Globalism / Great Reset –
Biden called on Congress Tuesday to pass legislation that would compel corporate owners of rental housing units to cap annual rent increases at 5% or lose some tax benefits.
OBSERVATION - Create a crisis then propose a solution that would not be acceptable before the crisis - to expand govt controls. This is part of the globalist game plan, this component rising to the surface here in the US.
CW2 / Domestic violence - Moderate to High THREAT - up dated July 14, 2024
— Attempted assassination of Trump.
July 15 RNC convention in Milwaukee, WI
July 25 - Protest of Netanyahu’s appearance before congress.
August 19 - DNC convention in Chicago, IL
ALERT all week for protests/riots at the RNC convention in Milwaukee
***
Day one of the RNC saw large protests and the setting up of a CHAZ by Pro-Hamas and Antifa paid agitators.
Leftist protesters shut down the roads outside the RNC Convention as they chant, “No Trump, no KKK, no fascist USA.” Many of them advocate for Trump to be killed believing that he will repeat Hitler’s genocidal agenda.
OBSERVATION - No reports of violence. I still hold that the greatest potential for such a violent assault will be on Thursday when Trump gives his acceptance speech.
Terrorism - Heightened THREAT as of May 6, 2024
Transitioning the PA assassination attempt here as investigation has shifted and classified it as a potential domestic terror incident. NOTE - Signifiant components also fall under CW2.
Fog of war impacts event reporting in the first 48 hours, generally. This is becoming more evident as better information surrounding the assassination attempt on Trump comes forward. Todays information, released over the course of yesterday, is excessively concerning to me. Either this was the greatest Charlie Foxtrot of all time, or it was set-up for a deliberate deep state strike on Trump. Evidence of both in the forefront today. So unbelievable, I had to check for independent confirmation.
First, persistent evidence that the regime deliberately set security up for failure. In my initial posts, I noted it was being reported that Trump’s normal SS detachment was not on site that day, getting a breather from the tempo of Trumps campaign.
THIS WAS NOT THE CASE. It was revealed yesterday that Trump’s Secret Service permanent detail were stood down for the Butler, Pennsylvania rally on Saturday, according to an admission by Secret Service spokesman Anthony Guglielmi. They were pulled for a Jill Biden Party in Pittsburg 40 miles away. Reports are they were backfilled with other, less experienced agents & possible contractors. The site agent, who was in charge of putting all security measures for a particular event in place, was a “relatively new agent” from the Pittsburgh office with “limited experience,” Hence the incredibly poor coordination with local law enforcement (to be discussed next) and the gaggle of DEI hires who from videos showed they did’t know their heads from a hole in the ground.
ON THE WORST CASE EVIL SCENARIO - Throwing together a gaggle of poorly trained agents into a situation where there is still a raging concern that the shooting was arranged - actions Trumps permanent detail would have caught and prevented - are still in the forefront.
Which brings us to the local LEO responses and actions. Yesterday, it was revealed that local law enforcements had eyes on Crooks for nearly 30 minutes before he opened fire on Trump. One officer at the rally took a photo of Crooks at 5:45 p.m. and called it in as a suspicious person, according to WPXI-TV. If Crooks’ actions were suspicious, why in the heck didn’t they detain him.
Unconfirmed reports that a police (SWAT) unit was supposed to be on the roof but stayed inside the building Crookes fired from because it was hot outside. Was this a deliberate disregard for their orders or just stupid, lazy cops.
The potential belief / understanding that a local SWAT unit had charge of that roof top may be the reason for the report that counter sniper team behind Trump tried to get permission or deconflict since the may have expected swat up there. NEVER THE LESS, the order to hold fire until Crooks opened fire is still diabolical and completely out of order.
So basically law enforcement let the shooter get on the roof, knew about him being there before Trump got on stage, and then they let him open fire on President Trump and his supporters. (Ny post )
More information on the shooter continues to trickle out. He reportedly was featured on an investment ad made by the nefarious BlackRock - WEF’s investment arm of enforcement.
FBI apparently cannot crack the code on Crooks phone and this 20 year old apparently has no social media footprint.
