Posted on 10/29/2020 5:50:05 PM PDT by TheRef
Most Accurate in 2016 - This projection is based on polls and the early vote in the four battleground states that offer hard data and a high level of confidence, not TargetSmart estimates. Each projection is rooted in our interpretation of polling, which was the most accurate in 2016, or in the early vote. We projected both the popular vote and 48 of 50 states correclty in 2016.
Key States:
Pennsylvania - While Democrats are building a large lead in the early vote, their ballot request total (ceiling) does not match expectations while Republicans' requests exceed forecasts. Ballot request totals parallel voter intensity. The GOP's higher intensity should carry them to victory as they catch up in their ballot return percentage and ultimately overwhelm the Democratic early vote on election day.
Florida - Trump looks stronger than expected in Florida because the polls predicted a lot fewer Trump voters opting to vote early than are actually requesting a ballot and showing up early to vote. It does not look like Biden will be able to build the lead he needs to win on election day. We should have a very good idea of who won Florida before election day.
(Excerpt) Read more at freedomwindow.net ...
I’m voting straight ticket as well.
I can’t see why as with Biden Social Security and Medicare would be under siege as well as IRA’s.
I’m one of those older voters, and voted straight Republican.
Any person with at least the brains of a plankton would vote Trump.
Well, I hope for a huge landslide that’ll totally blast Bidem back to his basement and is over by 8:30 PM - but, realistically, if it’s a hard fight to eke out a win, I’ll take that, too.
“I can’t see why as with Biden Social Security and Medicare would be under siege as well as IRA’s.”
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I believe a number are concerned about the covid situation. We’ll see if they hold back or not, to any degree that matters.
It’ll be interesting to see how all the different demographics vote - by age, race, city/burbs/rural and so on.
My father in law has been saying Trump wins 320EVs since January.
He was “right on” the number in 2016, and has not wavered this time either.
I’ll trust my retired Army Vietnam Vet LTC again this time. ;>)
If they turned one way, they can be turned back. It’s all about getting out the vote....something the Dems have always been better at...but we’ll nail it this time around.
God I hope so..as long as Trump wins I dont care if its close, just WIN..but we have to win back the House otherwise even if Trump wins, if we lose the Senate, the left will impeach him day one for breathing
I don’t see how it could ever be this close. Unless there’s major vote fraud and tampering..
I wonder which two states they got wrong in 2016.
Too many of these states are tossups, using their numbers.
If they're right about MN, Biden will do clearly better there than Clinton did. That's a head scratcher. I've been reading about how some traditional Democrat areas of MN area are turning red - not Minneapolis of course but other areas.
I agree. We hold all of our 2016 states and add a couple of states.
We will get both, red wave coming.
And carries the Senate candidates in with him.
More detail to voters of what the Pelosi/ House package is of the blocked Stimulus 2, will solidify this.
Looking good; looking damn good!
VSG-POTUS DJT = Born to MAGA
I predict Trump above 300 and the letter “D” , a distant 2nd with less than 200.
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