is Murkowski going to lose?
Probably a 15-20 seat gain for the GOP in the House, and a GOP +1 or 50-50 in the Senate. That contest up in PA is too close to clear the Philly fraud threshold, so the GOP needs to flip two other seats.
RE: Romney and Murky-cow...
The US Constitution is silent on recalling/removing a Senator or Representative.
Therefore, the 10th Amendment comes into play.
What is not specified is reserved for the States or The People (NOT, *and*...OR!)
The people of the State through it’s legislature can remove a it’s US Senator from serving, citing the 10th Amendment.
We the People can act as free people.
Some fake news channels like The Hill and CBS (i think maybe NBC…) put out stories in the last 2 days that democratic enthusiasm has rebounded, equal to Republicans.
About the only thing I wonder (assuming the polls are true) is WHY?
Really the only, solitary, single reason I can see are the Lets Make A Deal game show like give aways lately. Biden has shamelessly been buying votes such as this multi-billion dollar money give away just announced a few weeks ago:
https://www.kget.com/news/politics/ap-billions-in-federal-money-to-help-lower-home-heating-costs/
These pundits and analyst make predictions of 15-30, as if it’s some highly skilled and experienced calculation. Any casual observer can do the same. The other party averages 25 pickup in a normal year. This is the farthest thing from normal year. Much worse for dems than 1994. Heck the Republicans had 72 freshman and picked up 50 seats because Clinton put gays in the military and tried to pass Hillary care.
This year its the economy, specifically inflation, which passes everyone off. Even high unemployment only effects the families of those unemployed.
This election is comparable to the election of 1932 at the start of the Great depression or 76 after watergate when the Republicans were utterly destroyed. Neither of those elections was squarely the Republicans fault nor was the primary issue an issue for virtually everone, but we got the everyone. This year, we have an economy that was still on top of the world after covid and been crushed in less than 2 years, with no one to blame but demo controlled DC, If this election doesn’t surpass the election of 1994, there is only 1 reason for that, which we all know.
Vote like your life and country depends upon it. Why, because it does.
5.56mm
I’d say close to 25-30 GOP pickup in the House and +2 in the Senate. So it would be a good night but not a huge wave.
In order to be a wave, it would be 35 in the House and 3-4 in the Senate.
Voters are lazy, why vote Kemp then cross ballot for Rev. Shuckin Jive, when you can go Hall of Fame? You'd have to have Kemp overvotes from the GOP side? Not happening. Shuckin Jive's prior margins were razor-thin anyway.
"4) Georgia (Advantage: Republicans): Republican Herschel Walker, the former Heisman Trophy-winning Georgia Bulldog, was behind by 5.2 points in the RCP average on October 9 but is now running neck-and-neck with Democratic incumbent Raphael Warnock (with Walker leading by 0.4 points). Warnock sits at 46.8 percent support in the RCP average, so—like Cortez Masto—he would need to pick up a fair number of late-deciding voters. If neither candidate gets a majority of the vote, this race will go to a runoff in December."