The day of the shooting, he apparently bought 50 rounds of 5.56 and a ladder. According to a report from CNN citing law enforcement officials, Crooks bought the ladder from Home Depot on the day he tried to assassinate Trump from the roof of a nearby building.
If the reports are correct, law enforcement saw him observe the building, take out a range-finder to get the distance of his shot, come back with a backpack and a ladder, climb the building with a rifle - AND DID NOTHING.
Finally, yesterday Kimberly Cheatle head of the United States Secret Service was put in the spotlight over her actions (inactions) surrounding the whole debacle in PA. The NY Post is reporting that she got her job due to insider connections with Jill Biden.
Cheatle is a strong supporter of DEI, having pledged for the Secret Service to be 30 percent female by 2030 as part of a “diversity” push. The results of DEI being very evident in the three female agents and their actions on video during and after the shooting. In spite of accepting responsibility for the fiasco, she refused to step down. Cheatle even hinted that the Secret Service’s excuse is “it’s THEIR fault,” pointing to local police.
She is slated to testify before the House Oversight Committee on July 22.
OBSERVATION - Many, many opinions running rampant out there. The revelations yesterday have done little to narrow the gap between conspiracy and morbidly gross incompetence by the SS. While the police may have screwed up royally, the SS still had operational control and over sight and that failed. The removal of Trumps permanent detachment and replacement with a bunch of rookies and DEI hires is more diabolical. Those rookies could well have been assigned to Jill Biden’s party instead. That shifting of protection alone - still raises red flags of a potential conspiracy. The wild card continues to be Crooks. Was he identified by groomers several years ago from the black rock video? If so, are there others out there since who’d have imagined the campaign schedule that would have brought trump to that corner of PA where Crooks could have access. What was his motivation for shooting Trump if not groomed? Mental problems from being a bullied and geeky teen? Why/ how did he get away with nearly 30 minutes of open preparation to shoot without being seriously questioned or detained?
My conspiracy red flags are still flying, and I really don’t like that.
POLITICAL FRONT –
July 15 RNC convention in Milwaukee, WI
August 19 DNC convention in Chicago, IL
***
Trump’s arrival at the RNC convention was welcomed with thunderous ovations. This follows his announcement of JD Vance to be his VP.
The selection of Vance has caused all kinds of reactions. The RINOS like Romney detested Vance, the democrat dropped their ‘play nice’ efforts (announced by biden just the night before) with vitriol and hate. Many more view the selection as the right one - a fighter who openly supports an America First agenda and is setting up to carry the Trump agenda into 2028 (or as insurance should the left wage anther attempt on his life).
***
A Florida judge has dismissed the US justice department’s classified documents case against Donald Trump in a huge victory for the former president just days after a gunman attempted to assassinate him.
Judge Aileen Cannon granted Mr Trump’s motion to dismiss the federal case on the basis that the justice department’s appointment of special prosecutor Jack Smith violates the Appointments Clause of the US Constitution.
Judge Cannon cited three times in her decision a concurring opinion by Justice Thomas in the Supreme Court ruling in which he questioned whether there was a legal basis for naming special counsel.
DoJ/Smith have reportedly appealed the decision to the 11th Circuit - a court overseen by USSC Justice Thomas.
***
biden has extended Secret Service protection to Robert F. Kennedy Jr., the independent running for the White House in 2024.
Kennedy, who previously mounted a Democratic primary challenge of Biden before filing as an independent, and his supporters have repeatedly called for a Secret Service detail for the candidate, a call echoed by former President Donald Trump following the attempt on his life on Saturday.
Biden / Harris Watch –
biden is already violating his talk nicely decree with the selection of Vance.
Russia -
*****
As of July 15, Russia withdrew the last patrol ship of its Black Sea Fleet from the occupied Crimea, as stated by Dmytro Pletenchuk, spokesman for the Naval Forces.
At the beginning of the full-scale invasion, the Black Sea Fleet of the Russian Federation had 74 warships. During almost 2.5 years of invasion, Ukraine destroyed or disabled at least a third of the Black Sea Fleet of the Russian Federation.
