear from the Israeli ambassador that Netanyahu’s scheduled meeting with biden was cancelled - and not from our own govt.

Biden’s physician released a statement saying everything is fine, but that’s hardly proof of life.

Additional rumors abound, anchored in the suspected ‘medical emergency’ biden is alleged to have suffered in Las Vegas forcing him to cancel a campaign event there - WH claiming ‘covid’ reinfection the cause. Next, WH and campaign staff were working the issue he was remaining in the race up to the very moment the withdrawal message was posted on X and no warning to the staff. Then the WH chief of staff calling numerous emergency meetings of the cabinet, and other staffers. Finally the announcement of an extended stay in Delaware.

All this with no public appearance - in the face of an historic exit from the race for president.

If biden has a terminal illness, the big question the democrats will have to face going into November is when did they know it and why did they cover it up.
If biden is on his death bed, the country deserves to know and just WHO is running the country.

China –

See involvement in Hamas / Fatah meeting and agreements under “Israel”

Ukraine –

WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures continue in the 90s with some 100s and fair.

24 HOUR ROUND UP –

Local authorities confirmed drone attack against ferry at Port Kavkaz in Krasnodar Krai (Kerch Strait region), at least 1 crew member killed, more wounded

Russian forces continued to press the attack across the entire length of the eastern front.

Outlook —

Meat grinder continues with Russia pressing along a broad front. Nothing major expected by either side, though some sudden action via drone/missile strike barrages can be expected.

ISRAEL –

July 25 - Netanyahu’s appearance before congress.

Key overnight developments -

- Netanyahu arrived in DC, with no greeting from biden, harris or blinken.

- Major operation in Khan Younis

——— GENERAL ——————————-

Lest we forget - there are still hostages being held in Gaza.

Israel FM rejects the Palestinian reconciliation declaration, says Hamas rule will be “crushed” while the Palestinian President Abbas - who also heads Fatah - will “see Gaza from afar”

***
Hamas says it has signed an agreement in Beijing to work with other Palestinian groups towards “national unity”. Chinese officials said the factions, including Fatah, had agreed to set up an interim reconciliation gov’t for post-war Gaza

***
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has ordered a delegation charged with negotiating a hostage deal with Hamas to be dispatched on Thursday, Netanyahu’s office said in a statement on Sunday.
The statement said Netanyahu held a meeting on Sunday with the delegation and senior members of Israel’s defense establishment.
The statement did not specify the delegation’s destination. Until now a ceasefire effort led by Qatar and Egypt and backed by the United States has failed to produce any deal, with both sides in the more than nine-month-old Gaza conflict blaming each other for the impasse.

——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-

Israeli army spokesman: This morning the forces of Division 98 began a combined operation above and below the ground in Khan Yunis, following intelligence indicating the presence of militants and terrorist infrastructure in the area and following attempts to restore the terrorist organization Hamas
More than 50 sites used by militant groups in Khan Younis were struck by aircraft as ground forces with the 98th Division pushed into the city in the southern Gaza Strip over the past day, the IDF says

——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-

The Israeli Army: Air defenses intercepted 7 drones launched from Lebanon

An Israeli raid targeted a car in the town of Shaqra, south of Lebanon, killing one person and wounding another

Rockets from Lebanon hit the town of Tzuriel, which was not evacuated in the Galilee, and a building was damaged. Israeli Army Radio: About 10 missiles were launched from southern Lebanon towards Western Galilee, and most of them were intercepted

———WEST BANK——————————-

There is a video circulating on social media is said to have been taken moments before the drone strike in Tulkarem, showing Muhammad Abu Abdo, the commander of the al-Aqsa Martyrs’ Brigades in the area. Ashraf Nafa, commander of Hamas’ military wing in the Tulkarm, was taken out in the same strike

——— FORECAST ————————-

Operation in Khan Younis expected to continue for a while. Again, it is an example of Israel letting Hamas, et al, attempt to reform then smashing them again.

Things are tense as Netanyahu steps into DC with an ongoing crisis in the WH. As noted above, he’s received the cold shoulder - indicating a shift to a more pro-hamas policy orientation.

Turkey –

According to Daily Sabah, the first personal meeting between Erdogan and Assad is planned to take place in Moscow. Iraq, which has offered to host the mediation talks, may also be invited to Moscow. Iran will not be present at the talks

OBSERVATION - Erdogan continues to maneuver himself to be the big power broker in the region.

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