Logistics –
Russia has been employing more and more glide bombs across the eastern and southern fronts. Along with this they are increasing their size. These bombs are quick and cheap to build and virtually unstoppable by Ukrainian air defenses. Russian bombers release the bombs outside the general Ukraine air defense envelope and the simple guidance system for the bomb leads it the rest of the way.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures continue in the 90s with some 100s and fair.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Ukrainian air defense shot down 2 Shahed attack drones, 4 Orlan-10, 2 Zala, 1 Supercam and 1 unidentified reconnaissance drones since last night. Also tracking of 2 Shahed drones were lost in the airspace of Belarus.
Outlook —
More of the same. The removal of the last surface combatant Russian naval vessel from Crimea is a huge embarrassment to Russia and putin.
Belarus -
Russian Shahed drones entered Belarusian airspace reached Mahilou. Belarusian air forces Su-30 and Mi-24 took off to intercept them
ISRAEL –
July 25 - Netanyahu’s appearance before congress.
——— GENERAL ——————————-
Lest we forget - there are still hostages being held in Gaza.
***
Major General Ghassan Alian, head of the Coordinator of Government Activities in the Territories (COGAT) tweeted on Monday to express harsh criticism of the head of UNRWA, Philippe Lazzarini, who professed himself shocked by the IDF attacks on the agency’s compounds in the Gaza Strip.
“These are the things that should shock you,” Alian began. “You allowed Hamas to develop a terrorist infrastructure almost in all the agency’s facilities, and paid for years to Hamas terrorists who are employed in the UNRWA agency.”
“Hamas stole your fuel and equipment over the years, and worst of all, even after we informed you of Hamas’s deep involvement in UNRWA prior to October 7th, you did nothing with all that information,” he accused.
“That is what is shocking. All your other statements are just an attempt to evade your own and the organization’s responsibility,” Alian concluded.
https://harbingersdaily.com/israel-at-war-week-38/
——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-
Three rockets were fired from the Gaza Strip at Sderot and nearby towns. According to local authorities, two struck open areas, and the third was intercepted. There are no reports of damage or injuries.
——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
Overnight, Israeli fighter jets struck Hezbollah sites in southern Lebanon’s Houla, Kafr Kila, and Bani Haiyyan, the Israeli army says. Troops also shelled areas near Blida, Deir Mismas, and Rmeish with artillery to “remove threats,” the military adds.
Overnight, Hezbollah launched some 20 rockets at the northern city of Kiryat Shmona. There were no injuries
——— SYRIA / HEZBOLLAH / IRAN———————————-
A businessman with close ties to the Syrian regime was killed in an alleged Israeli airstrike targeting a vehicle on the Damascus-Beirut Highway on Monday afternoon, according to Syrian opposition sources.
———WEST BANK——————————-
An armed clash between Palestinian militants and Israeli security forces in Balata camp, east of Nablus.
———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————
U.S. Central Command: In the past 24 hours, U.S. Central Command (USCENTCOM) forces successfully destroyed five Iranian-backed Houthi uncrewed aerial vehicles (UAV), three over the Red Sea and two over Houthi-controlled areas of Yemen.
Houthis: We carried out 3 specific operations in the Red and Mediterranean Seas in response to the Israeli’s attack in Mawasi Khan Yunis
The Panama-flagged tanker Bentley I was moving from Russia to China when it was attacked in the Red Sea. The Liberia-flagged Chios Lion crude oil tanker had also departed Russia before being hit by explosives-laden boats in the Red Sea, MarineTraffic data shows.
The rebels say they also attacked the Cyprus-flagged Olvia vessel in the Mediterranean in a joint operation with fellow Iran-backed militants Islamic Resistance in Iraq.
——— FORECAST ————————-
Fighting locations and levels are pretty much the same across the board. IDF continues to identify and quickly target key Hamas and Hezbollah leaders. Some ground combat is declining in Gaza with increasing emphasis being directed towards Hezbollah and the impending fight there. We are half way thru July and are entering a potential window for call up of reserver forces to give them the necessary ramp up time for the fight in Lebanon. IDF leaders are discussing the need to increase force strength, so such reserver callups may soon come.
Thanks
threat matrix!
CW2 / Domestic violence - Moderate to High THREAT - up dated July 14, 2024
— Attempted assassination of Trump.
July 15 RNC convention in Milwaukee, WI
July 25 - Protest of Netanyahu’s appearance before congress.
August 19 - DNC convention in Chicago, IL
ALERT all week for protests/riots at the RNC convention in Milwaukee
***
After police officers assisting with security at the Republican National Convention in Milwaukee responded to a reported fight roughly one mile from the main RNC venue, ultimately shooting and killing a suspect who drew a knife, additional security incidents more directly impacting the convention were reported that raised concerns about what, exactly, is going on at the margins of the convention’s secure perimeter.
On Tuesday evening, Fox News Channel’s Bill Melugin reported that authorities tasked with monitoring the secure perimeter around several blocks of the downtown area “stopped a suspicious man wearing a ski mask” a few blocks away from the venue containing the convention stage. The 21-year-old man was arrested and found to be carrying an “AK47 pistol, a full magazine, & a Scream mask in a large backpack.” The individual’s plans remain unknown as of now, but local authorities told Melugin that the arrestee “did not have a legal CCW permit.”
OBSERVATION - This is largely good news, Milwaukee police doing their job to keep the convention safe.
ADDITIONAL - Protests around the convention center continue to be largely peaceful. Still concerned for Thursday nite and possible efforts to disrupt Trump’s acceptance speech.
Terrorism - Heightened THREAT as of May 6, 2024
Transitioning the PA assassination attempt here as investigation has shifted and classified it as a potential domestic terror incident. NOTE - Signifiant components also fall under CW2.
Folks, IMHO, when they can’t keep their story straight, it creates a pungent aroma of a cover up.
In the last post, the reasoning given - reportedly by the local police force charged with security of the buildings from which Crooks fired from - stated it was too “hot” to place a team on the roof.
Yesterday, Secret Service director Kim Cheatle upended this reason claiming snipers couldn’t be on the roof because it was sloped and they might fall and hurt themselves).
Cheatle: “That building in particular has a sloped roof at its highest point. And so, you know, there’s a safety factor that would be considered there that we wouldn’t want to put somebody up on a sloped roof. And so, you know, the decision was made to secure the building, from inside.”
OMG, secret service personnel are supposed to be selected for a willingness to sacrifice their lives for their protectee. And this half-baked numbskull thinks an essentially flat roof is too sloped to place forces on it!!!!????!!!!.
Now, on Tuesday, the Secret Service had agreed to brief the House Oversight Committee.
Now, Homeland Security has stepped in, superseded all communications with the Oversight Committee and has refused to confirm a briefing will occur.
More secret service issues are popping up. The United States received intelligence from a human source in recent weeks about an Iranian plot to try to assassinate former President Donald Trump, CNN reported Tuesday, citing people briefed on the matter.
The U.S. Secret Service and the Trump campaign were made aware of the plot before Saturday’s rally, a CNN reporter posted on X, citing a U.S. national security official.
Secret Service spokesperson Anthony Guglielmi told the network that the agency recently “added protective resources and capabilities to the former President’s security detail.”
The fact that the Biden administration knew of an Iranian plot to assassinate President Trump WEEKS AGO makes its staggering failures on Saturday even more egregious.
Were there additional resources added. The answer is clearly NO, Trump’s security detail had for many months been requesting more assets - only to be rejected time and again.
Secondly, USSS Director Cheatle admits to replacing Trump’s permanent detail with ‘Temporary Agents’ For Butler rally. Makes the “no manpower” excuse pretty hollow.
I almost hate to do this, it hurts, but I has to be done.
- How was an individual designated by police as ‘suspicious’ allowed to wander around with an AR15, taking laser rangefinder measurements.
- More importantly, he got to a ‘known, high priority vulnerability’ location unchallenged.
- How / why was there a ladder located in a partially hidden alcove for that he used.
Pretty wild how he just happened to pick the one event with the one spot that Biden’s Secret Service deliberately kept unguarded.
FIrst, initial discussions were how a ‘math geek’ could have any chance shooting trump as he did - yielding a second gunman theory. Reality is he was a member of a gun club and spent part of Friday prior to the assassination attempt there shooting. The fact that several years prior he shot poorly and did’t make the school shooting team is secondary at this point. That is plenty of time to make up for poor shooting skills.
Second goes back to the absence of any social media footprint - for 20 yr old not to have a facebook, twitter, etc account is almost unheard of. Reports are that his phone has been cracked - nothing inside it to provide information on his actions/motives prior. No word yet on his laptop.
Third - I’ve mentioned this earlier - why in the world was he allowed to wander around this sensitive portion of the perimeter AND NOT BE CHALLENGED BY ANY LAW ENFORCEMENT?
Fourth - understated even by me, but that he had a remote controlled IED in his car and a remote detonator was found on his body. More bombs at his home. Where did he get the info on how to construct these devices?
This causes me to circle back and relook the conspiracy theory that Crooks received help - from US govt agents. This is in part because when you look at the entire picture, what you see better resembles a deliberate plan to make Trump vulnerable but to appear at first glance to be just a couple of innocent mistakes. With some ‘guidance’ from an insider, some of the above questions start to jell.
We know this can happen because the FBI did it with Gretchen Whitmer: It recruited and urged disturbed individuals to buy weapons and put together a plan to kidnap her. In that case, the FBI wanted a story it could use to slime right-wingers. So it created the story itself.
So who was the shooter talking to in the hours, days, and weeks ahead of the event? Who was he meeting with? Did anyone suggest or nudge or urge him to go to the Trump rally in Butler? Did anyone suggest or point out to him the building he eventually used? Was he told at any time not to worry about security?
This is enough to make it hard to sleep at night. Sadly, the scenario is very plausible, given the clear knowledge that the FBI lied about surveilling Trump, lied about the hunter laptop, lied about so many other things. Tied tightly into this is a corrupt CIA that coughed up 51 intelligence ‘experts’ to openly declare the biden laptop to be fake and a Russian hoax - which we now know to be completely opposite.
Was this a set-up to look like gross incompetence on the part of security which allowed a suspicious individual to wander around a high threat location for nearly 30 minutes carrying an AR15 without being stopped or challenged? If conspiracy, did it spread downward to local law enforcement too?
Now DHS has forbidden SS from following up with appearances before congress and for members to shut up. That reeks of a cover up folks - big time.
Before I forget, one more point. Timing of the assassination attempt was critical - prior to the RNC convention . Trump had not announced a running mate yet, so if he was killed, it would have likely thrown the convention into chaos as a new candidate would need to be selected, a floor fight that could have fractured the party and allowed biden to overcome the plethora of problems he is facing. If the hit was planned/supported by deep state assets, this component may or may not have been a factor. We may never know.
Economy- MODERATE Threat - as of June 26, 2024
Japan is on the verge of a fire sale of hundreds of billions of dollars in U.S. debt that could crash Treasury markets already teetering on the edge.
The news comes from The Wall Street Journal, which reported that Japan’s state-owned Government Pension Investment Fund, which holds Social Security reserves of nearly every Japanese worker, is poised to sell down its $400 billion of U.S. dollar assets and direct the money to Japanese domestic bonds and equities to prop up Japan’s asset markets long enough to limp through the next crisis.
As for the dollar, if Japan is about to flip to mass seller, that knocks out the single biggest overseas holder of U.S. debt.
And what if there are not enough buyers for U.S. debt?
Easy: Prices crash and interest rates soar. We’d be back to crashing banks here in America, with Washington’s debt service driving toward $2 trillion per year—in interest alone.
https://www.prophecynewswatch.com/article.cfm?recent_news_id=7102#google_vignette
OBSERVATION - Sales by Japan as well as China also weaken the dollar, making imports more expensive. With so much of our debt financed by asia, losing that funding is going to hurt and hurt hard.
Wuhan and other “new” Plandemics –
Fearmongering of a new version of wuhan.
POLITICAL FRONT –
July 15 RNC convention in Milwaukee, WI
August 19 DNC convention in Chicago, IL
***
President Trump’s hearing to disqualify Fani Willis has been rescheduled for December 5, 2024, causing the lawfare RICO case to be delayed until after the 2024 election.
The hearing was originally planned for October 4 but has now been shifted to December, pushing the RICO case beyond the upcoming election.
“The Georgia Appeals Court agreed to pause proceedings in the case in June while it reviews McAfee’s ruling, and the Dec. 5 argument date means the prosecution will remain on hold into the new year. State law requires the appeals court to hand down a ruling by March 14, 2025, as the case was docketed for its August term.” CBS News reported.
***
Secret Service problems were already present many months prior to last weeks assassination attempt.
Back in May, Congress requested a briefing with the Secret Service, after several incidents allegedly raised internal concerns over the quality of its trainings.
A petition within the Secret Service has reportedly been circulating because of the incidents and called for a congressional investigation into the agency, according to Comer.
One incident saw a Secret Service agent assigned to Vice President Kamala Harris allegedly attack her superior and other agents. The unnamed agent also exhibited other “concerning” behavior, according to her colleagues.
Comer mentioned the incident in a letter to Secret Service Director Kimberly Cheatle and asked for a briefing on how the Secret Service is responding to the allegations of “inadequate training.”
“This incident raised concerns within the agency about the hiring and screening process for this agent,” Comer wrote in his letter. “Specifically [concerns] whether previous incidents in her work history were overlooked during the hiring process as years of staff shortages had led the agency to lower once stricter standards as part of a diversity, equity and inclusion effort.”
Comer also flagged concerns from the petition related to a “double standard in disciplinary actions, and a vulnerability ‘to potential insider threats’ that could pose a risk to U.S. national security.”
The letter requests the briefing by June 13, and cites “potential vulnerabilities” that could keep the Secret Service from “fulfilling its mission to ensure the safety and security of its protectees,” including the president, vice president, and their families
OBSERVATION - Like the military, FBI, and multiple other alphabet agencies, the filth and corruption brought by DEI policies have infected another priority agency. However, the rapid fall of the Secret Service to the ranks of a clown cop car is unbelievable.
Biden / Harris Watch –
Biden is finalizing plans to endorse major changes to the Supreme Court in the coming weeks, including proposals for legislation to establish term limits for the justices and an enforceable ethics code.
He is also weighing whether to call for a constitutional amendment to eliminate broad immunity for presidents and other constitutional officeholders.
OBSERVATION - He’ll bloviate about this, but congress has essentially zero time to attempt to pass any such laws. This may be raw meat to some of his constituents, but not the public at large.
***
With the after shocks from the attempted assassination of Trump slowing down, efforts have resumed to try to get biden removed from the ticket. A conference call expected later this month to ‘formally’ nominate him, in order to meet filling deadlines in Ohio, may be thwarted and there is a renewed push for an open convention in August. Watch the action among/towards democrat ‘super delegates’ to see if such a shift is going to happen.
Illegal Immigration –
The New York Post has uncovered yet another “unannounced” White House program related to the Biden border crisis. Ever since Texas Governor Greg Abbott effectively shut down his state’s southern border, the cartels have been forced to move their human smuggling cargo further to the west. Much of the traffic has been showing up in California, particularly in the San Diego area. Despite Gavin Newsom’s claims that California was still a “welcoming” state for migrants, in reality, the San Diego area was simply becoming “overrun.” Since we clearly can’t have that happening to a blue state in an election year, Joe Biden rushed to the rescue. The White House has been operating weekly charter flights out of San Diego to take the migrants elsewhere. Their destination? Texas, of course. They are being flown in and released in the Rio Grande Valley.
https://hotair.com/jazz-shaw/2024/07/16/now-biden-is-flying-migrants-back-to-texas-n3791860
OBSERVATION - TX has been successful at securing the border, now biden is beginning to back door the placement of illegals into the state.
China –
China and the Philippines have set up a military ‘hot line’ for future use to diffuse conflict.
Russia -
Logistics –
Observers are noting that the majority of tanks being shipped to the Ukraine war zone are T54/55 vintage. Russia’s supply of its T90 (their reportedly best tank) is quickly running out with the 100th confirmed destruction by Ukraine forces.
Economic Impact –
See Europe / NATO General below on another hit to the Russian economy.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures continue in the 90s with some 100s and fair.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Ukrainian defense forces have been withdrawn from Urozhayne of Donetsk region and Krynky of Kherson region. This is the left bank bridgehead Ukraine established last year and that Russian lost a lot of troops trying to retake.
Ukrainian military conducted an ATACMS cluster munition strike at S-300 SAM at occupied part of Donetsk region. Took out the radar and several launchers.
Russian ground offensive has narrowed down to the Ocheretyne axis with minimal action along the rest of the eastern front. Axis has the greatest concentration of reported Russian attacks.
Outlook —
Status quo prevails. Russia driving in the Ocheretyne axis indicates a broader change in strategic tactics. With the Kharkiv offensive failing, Russia has to redetermine who gets priority for replacement forces. That appears to be Ocheretyne where Russia has had some of the best success so far in this year’s offensive. But even at that Russian forces are increasingly becoming lighter - lacking armor and tanks to support the attacks.
Europe / NATO General –
Lithuania, Estonia, and Latvia announced they will disconnect from the Soviet-era BRELL (Belarus, Russia, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania) power grid on 08 February 2025, which connects them to the Russian and Belarusian power grids. The Baltic countries are still under contract with the European Union (EU) to be on the EU power grid by 2025.
OBSERVATION - Russia’s golden goose has been in the supply of energy to Europe and other parts of the world. Ukraine has seriously damaged Russia’s oil sector, bringing down at least 25% of Russia’s capabilities. Europe has also cut off virtually all natural gas supplies from Russia, switching to US and others. Now electrical power from Russia is being cut off. putin has relied on these income streams to support the war, and with them being cut down has seriously put a pinch in the war coffers.
ISRAEL –
July 25 - Netanyahu’s appearance before congress.
——— GENERAL ——————————-
Lest we forget - there are still hostages being held in Gaza.
***
Defense Minister Yoav Gallant tells his American counterpart, Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin, that Israeli army operations in the Gaza Strip have “led to the conditions necessary” for a hostage deal with the Hamas terror group. In their overnight call, Gallant provided Austin with an assessment of the Israeli army’s ongoing operations in the Gaza Strip. “Gallant detailed the precise operation targeting Hamas military leader Muhammed Deif, referred to as the “Osama bin Laden of Gaza,” - his office says
——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-
The Israeli army: The search for Hamas smuggling tunnels across the border between Gaza and Egypt will take months
Bulk of the air /artillery strikes have been in the central Gaza area overnight.
——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
Hezbollah leader Nasrallah warns they will target new Israeli towns if Israel continues to “target civilians” in Lebanon
Overnight, Israeli fighter jets struck Hezbollah sites in Yarine, Ayta ash-Shab and Aalma ash-Shab, the Israeli army says. Also overnight, a barrage of some 15 rockets was fired from Lebanon at the Nahariya area. The Israeli army says some were shot down by the Iron Dome, while the rest struck open fields.
An additional 80 rockets were fired by Hezbollah from Lebanon at northern Israel overnight.
———WEST BANK——————————-
The Israeli arrested 15 Palestinians in the West Bank overnight.
——— FORECAST ————————-
Fighting will continue to surge and ebb in Gaza as hit has over the past month. The attention is now focusing more on the inevitable fight with Hezbollah. Israel keeps taking out key leaders and facilities and Hezbollah fires rockets in retaliation. Hezbollah fails to to realize that Israel wants them to fire rocket as it
1) identifies launching facilities and
2) identifies rocket storage areas an movements to restock supplies after an attack.
Thus when Israel finally decides to go, many of its initial target sets will be these rocket launcher positions - to take them out before they can fire as well as storage sites to prevent rearming.